Interface Stock Forward View - Double Exponential Smoothing
| TILE Stock | USD 32.21 0.74 2.35% |
Interface Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Interface stock prices and determine the direction of Interface's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of Interface's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
The relative strength index (RSI) of Interface's stock price is about 67. This usually implies that the stock is rather overbought by investors at the present time. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling Interface, making its price go up or down. Momentum 67
Buy Stretched
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.625 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.3833 | EPS Estimate Current Year 1.86 | EPS Estimate Next Year 2.0233 | Wall Street Target Price 36.3333 |
Using Interface hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Interface from the perspective of Interface response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Interface using Interface's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Interface using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Interface's stock price.
Interface Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in Interface's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Interface. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Interface stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA 25.1018 | Short Percent 0.0603 | Short Ratio 7.67 | Shares Short Prior Month 2.4 M | 50 Day MA 28.9574 |
Interface Relative Strength Index
The Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Interface on the next trading day is expected to be 32.37 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.36 and the sum of the absolute errors of 21.03.Interface Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Interface's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Interface. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Interface can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Interface. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Interface's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Interface.
Interface Implied Volatility | 1.15 |
Interface's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Interface stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Interface's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Interface stock will not fluctuate a lot when Interface's options are near their expiration.
The Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Interface on the next trading day is expected to be 32.37 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.36 and the sum of the absolute errors of 21.03. Interface after-hype prediction price | USD 32.21 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Interface | Build AI portfolio with Interface Stock |
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Interface contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Interface will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0719% per day over the life of the 2026-04-17 option contract. With Interface trading at USD 32.21, that is roughly USD 0.0232 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Interface's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Interface options at the current volatility level of 1.15%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-04-17 Interface Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Interface's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Interface's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Interface stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Interface's open interest, investors have to compare it to Interface's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Interface is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Interface. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Interface Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Interface price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Interface using various technical indicators. When you analyze Interface charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Interface Double Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 5th of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Interface on the next trading day is expected to be 32.37 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.36, mean absolute percentage error of 0.22, and the sum of the absolute errors of 21.03.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Interface Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Interface's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Interface Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Interface | Interface Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Interface Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Interface's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Interface's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 30.86 and 33.89, respectively. We have considered Interface's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Interface stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Interface stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | Huge |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.081 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.3565 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0125 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 21.0314 |
Predictive Modules for Interface
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Interface. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Interface After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Interface at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Interface or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Interface, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Interface Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Interface's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Interface's historical news coverage. Interface's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 30.69 and 33.73, respectively. We have considered Interface's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Interface is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Interface is based on 3 months time horizon.
Interface Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Interface is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Interface backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Interface, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.38 | 1.52 | 0.21 | 0.40 | 10 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
32.21 | 32.21 | 0.00 |
|
Interface Hype Timeline
Interface is at this time traded for 32.21. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.21, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.4. Interface is expected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is expected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.38%. %. The volatility of related hype on Interface is about 143.67%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 31.81. About 98.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The book value of Interface was at this time reported as 10.63. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.06. Interface last dividend was issued on the 28th of November 2025. The entity had 2:1 split on the 16th of June 1998. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next expected press release will be in about 10 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Interface to cross-verify your projections.Interface Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Interface's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Interface's future price movements. Getting to know how Interface's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Interface may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| MBC | MasterBrand | 0.08 | 7 per month | 3.00 | 0.01 | 5.50 | (3.83) | 15.86 | |
| LZB | La Z Boy Incorporated | 0.63 | 9 per month | 1.49 | 0.06 | 3.61 | (2.87) | 23.52 | |
| ARCO | Arcos Dorados Holdings | (0.04) | 10 per month | 1.21 | 0.09 | 3.86 | (2.19) | 8.77 | |
| LEG | Leggett Platt Incorporated | 0.03 | 11 per month | 1.77 | 0.10 | 4.46 | (3.23) | 19.69 | |
| BLBD | Blue Bird Corp | 0.96 | 12 per month | 2.13 | (0.01) | 2.20 | (3.24) | 12.97 | |
| TRS | TriMas | 0.33 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 2.27 | (3.19) | 8.40 | |
| SBH | Sally Beauty Holdings | (0.01) | 9 per month | 2.69 | 0.05 | 4.55 | (4.37) | 11.38 | |
| WINA | Winmark | (12.90) | 7 per month | 2.10 | 0.04 | 3.40 | (3.09) | 9.64 | |
| WEN | The Wendys Co | (0.06) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 4.07 | (4.04) | 11.11 | |
| ARHS | Arhaus Inc | 0.40 | 8 per month | 2.43 | (0.01) | 4.68 | (4.31) | 12.28 |
Other Forecasting Options for Interface
For every potential investor in Interface, whether a beginner or expert, Interface's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Interface Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Interface. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Interface's price trends.Interface Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Interface stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Interface could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Interface by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Interface Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Interface stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Interface shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Interface stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Interface entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Interface Risk Indicators
The analysis of Interface's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Interface's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting interface stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.27 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.69 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.81 | |||
| Variance | 3.29 | |||
| Downside Variance | 3.7 | |||
| Semi Variance | 2.86 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.38) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Interface
The number of cover stories for Interface depends on current market conditions and Interface's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Interface is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Interface's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
Contributor Headline
Latest Perspective From Macroaxis
Interface Short Properties
Interface's future price predictability will typically decrease when Interface's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Interface often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Interface's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Interface's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 58.9 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 99.2 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Interface to cross-verify your projections. For information on how to trade Interface Stock refer to our How to Trade Interface Stock guide.You can also try the Global Correlations module to find global opportunities by holding instruments from different markets.
Will Commercial Services & Supplies sector continue expanding? Could Interface diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Interface. If investors know Interface will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Interface data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.625 | Dividend Share 0.05 | Earnings Share 1.95 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.059 |
The market value of Interface is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Interface that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Interface's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Interface's true underlying value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Because Interface's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Interface's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Interface's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Interface is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. Meanwhile, Interface's quoted price indicates the marketplace figure where supply meets demand through bilateral consent.