THONBURI HEALTHCARE Stock Forecast - Polynomial Regression

THG-R Stock  THB 13.80  2.24  13.97%   
The Polynomial Regression forecasted value of THONBURI HEALTHCARE GRO NVDR on the next trading day is expected to be 26.38 with a mean absolute deviation of 6.95 and the sum of the absolute errors of 430.65. THONBURI Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast THONBURI HEALTHCARE stock prices and determine the direction of THONBURI HEALTHCARE GRO NVDR's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of THONBURI HEALTHCARE's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
THONBURI HEALTHCARE polinomial regression implements a single variable polynomial regression model using the daily prices as the independent variable. The coefficients of the regression for THONBURI HEALTHCARE GRO NVDR as well as the accuracy indicators are determined from the period prices.

THONBURI HEALTHCARE Polynomial Regression Price Forecast For the 8th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Polynomial Regression forecasted value of THONBURI HEALTHCARE GRO NVDR on the next trading day is expected to be 26.38 with a mean absolute deviation of 6.95, mean absolute percentage error of 88.22, and the sum of the absolute errors of 430.65.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict THONBURI Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that THONBURI HEALTHCARE's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

THONBURI HEALTHCARE Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest THONBURI HEALTHCARETHONBURI HEALTHCARE Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

THONBURI HEALTHCARE Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting THONBURI HEALTHCARE's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. THONBURI HEALTHCARE's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 15.62 and 37.15, respectively. We have considered THONBURI HEALTHCARE's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
13.80
26.38
Expected Value
37.15
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Polynomial Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of THONBURI HEALTHCARE stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent THONBURI HEALTHCARE stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria124.4282
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation6.946
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.2874
SAESum of the absolute errors430.6494
A single variable polynomial regression model attempts to put a curve through the THONBURI HEALTHCARE historical price points. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, this line can be indicated as: Y = a0 + a1*X + a2*X2 + a3*X3 + ... + am*Xm

Predictive Modules for THONBURI HEALTHCARE

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as THONBURI HEALTHCARE GRO. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
3.0313.8024.57
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
2.4813.2524.02
Details

Other Forecasting Options for THONBURI HEALTHCARE

For every potential investor in THONBURI, whether a beginner or expert, THONBURI HEALTHCARE's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. THONBURI Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in THONBURI. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying THONBURI HEALTHCARE's price trends.

THONBURI HEALTHCARE Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with THONBURI HEALTHCARE stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of THONBURI HEALTHCARE could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing THONBURI HEALTHCARE by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

THONBURI HEALTHCARE GRO Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of THONBURI HEALTHCARE's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of THONBURI HEALTHCARE's current price.

THONBURI HEALTHCARE Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how THONBURI HEALTHCARE stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading THONBURI HEALTHCARE shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying THONBURI HEALTHCARE stock market strength indicators, traders can identify THONBURI HEALTHCARE GRO NVDR entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

THONBURI HEALTHCARE Risk Indicators

The analysis of THONBURI HEALTHCARE's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in THONBURI HEALTHCARE's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting thonburi stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

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Other Information on Investing in THONBURI Stock

THONBURI HEALTHCARE financial ratios help investors to determine whether THONBURI Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in THONBURI with respect to the benefits of owning THONBURI HEALTHCARE security.