TransMedics Stock Forward View - Accumulation Distribution

TMDX Stock  USD 129.60  0.77  0.59%   
TransMedics Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon.
At this time the relative strength index (rsi) of TransMedics' share price is below 20 . This usually implies that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of TransMedics' future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with TransMedics Group, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting TransMedics' stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
4.501
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
0.4057
EPS Estimate Current Year
2.5678
EPS Estimate Next Year
2.9531
Wall Street Target Price
144.2
Using TransMedics hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of TransMedics Group from the perspective of TransMedics response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards TransMedics using TransMedics' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards TransMedics using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of TransMedics' stock price.

TransMedics Short Interest

An investor who is long TransMedics may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about TransMedics and may potentially protect profits, hedge TransMedics with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA
121.909
Short Percent
0.3654
Short Ratio
10.65
Shares Short Prior Month
7.2 M
50 Day MA
133.9997

TransMedics Relative Strength Index

TransMedics Group Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to TransMedics' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in TransMedics. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding TransMedics can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around TransMedics Group. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of TransMedics' market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about TransMedics.

TransMedics Implied Volatility

    
  0.73  
TransMedics' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of TransMedics Group stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if TransMedics' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that TransMedics stock will not fluctuate a lot when TransMedics' options are near their expiration.

TransMedics after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 129.8  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of TransMedics to cross-verify your projections.

Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current TransMedics contract

Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that TransMedics Group will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0456% per day over the life of the 2026-04-17 option contract. With TransMedics trading at USD 129.6, that is roughly USD 0.0591 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating TransMedics' daily price movement you should consider acquiring TransMedics Group options at the current volatility level of 0.73%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.

Open Interest Against 2026-04-17 TransMedics Option Contracts

Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast TransMedics' spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in TransMedics' options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for TransMedics stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current TransMedics' open interest, investors have to compare it to TransMedics' spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of TransMedics is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in TransMedics. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.

TransMedics Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine TransMedics price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for TransMedics using various technical indicators. When you analyze TransMedics charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
TransMedics Group has current Accumulation Distribution of 31819.74. The accumulation distribution (A/D) indicator shows the degree to which TransMedics is accumulated by the market over a given period. It uses the quote sensitivity to the highest or lowest daily price of TransMedics Group to determine if accumulation or reduction is taking place in the market. This value is adjusted by TransMedics trading volume to give more weight to distributions with higher volume over lower volume.
Check TransMedics VolatilityBacktest TransMedicsInformation Ratio  

TransMedics Trading Date Momentum

On February 05 2026 TransMedics Group was traded for  129.60  at the closing time. The top price for the day was 132.19  and the lowest listed price was  127.00 . The trading volume for the day was 810.5 K. The trading history from February 5, 2026 did not result in any price rise and fall. The trading price change against the current closing price is 1.79% .
Accumulation distribution indicator can signal that a trend is either nearing completion, at a continuation, or is about to break-outs. The actual value of this indicator is of no significance. What is significant is the change in value of over time. The formula for A/D of a given trading day can be expressed as follow: ((Close - Low) - (High - Close)) / (High - Low) X Volume
Compare TransMedics to competition

Other Forecasting Options for TransMedics

For every potential investor in TransMedics, whether a beginner or expert, TransMedics' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. TransMedics Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in TransMedics. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying TransMedics' price trends.

TransMedics Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with TransMedics stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of TransMedics could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing TransMedics by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

TransMedics Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how TransMedics stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading TransMedics shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying TransMedics stock market strength indicators, traders can identify TransMedics Group entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

TransMedics Risk Indicators

The analysis of TransMedics' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in TransMedics' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting transmedics stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for TransMedics

The number of cover stories for TransMedics depends on current market conditions and TransMedics' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that TransMedics is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about TransMedics' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

TransMedics Short Properties

TransMedics' future price predictability will typically decrease when TransMedics' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of TransMedics Group often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential TransMedics' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. TransMedics' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding35.2 M
Cash And Short Term Investments336.6 M

Additional Tools for TransMedics Stock Analysis

When running TransMedics' price analysis, check to measure TransMedics' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy TransMedics is operating at the current time. Most of TransMedics' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of TransMedics' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move TransMedics' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of TransMedics to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.