TMC The Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction
| TMC Stock | USD 8.32 0.15 1.84% |
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of TMC the metals on the next trading day is expected to be 9.22 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.44 and the sum of the absolute errors of 27.48. TMC Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast TMC The stock prices and determine the direction of TMC the metals's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of TMC The's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At the present time, The relative strength momentum indicator of TMC The's share price is at 56. This usually implies that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling TMC The, making its price go up or down. Momentum 56
Buy Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
EPS Estimate Next Quarter (0.06) | EPS Estimate Current Year (0.79) | EPS Estimate Next Year (0.22) | Wall Street Target Price 8.8 | EPS Estimate Current Quarter (0.05) |
Using TMC The hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of TMC the metals from the perspective of TMC The response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards TMC The using TMC The's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards TMC using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of TMC The's stock price.
TMC The Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in TMC The's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards TMC. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of TMC The stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA 5.7746 | Short Percent 0.1123 | Short Ratio 3.21 | Shares Short Prior Month 28.3 M | 50 Day MA 6.6428 |
TMC the metals Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to TMC The's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in TMC. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding TMC can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around TMC the metals. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
TMC The Implied Volatility | 1.18 |
TMC The's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of TMC the metals stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if TMC The's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that TMC The stock will not fluctuate a lot when TMC The's options are near their expiration.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of TMC the metals on the next trading day is expected to be 9.22 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.44 and the sum of the absolute errors of 27.48.
TMC The after-hype prediction price | USD 8.32 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of TMC The to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current TMC contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that TMC the metals will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0738% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With TMC The trading at USD 8.32, that is roughly USD 0.006136 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating TMC The's daily price movement you should consider acquiring TMC the metals options at the current volatility level of 1.18%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 TMC Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast TMC The's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in TMC The's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for TMC The stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current TMC The's open interest, investors have to compare it to TMC The's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of TMC The is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in TMC. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
TMC The Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine TMC price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for TMC using various technical indicators. When you analyze TMC charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
TMC The Cash Forecast
Forecasting cash, or other financial indicators, requires analysts to apply different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden patterns within the TMC The's financial statements to predict how it will affect future prices.
Cash | First Reported 2020-03-31 | Previous Quarter 115.8 M | Current Value 115.6 M | Quarterly Volatility 40.7 M |
TMC The Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 24th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of TMC the metals on the next trading day is expected to be 9.22 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.44, mean absolute percentage error of 0.28, and the sum of the absolute errors of 27.48.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict TMC Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that TMC The's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
TMC The Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest TMC The | TMC The Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
TMC The Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting TMC The's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. TMC The's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 2.61 and 15.83, respectively. We have considered TMC The's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of TMC The stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent TMC The stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 118.6582 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.4432 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0669 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 27.4756 |
Predictive Modules for TMC The
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as TMC the metals. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.TMC The After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of TMC The at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in TMC The or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of TMC The, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
TMC The Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting TMC The's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on TMC The's historical news coverage. TMC The's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 1.74 and 14.90, respectively. We have considered TMC The's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
TMC The is unstable at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of TMC the metals is based on 3 months time horizon.
TMC The Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as TMC The is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading TMC The backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with TMC The, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.53 | 6.61 | 0.08 | 0.35 | 10 Events / Month | 6 Events / Month | In about 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
8.32 | 8.32 | 0.00 |
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TMC The Hype Timeline
On the 23rd of January TMC the metals is traded for 8.32. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.08, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.35. TMC is expected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is expected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.53%. %. The volatility of related hype on TMC The is about 1001.52%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 8.67. About 49.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company recorded a loss per share of 0.79. TMC the metals had not issued any dividends in recent years. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next expected press release will be in about 10 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of TMC The to cross-verify your projections.TMC The Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to TMC The's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict TMC The's future price movements. Getting to know how TMC The's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how TMC The may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| USAS | Americas Silver Corp | (0.13) | 4 per month | 4.38 | 0.19 | 8.82 | (6.99) | 23.85 | |
| MTRN | Materion | (0.23) | 18 per month | 2.64 | 0.06 | 3.81 | (2.60) | 17.50 | |
| BCC | Boise Cascad Llc | 0.08 | 8 per month | 1.67 | 0.09 | 6.20 | (3.06) | 11.47 | |
| SKE | Skeena Resources | 0.57 | 8 per month | 2.79 | 0.22 | 6.65 | (4.34) | 19.40 | |
| MEOH | Methanex | (0.62) | 11 per month | 1.35 | 0.16 | 3.94 | (2.58) | 21.41 | |
| TGLS | Tecnoglass | 0.19 | 3 per month | 0.00 | (0.14) | 3.42 | (5.37) | 10.25 | |
| TTAM | Titan America SA | 0.30 | 9 per month | 1.75 | 0.06 | 3.28 | (2.56) | 8.96 | |
| WDFC | WD 40 Company | 6.16 | 6 per month | 1.91 | 0.04 | 2.86 | (2.98) | 10.75 | |
| FSM | Fortuna Silver Mines | 0.19 | 3 per month | 2.49 | 0.12 | 4.51 | (3.97) | 14.17 | |
| USAR | USA Rare Earth | 0.09 | 8 per month | 6.91 | (0.01) | 13.92 | (12.73) | 37.41 |
Other Forecasting Options for TMC The
For every potential investor in TMC, whether a beginner or expert, TMC The's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. TMC Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in TMC. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying TMC The's price trends.TMC The Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with TMC The stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of TMC The could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing TMC The by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
TMC The Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how TMC The stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading TMC The shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying TMC The stock market strength indicators, traders can identify TMC the metals entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
TMC The Risk Indicators
The analysis of TMC The's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in TMC The's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting tmc stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 4.87 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 5.25 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 6.46 | |||
| Variance | 41.67 | |||
| Downside Variance | 29.35 | |||
| Semi Variance | 27.53 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (5.76) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for TMC The
The number of cover stories for TMC The depends on current market conditions and TMC The's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that TMC The is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about TMC The's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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TMC The Short Properties
TMC The's future price predictability will typically decrease when TMC The's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of TMC the metals often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential TMC The's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. TMC The's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 321.9 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 3.5 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of TMC The to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the CEOs Directory module to screen CEOs from public companies around the world.
Is Diversified Metals & Mining space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of TMC The. If investors know TMC will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about TMC The listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of TMC the metals is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of TMC that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of TMC The's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is TMC The's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because TMC The's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect TMC The's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between TMC The's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if TMC The is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, TMC The's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.