TROPHY GAMES Stock Forward View - Simple Regression
| TGAMES Stock | DKK 14.70 0.10 0.68% |
TROPHY Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast TROPHY GAMES stock prices and determine the direction of TROPHY GAMES Development's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of TROPHY GAMES's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of today, The value of RSI of TROPHY GAMES's share price is at 52. This usually implies that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling TROPHY GAMES, making its price go up or down. Momentum 52
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Using TROPHY GAMES hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of TROPHY GAMES Development from the perspective of TROPHY GAMES response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of TROPHY GAMES Development on the next trading day is expected to be 15.78 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.54 and the sum of the absolute errors of 33.30. TROPHY GAMES after-hype prediction price | DKK 14.7 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
TROPHY |
TROPHY GAMES Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine TROPHY price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for TROPHY using various technical indicators. When you analyze TROPHY charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
TROPHY GAMES Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 26th of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of TROPHY GAMES Development on the next trading day is expected to be 15.78 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.54, mean absolute percentage error of 0.43, and the sum of the absolute errors of 33.30.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict TROPHY Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that TROPHY GAMES's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
TROPHY GAMES Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest TROPHY GAMES | TROPHY GAMES Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
TROPHY GAMES Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting TROPHY GAMES's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. TROPHY GAMES's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 13.71 and 17.85, respectively. We have considered TROPHY GAMES's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of TROPHY GAMES stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent TROPHY GAMES stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 119.0995 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.5372 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0374 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 33.3046 |
Predictive Modules for TROPHY GAMES
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as TROPHY GAMES Development. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of TROPHY GAMES's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
TROPHY GAMES After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of TROPHY GAMES at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in TROPHY GAMES or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of TROPHY GAMES, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
TROPHY GAMES Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting TROPHY GAMES's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on TROPHY GAMES's historical news coverage. TROPHY GAMES's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 12.63 and 16.77, respectively. We have considered TROPHY GAMES's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
TROPHY GAMES is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of TROPHY GAMES Development is based on 3 months time horizon.
TROPHY GAMES Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as TROPHY GAMES is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading TROPHY GAMES backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with TROPHY GAMES, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.23 | 2.07 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | Within a week |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
14.70 | 14.70 | 0.00 |
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TROPHY GAMES Hype Timeline
TROPHY GAMES Development is at this time traded for 14.70on Copenhagen Exchange of Denmark. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. TROPHY is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.23%. %. The volatility of related hype on TROPHY GAMES is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 14.70. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.76. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. TROPHY GAMES Development had not issued any dividends in recent years. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be within a week. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of TROPHY GAMES to cross-verify your projections.TROPHY GAMES Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to TROPHY GAMES's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict TROPHY GAMES's future price movements. Getting to know how TROPHY GAMES's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how TROPHY GAMES may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| ASTK | Asetek AS | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.12 | 1.89 | (1.81) | 96.97 | |
| SHAPE | Shape Robotics AS | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 21.78 | (13.25) | 79.02 | |
| DATA | Dataproces Group AS | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.14) | 4.18 | (5.67) | 17.11 | |
| IMPERO | Impero AS | 0.00 | 0 per month | 3.26 | 0.03 | 8.59 | (5.97) | 30.11 | |
| QINTER | Q Interline AS | 0.00 | 0 per month | 3.54 | 0.01 | 7.50 | (5.88) | 22.96 | |
| DANT | Dantax | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 2.10 | (2.61) | 5.51 | |
| KONSOL | Konsolidator AS | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.30 | 0.07 | 6.00 | (4.70) | 14.83 | |
| AGILC | Agillic AS | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.91 | (0.03) | 2.99 | (2.17) | 6.52 | |
| NEXCOM | Nexcom AS | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.03) | 5.81 | (3.43) | 14.32 | |
| FASTPC | Fastpasscorp AS | 0.00 | 0 per month | 6.01 | 0.18 | 17.65 | (11.90) | 55.29 |
Other Forecasting Options for TROPHY GAMES
For every potential investor in TROPHY, whether a beginner or expert, TROPHY GAMES's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. TROPHY Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in TROPHY. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying TROPHY GAMES's price trends.TROPHY GAMES Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with TROPHY GAMES stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of TROPHY GAMES could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing TROPHY GAMES by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
TROPHY GAMES Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how TROPHY GAMES stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading TROPHY GAMES shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying TROPHY GAMES stock market strength indicators, traders can identify TROPHY GAMES Development entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
TROPHY GAMES Risk Indicators
The analysis of TROPHY GAMES's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in TROPHY GAMES's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting trophy stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.33 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.56 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.98 | |||
| Variance | 3.92 | |||
| Downside Variance | 3.6 | |||
| Semi Variance | 2.43 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.62) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for TROPHY GAMES
The number of cover stories for TROPHY GAMES depends on current market conditions and TROPHY GAMES's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that TROPHY GAMES is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about TROPHY GAMES's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Other Information on Investing in TROPHY Stock
TROPHY GAMES financial ratios help investors to determine whether TROPHY Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in TROPHY with respect to the benefits of owning TROPHY GAMES security.