Trend Micro Pink Sheet Forecast - Simple Regression
| TMICF Stock | USD 42.82 0.00 0.00% |
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Trend Micro on the next trading day is expected to be 42.83 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.40 and the sum of the absolute errors of 85.22. Trend Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Trend Micro's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 24th of January 2026 the relative strength index (rsi) of Trend Micro's share price is below 20 . This usually implies that the pink sheet is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Trend Micro hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Trend Micro from the perspective of Trend Micro response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Trend Micro on the next trading day is expected to be 42.83 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.40 and the sum of the absolute errors of 85.22. Trend Micro after-hype prediction price | USD 42.82 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Trend |
Trend Micro Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Trend price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Trend using various technical indicators. When you analyze Trend charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Trend Micro Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 25th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Trend Micro on the next trading day is expected to be 42.83 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.40, mean absolute percentage error of 2.89, and the sum of the absolute errors of 85.22.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Trend Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Trend Micro's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Trend Micro Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Trend Micro | Trend Micro Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Trend Micro Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Trend Micro's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Trend Micro's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 41.03 and 44.64, respectively. We have considered Trend Micro's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Trend Micro pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Trend Micro pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 119.1721 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 1.3971 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0307 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 85.2237 |
Predictive Modules for Trend Micro
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Trend Micro. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Trend Micro's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Trend Micro After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Trend Micro at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Trend Micro or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of Trend Micro, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Trend Micro Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Trend Micro's pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Trend Micro's historical news coverage. Trend Micro's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 41.02 and 44.62, respectively. We have considered Trend Micro's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Trend Micro is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Trend Micro is based on 3 months time horizon.
Trend Micro Pink Sheet Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Trend Micro is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Trend Micro backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Trend Micro, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.16 | 1.80 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | Within a week |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
42.82 | 42.82 | 0.00 |
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Trend Micro Hype Timeline
Trend Micro is at this time traded for 42.82. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Trend is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.16%. %. The volatility of related hype on Trend Micro is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 42.82. About 72.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The book value of Trend Micro was at this time reported as 1718.18. The company last dividend was issued on the 30th of December 2021. Trend Micro had 2:1 split on the 27th of March 2001. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next forecasted press release will be within a week. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Trend Micro to cross-verify your projections.Trend Micro Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Trend Micro's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Trend Micro's future price movements. Getting to know how Trend Micro's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Trend Micro may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| NEXPF | Nexi SpA | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| NEXXY | Nexi SpA | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.17) | 3.60 | (4.39) | 8.19 | |
| TOITF | Topicus | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.19) | 3.71 | (5.11) | 14.44 | |
| TMSNY | Temenos Group AG | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.74 | 0.11 | 3.07 | (3.28) | 11.73 | |
| SQNXF | Square Enix Holdings | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 2.36 | (7.44) | 23.06 | |
| SQNNY | Square Enix Holdings | 0.00 | 0 per month | 3.79 | (0.01) | 9.27 | (7.40) | 29.71 | |
| OTGLY | CD Projekt SA | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.06 | 0.02 | 4.46 | (3.40) | 11.23 | |
| KSFTF | Kingsoft Limited | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.21) | 0.00 | 0.00 | 13.18 | |
| SHMZF | Shimadzu | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 0.00 | 0.00 | 5.43 | |
| TMNSF | Temenos AG | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.13 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 7.53 |
Other Forecasting Options for Trend Micro
For every potential investor in Trend, whether a beginner or expert, Trend Micro's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Trend Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Trend. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Trend Micro's price trends.Trend Micro Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Trend Micro pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Trend Micro could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Trend Micro by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Trend Micro Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Trend Micro pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Trend Micro shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Trend Micro pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Trend Micro entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Trend Micro Risk Indicators
The analysis of Trend Micro's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Trend Micro's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting trend pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.4472 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.82 | |||
| Variance | 3.31 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Trend Micro
The number of cover stories for Trend Micro depends on current market conditions and Trend Micro's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Trend Micro is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Trend Micro's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Other Information on Investing in Trend Pink Sheet
Trend Micro financial ratios help investors to determine whether Trend Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Trend with respect to the benefits of owning Trend Micro security.