TKO Group Stock Forward View - Accumulation Distribution
| TKO Stock | 206.75 6.76 3.38% |
TKO Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Although TKO Group's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we suggest always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of TKO Group's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of TKO Group fundamentals over time.
As of today the relative strength index (rsi) of TKO Group's share price is below 20 . This usually implies that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.65 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.33 | EPS Estimate Current Year 2.4511 | EPS Estimate Next Year 5.5456 | Wall Street Target Price 229.1579 |
Using TKO Group hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of TKO Group Holdings from the perspective of TKO Group response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards TKO Group using TKO Group's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards TKO using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of TKO Group's stock price.
TKO Group Short Interest
An investor who is long TKO Group may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about TKO Group and may potentially protect profits, hedge TKO Group with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 185.7401 | Short Percent 0.0931 | Short Ratio 7.21 | Shares Short Prior Month 7.4 M | 50 Day MA 205.6446 |
TKO Relative Strength Index
TKO Group Holdings Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to TKO Group's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in TKO. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding TKO can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around TKO Group Holdings. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of TKO Group's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about TKO Group.
TKO Group Implied Volatility | 0.39 |
TKO Group's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of TKO Group Holdings stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if TKO Group's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that TKO Group stock will not fluctuate a lot when TKO Group's options are near their expiration.
TKO Group after-hype prediction price | USD 205.84 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of TKO Group to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current TKO contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that TKO Group Holdings will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0244% per day over the life of the 2026-04-17 option contract. With TKO Group trading at USD 206.75, that is roughly USD 0.0504 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating TKO Group's daily price movement you should consider acquiring TKO Group Holdings options at the current volatility level of 0.39%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-04-17 TKO Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast TKO Group's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in TKO Group's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for TKO Group stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current TKO Group's open interest, investors have to compare it to TKO Group's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of TKO Group is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in TKO. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
TKO Group Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine TKO price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for TKO using various technical indicators. When you analyze TKO charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Previous Accumulation Distribution | Accumulation Distribution | Trend |
| 58145.6 | 30097.53 |
| Check TKO Group Volatility | Backtest TKO Group | Information Ratio |
TKO Group Trading Date Momentum
| On February 13 2026 TKO Group Holdings was traded for 206.75 at the closing time. Highest TKO Group's price during the trading hours was 207.16 and the lowest price during the day was 199.20 . The net volume was 783.3 K. The overall trading history on the 13th of February 2026 did not result in any price rise and fall. The trading price change to current price is 3.04% . |
Accumulation distribution indicator can signal that a trend is either nearing completion, at a continuation, or is about to break-outs. The actual value of this indicator is of no significance. What is significant is the change in value of over time. The formula for A/D of a given trading day can be expressed as follow: ((Close - Low) - (High - Close)) / (High - Low) X Volume
| Compare TKO Group to competition |
Other Forecasting Options for TKO Group
For every potential investor in TKO, whether a beginner or expert, TKO Group's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. TKO Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in TKO. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying TKO Group's price trends.TKO Group Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with TKO Group stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of TKO Group could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing TKO Group by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
TKO Group Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how TKO Group stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading TKO Group shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying TKO Group stock market strength indicators, traders can identify TKO Group Holdings entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 30097.53 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | 0.8492 | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.03 | |||
| Day Median Price | 203.18 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 204.37 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | 6.95 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | 6.76 |
TKO Group Risk Indicators
The analysis of TKO Group's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in TKO Group's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting tko stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.36 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.89 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.92 | |||
| Variance | 3.69 | |||
| Downside Variance | 4.77 | |||
| Semi Variance | 3.57 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.35) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for TKO Group
The number of cover stories for TKO Group depends on current market conditions and TKO Group's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that TKO Group is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about TKO Group's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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TKO Group Short Properties
TKO Group's future price predictability will typically decrease when TKO Group's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of TKO Group Holdings often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential TKO Group's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. TKO Group's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 171.9 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 525.6 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of TKO Group to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the CEOs Directory module to screen CEOs from public companies around the world.
Will Movies & Entertainment sector continue expanding? Could TKO diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of TKO Group. If investors know TKO will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every TKO Group data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.65 | Dividend Share 1.52 | Earnings Share 2.62 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.27) |
Investors evaluate TKO Group Holdings using market value (trading price) and book value (balance sheet equity), each telling a different story. Calculating TKO Group's intrinsic value - the estimated true worth - helps identify when the stock trades at a discount or premium to fair value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. External factors like market trends, sector rotation, and investor psychology can cause TKO Group's market price to deviate significantly from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between TKO Group's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if TKO Group is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. Conversely, TKO Group's market price signifies the transaction level at which participants voluntarily complete trades.