Temenos AG Pink Sheet Forward View

TMNSF Stock  USD 82.60  14.20  14.67%   
Temenos Pink Sheet outlook is based on your current time horizon. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of Temenos AG's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 7th of February 2026 the relative strength index (rsi) of Temenos AG's share price is below 20 . This usually implies that the pink sheet is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Temenos AG's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Temenos AG and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Temenos AG's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Temenos AG, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Temenos AG hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Temenos AG from the perspective of Temenos AG response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Temenos AG on the next trading day is expected to be 74.27 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.73 and the sum of the absolute errors of 105.77.

Temenos AG after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 82.6  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Temenos AG to cross-verify your projections.

Temenos AG Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Temenos price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Temenos using various technical indicators. When you analyze Temenos charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
A naive forecasting model for Temenos AG is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Temenos AG value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Temenos AG Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 8th of February

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Temenos AG on the next trading day is expected to be 74.27 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.73, mean absolute percentage error of 7.48, and the sum of the absolute errors of 105.77.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Temenos Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Temenos AG's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Temenos AG Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

Backtest Temenos AG  Temenos AG Price Prediction  Research Analysis  

Temenos AG Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Temenos AG's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Temenos AG's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 71.73 and 76.80, respectively. We have considered Temenos AG's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
82.60
74.27
Expected Value
76.80
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Temenos AG pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Temenos AG pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria120.1225
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation1.734
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0197
SAESum of the absolute errors105.7713
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Temenos AG. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Temenos AG. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Temenos AG

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Temenos AG. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Temenos AG's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
80.0782.6085.13
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
74.3486.1588.68
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
78.6986.5594.40
Details

Temenos AG After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Temenos AG at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Temenos AG or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of Temenos AG, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Temenos AG Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Temenos AG's pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Temenos AG's historical news coverage. Temenos AG's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 80.07 and 85.13, respectively. We have considered Temenos AG's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
82.60
82.60
After-hype Price
85.13
Upside
Temenos AG is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Temenos AG is based on 3 months time horizon.

Temenos AG Pink Sheet Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Temenos AG is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Temenos AG backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Temenos AG, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.03 
2.53
 0.00  
 0.00  
28 Events / Month
7 Events / Month
In about 28 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
82.60
82.60
0.00 
8,433  
Notes

Temenos AG Hype Timeline

Temenos AG is at this time traded for 82.60. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Temenos is projected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is projected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.03%. %. The volatility of related hype on Temenos AG is about 14055.56%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 82.60. About 61.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 2.2. Temenos AG last dividend was issued on the 31st of May 2022. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next projected press release will be in about 28 days.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Temenos AG to cross-verify your projections.

Temenos AG Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Temenos AG's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Temenos AG's future price movements. Getting to know how Temenos AG's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Temenos AG may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

Other Forecasting Options for Temenos AG

For every potential investor in Temenos, whether a beginner or expert, Temenos AG's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Temenos Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Temenos. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Temenos AG's price trends.

Temenos AG Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Temenos AG pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Temenos AG could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Temenos AG by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Temenos AG Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Temenos AG pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Temenos AG shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Temenos AG pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Temenos AG entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Temenos AG Risk Indicators

The analysis of Temenos AG's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Temenos AG's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting temenos pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Temenos AG

The number of cover stories for Temenos AG depends on current market conditions and Temenos AG's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Temenos AG is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Temenos AG's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Information on Investing in Temenos Pink Sheet

Temenos AG financial ratios help investors to determine whether Temenos Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Temenos with respect to the benefits of owning Temenos AG security.