Teekay Tankers Stock Forward View - Simple Regression
| TNK Stock | USD 64.52 0.33 0.51% |
Teekay Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Although Teekay Tankers' naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Teekay Tankers' systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Teekay Tankers fundamentals over time.
The value of relative strength index of Teekay Tankers' stock price is about 63. This usually implies that the stock is rather overbought by investors as of now. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling Teekay, making its price go up or down. Momentum 63
Buy Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.492 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 2.3381 | EPS Estimate Current Year 6.8304 | EPS Estimate Next Year 7.89 | Wall Street Target Price 67 |
Using Teekay Tankers hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Teekay Tankers from the perspective of Teekay Tankers response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Teekay Tankers using Teekay Tankers' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Teekay using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Teekay Tankers' stock price.
Teekay Tankers Short Interest
An investor who is long Teekay Tankers may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Teekay Tankers and may potentially protect profits, hedge Teekay Tankers with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 50.3957 | Short Percent 0.0269 | Short Ratio 1.57 | Shares Short Prior Month 615.2 K | 50 Day MA 57.4746 |
Teekay Relative Strength Index
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Teekay Tankers on the next trading day is expected to be 58.35 with a mean absolute deviation of 3.35 and the sum of the absolute errors of 207.68.Teekay Tankers Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Teekay Tankers' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Teekay. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Teekay can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Teekay Tankers. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Teekay Tankers' market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Teekay Tankers.
Teekay Tankers Implied Volatility | 0.47 |
Teekay Tankers' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Teekay Tankers stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Teekay Tankers' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Teekay Tankers stock will not fluctuate a lot when Teekay Tankers' options are near their expiration.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Teekay Tankers on the next trading day is expected to be 58.35 with a mean absolute deviation of 3.35 and the sum of the absolute errors of 207.68. Teekay Tankers after-hype prediction price | USD 64.98 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Teekay Tankers to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Teekay contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Teekay Tankers will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0294% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With Teekay Tankers trading at USD 64.52, that is roughly USD 0.019 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Teekay Tankers' daily price movement you should consider acquiring Teekay Tankers options at the current volatility level of 0.47%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 Teekay Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Teekay Tankers' spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Teekay Tankers' options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Teekay Tankers stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Teekay Tankers' open interest, investors have to compare it to Teekay Tankers' spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Teekay Tankers is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Teekay. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Teekay Tankers Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Teekay price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Teekay using various technical indicators. When you analyze Teekay charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Teekay Tankers Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 1st of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Teekay Tankers on the next trading day is expected to be 58.35 with a mean absolute deviation of 3.35, mean absolute percentage error of 13.65, and the sum of the absolute errors of 207.68.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Teekay Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Teekay Tankers' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Teekay Tankers Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Teekay Tankers | Teekay Tankers Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Teekay Tankers Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Teekay Tankers' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Teekay Tankers' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 56.24 and 60.47, respectively. We have considered Teekay Tankers' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Teekay Tankers stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Teekay Tankers stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 122.562 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 3.3497 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0581 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 207.6815 |
Predictive Modules for Teekay Tankers
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Teekay Tankers. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Teekay Tankers After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Teekay Tankers at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Teekay Tankers or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Teekay Tankers, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Teekay Tankers Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Teekay Tankers' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Teekay Tankers' historical news coverage. Teekay Tankers' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 62.86 and 67.10, respectively. We have considered Teekay Tankers' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Teekay Tankers is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Teekay Tankers is based on 3 months time horizon.
Teekay Tankers Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Teekay Tankers is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Teekay Tankers backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Teekay Tankers, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.13 | 2.12 | 0.46 | 0.02 | 9 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 9 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
64.52 | 64.98 | 0.71 |
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Teekay Tankers Hype Timeline
On the 31st of January Teekay Tankers is traded for 64.52. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.46, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.02. Teekay is estimated to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 64.98 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is about 60.57%. The price upswing on the next news is projected to be 0.71%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.13%. The volatility of related hype on Teekay Tankers is about 1766.67%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 64.54. The company reported the last year's revenue of 1.23 B. Total Income to common stockholders was 403.67 M with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 307.44 M. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next estimated press release will be in about 9 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Teekay Tankers to cross-verify your projections.Teekay Tankers Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Teekay Tankers' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Teekay Tankers' future price movements. Getting to know how Teekay Tankers' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Teekay Tankers may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| TRMD | Torm PLC Class | (0.02) | 8 per month | 1.29 | 0.10 | 4.36 | (2.28) | 10.37 | |
| DHT | DHT Holdings | 0.27 | 10 per month | 1.35 | 0.08 | 3.00 | (2.35) | 12.28 | |
| NOG | Northern Oil Gas | (0.16) | 9 per month | 2.34 | 0.08 | 5.26 | (3.89) | 10.76 | |
| GEL | Genesis Energy LP | (0.47) | 10 per month | 1.65 | 0.06 | 3.56 | (2.69) | 8.17 | |
| CSAN | Cosan SA ADR | (0.23) | 8 per month | 3.19 | 0.01 | 5.52 | (6.29) | 18.30 | |
| INSW | International Seaways | 3.86 | 9 per month | 1.31 | 0.14 | 3.52 | (2.42) | 14.71 | |
| DKL | Delek Logistics Partners | (0.42) | 11 per month | 1.19 | 0.12 | 2.42 | (1.69) | 10.05 | |
| SM | SM Energy Co | 0.01 | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 3.59 | (4.49) | 10.18 | |
| SDRL | Seadrill Limited | (1.31) | 6 per month | 2.25 | 0.1 | 4.85 | (3.85) | 14.86 | |
| PARR | Par Pacific Holdings | (0.33) | 26 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 5.03 | (4.58) | 15.14 |
Other Forecasting Options for Teekay Tankers
For every potential investor in Teekay, whether a beginner or expert, Teekay Tankers' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Teekay Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Teekay. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Teekay Tankers' price trends.Teekay Tankers Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Teekay Tankers stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Teekay Tankers could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Teekay Tankers by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Teekay Tankers Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Teekay Tankers stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Teekay Tankers shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Teekay Tankers stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Teekay Tankers entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Teekay Tankers Risk Indicators
The analysis of Teekay Tankers' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Teekay Tankers' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting teekay stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.47 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.71 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.11 | |||
| Variance | 4.46 | |||
| Downside Variance | 3.65 | |||
| Semi Variance | 2.91 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.46) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Teekay Tankers
The number of cover stories for Teekay Tankers depends on current market conditions and Teekay Tankers' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Teekay Tankers is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Teekay Tankers' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Teekay Tankers Short Properties
Teekay Tankers' future price predictability will typically decrease when Teekay Tankers' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Teekay Tankers often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Teekay Tankers' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Teekay Tankers' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 34.7 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 534.3 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Teekay Tankers to cross-verify your projections. For more information on how to buy Teekay Stock please use our How to buy in Teekay Stock guide.You can also try the Price Exposure Probability module to analyze equity upside and downside potential for a given time horizon across multiple markets.
Is Oil & Gas Storage & Transportation space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Teekay Tankers. If investors know Teekay will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. Comprehensive Teekay Tankers assessment requires weighing all these inputs, though not all factors influence outcomes equally.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.492 | Dividend Share 3 | Earnings Share 9.01 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.17) |
Understanding Teekay Tankers requires distinguishing between market price and book value, where the latter reflects Teekay's accounting equity. The concept of intrinsic value—what Teekay Tankers' is actually worth based on fundamentals—guides informed investors toward better entry and exit points. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Market sentiment, economic cycles, and investor behavior can push Teekay Tankers' price substantially above or below its fundamental value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Teekay Tankers' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Teekay Tankers is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. In contrast, Teekay Tankers' trading price reflects the actual exchange value where willing buyers and sellers reach mutual agreement.