Tonnellerie Francois Stock Forward View - Simple Regression
| TFF Stock | EUR 18.55 0.05 0.27% |
Tonnellerie Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Tonnellerie Francois stock prices and determine the direction of Tonnellerie Francois Freres's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of Tonnellerie Francois' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At this time, the relative strength index (RSI) of Tonnellerie Francois' share price is approaching 40. This usually implies that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Tonnellerie Francois, making its price go up or down. Momentum 40
Sell Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.33) | EPS Estimate Current Year 0.7632 | EPS Estimate Next Year 1.2132 | Wall Street Target Price 19.7833 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.25) |
Using Tonnellerie Francois hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Tonnellerie Francois Freres from the perspective of Tonnellerie Francois response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Tonnellerie Francois Freres on the next trading day is expected to be 17.18 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.53 and the sum of the absolute errors of 33.04. Tonnellerie Francois after-hype prediction price | EUR 18.5 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Tonnellerie |
Tonnellerie Francois Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Tonnellerie price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Tonnellerie using various technical indicators. When you analyze Tonnellerie charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Tonnellerie Francois Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 27th of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Tonnellerie Francois Freres on the next trading day is expected to be 17.18 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.53, mean absolute percentage error of 0.42, and the sum of the absolute errors of 33.04.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Tonnellerie Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Tonnellerie Francois' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Tonnellerie Francois Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Tonnellerie Francois | Tonnellerie Francois Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Tonnellerie Francois Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Tonnellerie Francois' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Tonnellerie Francois' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 15.05 and 19.31, respectively. We have considered Tonnellerie Francois' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Tonnellerie Francois stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Tonnellerie Francois stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 119.0915 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.5328 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0297 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 33.0363 |
Predictive Modules for Tonnellerie Francois
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Tonnellerie Francois. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Tonnellerie Francois After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Tonnellerie Francois at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Tonnellerie Francois or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Tonnellerie Francois, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Tonnellerie Francois Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Tonnellerie Francois' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Tonnellerie Francois' historical news coverage. Tonnellerie Francois' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 16.28 and 20.72, respectively. We have considered Tonnellerie Francois' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Tonnellerie Francois is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Tonnellerie Francois is based on 3 months time horizon.
Tonnellerie Francois Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Tonnellerie Francois is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Tonnellerie Francois backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Tonnellerie Francois, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.00 | 2.13 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 1 Events / Month | Within a week |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
18.55 | 18.50 | 0.00 |
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Tonnellerie Francois Hype Timeline
Tonnellerie Francois is at this time traded for 18.55on Euronext Paris of France. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Tonnellerie is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.0%. %. The volatility of related hype on Tonnellerie Francois is about 43.82%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 18.55. About 71.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company has price-to-book ratio of 0.84. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Tonnellerie Francois last dividend was issued on the 4th of November 2025. The entity had 4:1 split on the 29th of November 2017. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be within a week. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Tonnellerie Francois to cross-verify your projections.Tonnellerie Francois Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Tonnellerie Francois' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Tonnellerie Francois' future price movements. Getting to know how Tonnellerie Francois' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Tonnellerie Francois may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| ALGIL | Groupe Guillin SA | 0.85 | 3 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 2.94 | (2.80) | 8.03 | |
| MLHMC | Hotel Majestic Cannes | (50.00) | 1 per month | 1.03 | (0.01) | 1.57 | (1.64) | 14.40 | |
| RBO | Roche Bobois | (0.10) | 2 per month | 0.00 | (0.26) | 2.64 | (3.64) | 7.90 | |
| ALDLT | Delta Plus Group | 0.20 | 3 per month | 1.61 | (0.04) | 2.69 | (2.68) | 12.13 | |
| SMCP | Smcp SAS | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.24 | 0.02 | 3.50 | (2.07) | 7.79 | |
| AKW | Akwel SA | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 2.77 | (2.29) | 6.14 | |
| ARAMI | Aramis SAS | 0.09 | 4 per month | 0.00 | (0.31) | 2.92 | (4.38) | 9.57 | |
| FCMC | Ferm Casino Mun | 0.00 | 1 per month | 0.00 | 0.16 | 2.80 | (0.96) | 31.94 | |
| MLCMB | Compagnie Du Mont Blanc | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.34 | (0.05) | 2.88 | (2.68) | 6.97 | |
| KOF | Kaufman Et Broad | 0.35 | 1 per month | 1.13 | 0.05 | 2.79 | (1.60) | 10.05 |
Other Forecasting Options for Tonnellerie Francois
For every potential investor in Tonnellerie, whether a beginner or expert, Tonnellerie Francois' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Tonnellerie Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Tonnellerie. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Tonnellerie Francois' price trends.Tonnellerie Francois Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Tonnellerie Francois stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Tonnellerie Francois could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Tonnellerie Francois by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Tonnellerie Francois Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Tonnellerie Francois stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Tonnellerie Francois shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Tonnellerie Francois stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Tonnellerie Francois Freres entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Tonnellerie Francois Risk Indicators
The analysis of Tonnellerie Francois' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Tonnellerie Francois' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting tonnellerie stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.66 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.67 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.17 | |||
| Variance | 4.69 | |||
| Downside Variance | 3.04 | |||
| Semi Variance | 2.8 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.91) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Tonnellerie Francois
The number of cover stories for Tonnellerie Francois depends on current market conditions and Tonnellerie Francois' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Tonnellerie Francois is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Tonnellerie Francois' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Tonnellerie Francois Short Properties
Tonnellerie Francois' future price predictability will typically decrease when Tonnellerie Francois' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Tonnellerie Francois Freres often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Tonnellerie Francois' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Tonnellerie Francois' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 21.7 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 79.7 M |
Other Information on Investing in Tonnellerie Stock
Tonnellerie Francois financial ratios help investors to determine whether Tonnellerie Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Tonnellerie with respect to the benefits of owning Tonnellerie Francois security.