Temenos AG Pink Sheet Forecast - Simple Moving Average
| TMNSF Stock | USD 96.80 11.17 13.04% |
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Temenos AG on the next trading day is expected to be 96.80 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.33 and the sum of the absolute errors of 19.75. Temenos Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Temenos AG's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 24th of January 2026 the relative strength index (rsi) of Temenos AG's share price is below 20 . This usually implies that the pink sheet is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Temenos AG hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Temenos AG from the perspective of Temenos AG response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Temenos AG on the next trading day is expected to be 96.80 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.33 and the sum of the absolute errors of 19.75. Temenos AG after-hype prediction price | USD 96.05 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
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Temenos AG Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Temenos price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Temenos using various technical indicators. When you analyze Temenos charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Temenos AG Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 25th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Temenos AG on the next trading day is expected to be 96.80 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.33, mean absolute percentage error of 2.80, and the sum of the absolute errors of 19.75.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Temenos Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Temenos AG's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Temenos AG Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Temenos AG | Temenos AG Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Temenos AG Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Temenos AG's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Temenos AG's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 94.89 and 98.71, respectively. We have considered Temenos AG's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Temenos AG pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Temenos AG pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 115.4629 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.3348 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.3348 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0035 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 19.755 |
Predictive Modules for Temenos AG
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Temenos AG. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Temenos AG's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Temenos AG After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Temenos AG at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Temenos AG or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of Temenos AG, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Temenos AG Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Temenos AG's pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Temenos AG's historical news coverage. Temenos AG's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 94.14 and 97.96, respectively. We have considered Temenos AG's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Temenos AG is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Temenos AG is based on 3 months time horizon.
Temenos AG Pink Sheet Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Temenos AG is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Temenos AG backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Temenos AG, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.34 | 1.91 | 0.75 | 0.02 | 6 Events / Month | 3 Events / Month | In about 6 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
96.80 | 96.05 | 0.77 |
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Temenos AG Hype Timeline
Temenos AG is at this time traded for 96.80. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.75, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.02. Temenos is projected to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 96.05. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is about 86.43%. The price reduction on the next news is expected to be -0.77%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.34%. The volatility of related hype on Temenos AG is about 3031.75%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 96.78. About 61.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 2.2. Temenos AG last dividend was issued on the 31st of May 2022. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next projected press release will be in about 6 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Temenos AG to cross-verify your projections.Temenos AG Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Temenos AG's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Temenos AG's future price movements. Getting to know how Temenos AG's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Temenos AG may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| AACAY | AAC Technologies Holdings | (0.59) | 11 per month | 2.27 | (0.03) | 3.96 | (4.60) | 12.86 | |
| AACAF | AAC Technologies Holdings | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 0.39 | 0.00 | 14.76 | |
| NEXXY | Nexi SpA | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.16) | 3.60 | (4.39) | 10.78 | |
| KGDEY | Kingdee International Software | (0.42) | 2 per month | 0.00 | (0.02) | 8.52 | (5.46) | 20.20 | |
| BECTY | Bechtle AG | (0.59) | 23 per month | 2.19 | 0.06 | 7.66 | (1.68) | 26.14 | |
| BHTLF | Bechtle AG | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.03 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 26.79 | |
| ASOZF | Asseco Poland SA | (0.59) | 16 per month | 0.00 | (0.17) | 0.00 | 0.00 | 3.25 | |
| SEKEF | Seiko Epson | 1.56 | 4 per month | 0.00 | 0.05 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 9.08 | |
| FNOXF | Fortnox AB | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| SHMZF | Shimadzu | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 0.00 | 0.00 | 5.43 |
Other Forecasting Options for Temenos AG
For every potential investor in Temenos, whether a beginner or expert, Temenos AG's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Temenos Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Temenos. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Temenos AG's price trends.Temenos AG Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Temenos AG pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Temenos AG could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Temenos AG by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Temenos AG Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Temenos AG pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Temenos AG shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Temenos AG pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Temenos AG entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Daily Balance Of Power | 9.2 T | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.13 | |||
| Day Median Price | 96.8 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 96.8 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | 5.59 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | 11.17 |
Temenos AG Risk Indicators
The analysis of Temenos AG's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Temenos AG's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting temenos pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.6047 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.84 | |||
| Variance | 3.39 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Temenos AG
The number of cover stories for Temenos AG depends on current market conditions and Temenos AG's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Temenos AG is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Temenos AG's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Other Information on Investing in Temenos Pink Sheet
Temenos AG financial ratios help investors to determine whether Temenos Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Temenos with respect to the benefits of owning Temenos AG security.