Thermo Fisher Stock Forecast - Simple Regression
| TMO Stock | USD 632.13 6.15 0.98% |
Thermo Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Although Thermo Fisher's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Thermo Fisher's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Thermo Fisher fundamentals over time.
The relative strength index (RSI) of Thermo Fisher's stock price is about 62. This usually implies that the stock is rather overbought by investors as of today. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling Thermo, making its price go up or down. Momentum 62
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Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.005 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 6.522 | EPS Estimate Current Year 22.7281 | EPS Estimate Next Year 24.6573 | Wall Street Target Price 652.6087 |
Using Thermo Fisher hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Thermo Fisher Scientific from the perspective of Thermo Fisher response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Thermo Fisher using Thermo Fisher's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Thermo using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Thermo Fisher's stock price.
Thermo Fisher Short Interest
An investor who is long Thermo Fisher may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Thermo Fisher and may potentially protect profits, hedge Thermo Fisher with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 494.3107 | Short Percent 0.0104 | Short Ratio 2.61 | Shares Short Prior Month 5.1 M | 50 Day MA 590.1292 |
Thermo Relative Strength Index
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Thermo Fisher Scientific on the next trading day is expected to be 618.48 with a mean absolute deviation of 11.83 and the sum of the absolute errors of 721.37.Thermo Fisher Scientific Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Thermo Fisher's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Thermo. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Thermo can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Thermo Fisher Scientific. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Thermo Fisher's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Thermo Fisher.
Thermo Fisher Implied Volatility | 0.42 |
Thermo Fisher's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Thermo Fisher Scientific stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Thermo Fisher's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Thermo Fisher stock will not fluctuate a lot when Thermo Fisher's options are near their expiration.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Thermo Fisher Scientific on the next trading day is expected to be 618.48 with a mean absolute deviation of 11.83 and the sum of the absolute errors of 721.37. Thermo Fisher after-hype prediction price | USD 627.88 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Thermo Fisher to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Thermo contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Thermo Fisher Scientific will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0263% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With Thermo Fisher trading at USD 632.13, that is roughly USD 0.17 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Thermo Fisher's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Thermo Fisher Scientific options at the current volatility level of 0.42%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 Thermo Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Thermo Fisher's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Thermo Fisher's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Thermo Fisher stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Thermo Fisher's open interest, investors have to compare it to Thermo Fisher's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Thermo Fisher is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Thermo. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Thermo Fisher Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Thermo price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Thermo using various technical indicators. When you analyze Thermo charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Thermo Fisher Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 27th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Thermo Fisher Scientific on the next trading day is expected to be 618.48 with a mean absolute deviation of 11.83, mean absolute percentage error of 196.11, and the sum of the absolute errors of 721.37.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Thermo Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Thermo Fisher's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Thermo Fisher Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Thermo Fisher | Thermo Fisher Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Thermo Fisher Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Thermo Fisher's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Thermo Fisher's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 617.25 and 619.70, respectively. We have considered Thermo Fisher's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Thermo Fisher stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Thermo Fisher stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 123.3892 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 11.8257 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0201 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 721.3678 |
Predictive Modules for Thermo Fisher
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Thermo Fisher Scientific. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Thermo Fisher After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Thermo Fisher at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Thermo Fisher or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Thermo Fisher, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Thermo Fisher Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Thermo Fisher's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Thermo Fisher's historical news coverage. Thermo Fisher's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 563.38 and 629.10, respectively. We have considered Thermo Fisher's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Thermo Fisher is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Thermo Fisher Scientific is based on 3 months time horizon.
Thermo Fisher Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Thermo Fisher is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Thermo Fisher backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Thermo Fisher, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.20 | 1.22 | 1.90 | 0.08 | 7 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 7 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
632.13 | 627.88 | 0.30 |
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Thermo Fisher Hype Timeline
On the 26th of January Thermo Fisher Scientific is traded for 632.13. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 1.9, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.08. Thermo is expected to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 627.88 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is about 12.83%. The price boost on the next news is projected to be 0.3%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.2%. The volatility of related hype on Thermo Fisher is about 311.22%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 632.05. The company reported the last year's revenue of 42.88 B. Total Income to common stockholders was 6.34 B with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 18.1 B. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next expected press release will be in about 7 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Thermo Fisher to cross-verify your projections.Thermo Fisher Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Thermo Fisher's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Thermo Fisher's future price movements. Getting to know how Thermo Fisher's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Thermo Fisher may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| ABT | Abbott Laboratories | (1.47) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.21) | 1.77 | (1.72) | 13.37 | |
| DHR | Danaher | 1.82 | 10 per month | 0.90 | 0.08 | 2.35 | (1.67) | 8.54 | |
| MRK | Merck Company | 1.34 | 7 per month | 1.09 | 0.17 | 3.59 | (1.98) | 8.09 | |
| NVO | Novo Nordisk AS | 0.46 | 6 per month | 1.91 | 0.05 | 5.80 | (2.86) | 12.57 | |
| ISRG | Intuitive Surgical | (12.40) | 10 per month | 1.07 | 0.06 | 3.27 | (2.20) | 16.72 | |
| NVS | Novartis AG ADR | (0.42) | 7 per month | 1.04 | 0.07 | 2.59 | (2.06) | 5.29 | |
| AZN | AstraZeneca PLC ADR | (0.20) | 7 per month | 1.26 | 0.06 | 2.62 | (1.72) | 8.81 | |
| AMGN | Amgen Inc | 5.42 | 33 per month | 1.19 | 0.08 | 3.47 | (2.31) | 11.18 | |
| A | Agilent Technologies | (1.76) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 2.90 | (2.58) | 7.85 | |
| IQV | IQVIA Holdings | 3.29 | 8 per month | 0.92 | 0.06 | 3.12 | (1.65) | 6.05 |
Other Forecasting Options for Thermo Fisher
For every potential investor in Thermo, whether a beginner or expert, Thermo Fisher's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Thermo Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Thermo. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Thermo Fisher's price trends.Thermo Fisher Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Thermo Fisher stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Thermo Fisher could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Thermo Fisher by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Thermo Fisher Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Thermo Fisher stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Thermo Fisher shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Thermo Fisher stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Thermo Fisher Scientific entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Thermo Fisher Risk Indicators
The analysis of Thermo Fisher's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Thermo Fisher's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting thermo stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.03 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 0.7682 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.27 | |||
| Variance | 1.6 | |||
| Downside Variance | 0.9758 | |||
| Semi Variance | 0.5901 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.23) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Thermo Fisher
The number of cover stories for Thermo Fisher depends on current market conditions and Thermo Fisher's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Thermo Fisher is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Thermo Fisher's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Thermo Fisher Short Properties
Thermo Fisher's future price predictability will typically decrease when Thermo Fisher's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Thermo Fisher Scientific often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Thermo Fisher's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Thermo Fisher's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 383 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 5.6 B |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Thermo Fisher to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Bond Analysis module to evaluate and analyze corporate bonds as a potential investment for your portfolios..
Is Life Sciences Tools & Services space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Thermo Fisher. If investors know Thermo will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Thermo Fisher listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.005 | Dividend Share 1.68 | Earnings Share 17.34 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.049 |
The market value of Thermo Fisher Scientific is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Thermo that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Thermo Fisher's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Thermo Fisher's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Thermo Fisher's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Thermo Fisher's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Thermo Fisher's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Thermo Fisher is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Thermo Fisher's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.