Turkiye Garanti Pink Sheet Forward View - Simple Moving Average

TKGZY Stock  USD 0.56  0.00  0.00%   
Turkiye Pink Sheet outlook is based on your current time horizon.
At this time the relative strength index (rsi) of Turkiye Garanti's share price is below 20 . This usually implies that the pink sheet is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Turkiye Garanti's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Turkiye Garanti Bankasi, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Turkiye Garanti hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Turkiye Garanti Bankasi from the perspective of Turkiye Garanti response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Turkiye Garanti Bankasi on the next trading day is expected to be 0.56 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.00 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.00.

Turkiye Garanti after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 0.56  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Turkiye Garanti to cross-verify your projections.

Turkiye Garanti Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Turkiye price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Turkiye using various technical indicators. When you analyze Turkiye charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
A two period moving average forecast for Turkiye Garanti is based on an daily price series in which the stock price on a given day is replaced by the mean of that price and the preceding price. This model is best suited to price patterns experiencing average volatility.

Turkiye Garanti Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 8th of February

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Turkiye Garanti Bankasi on the next trading day is expected to be 0.56 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.00, mean absolute percentage error of 0.00, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.00.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Turkiye Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Turkiye Garanti's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Turkiye Garanti Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

Backtest Turkiye Garanti  Turkiye Garanti Price Prediction  Research Analysis  

Turkiye Garanti Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Turkiye Garanti's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Turkiye Garanti's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.56 and 0.56, respectively. We have considered Turkiye Garanti's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
0.56
0.56
Expected Value
0.56
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Turkiye Garanti pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Turkiye Garanti pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria-9.223372036854776E14
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0
SAESum of the absolute errors0.0
The simple moving average model is conceptually a linear regression of the current value of Turkiye Garanti Bankasi price series against current and previous (unobserved) value of Turkiye Garanti. In time series analysis, the simple moving-average model is a very common approach for modeling univariate price series models including forecasting prices into the future

Predictive Modules for Turkiye Garanti

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Turkiye Garanti Bankasi. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.560.560.56
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.470.470.62
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Turkiye Garanti. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Turkiye Garanti's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Turkiye Garanti's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Turkiye Garanti Bankasi.

Turkiye Garanti After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Turkiye Garanti at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Turkiye Garanti or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of Turkiye Garanti, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Turkiye Garanti Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Turkiye Garanti's pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Turkiye Garanti's historical news coverage. Turkiye Garanti's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.56 and 0.56, respectively. We have considered Turkiye Garanti's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
0.56
0.56
After-hype Price
0.56
Upside
Turkiye Garanti is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Turkiye Garanti Bankasi is based on 3 months time horizon.

Turkiye Garanti Pink Sheet Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Turkiye Garanti is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Turkiye Garanti backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Turkiye Garanti, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
 0.00  
0.00
 0.00  
 0.00  
0 Events / Month
0 Events / Month
Within a week
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
0.56
0.56
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

Turkiye Garanti Hype Timeline

Turkiye Garanti Bankasi is at this time traded for 0.56. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Turkiye is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.0%. %. The volatility of related hype on Turkiye Garanti is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.56. The company has price-to-book ratio of 0.4. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Turkiye Garanti Bankasi last dividend was issued on the 25th of May 2022. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next forecasted press release will be within a week.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Turkiye Garanti to cross-verify your projections.

Turkiye Garanti Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Turkiye Garanti's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Turkiye Garanti's future price movements. Getting to know how Turkiye Garanti's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Turkiye Garanti may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
BDGSFBank Of Georgia 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.05  0.00  0.00  42.86 
EQGPFEquitable Group 0.00 0 per month 0.82  0.17  4.30 (1.98) 16.27 
AOZOYAozora Bank Ltd 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.02  2.49  0.00  16.89 
WBHCWilson Bank Holding 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.36) 0.00  0.00  1.55 
SVNBYSeven Bank Ltd 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
BBAJFBanco Del Bajo 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.05) 8.33 (9.29) 24.04 
PLSQFPlus500 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0  0.00  0.00  56.80 
MCHBMechanics Bank 0.00 0 per month 1.60  0.11  4.29 (2.56) 8.13 
KGTHYKrungthai Card Public 0.00 0 per month 5.58  0.04  12.47 (11.82) 32.00 
SRMGFSpareBank 1 SMN 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 

Other Forecasting Options for Turkiye Garanti

For every potential investor in Turkiye, whether a beginner or expert, Turkiye Garanti's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Turkiye Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Turkiye. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Turkiye Garanti's price trends.

Turkiye Garanti Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Turkiye Garanti pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Turkiye Garanti could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Turkiye Garanti by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Turkiye Garanti Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Turkiye Garanti pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Turkiye Garanti shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Turkiye Garanti pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Turkiye Garanti Bankasi entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Story Coverage note for Turkiye Garanti

The number of cover stories for Turkiye Garanti depends on current market conditions and Turkiye Garanti's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Turkiye Garanti is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Turkiye Garanti's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios

Turkiye Garanti Short Properties

Turkiye Garanti's future price predictability will typically decrease when Turkiye Garanti's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Turkiye Garanti Bankasi often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Turkiye Garanti's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Turkiye Garanti's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding4.2 B
Dividends Paid1.3 B
Forward Annual Dividend Rate0.02
Shares Float589.1 M

Additional Tools for Turkiye Pink Sheet Analysis

When running Turkiye Garanti's price analysis, check to measure Turkiye Garanti's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Turkiye Garanti is operating at the current time. Most of Turkiye Garanti's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Turkiye Garanti's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Turkiye Garanti's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Turkiye Garanti to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.