Teekay Tankers Stock Forward View

TNK Stock  USD 64.19  0.86  1.36%   
Teekay Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon.
The value of RSI of Teekay Tankers' stock price is about 62. This usually implies that the stock is rather overbought by investors as of now. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling Teekay, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 62

 Buy Extended

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Teekay Tankers' future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Teekay Tankers, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Teekay Tankers hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Teekay Tankers from the perspective of Teekay Tankers response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Teekay Tankers on the next trading day is expected to be 62.91 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.99 and the sum of the absolute errors of 61.61.

Teekay Tankers after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 64.19  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Teekay Tankers to cross-verify your projections.
For more information on how to buy Teekay Stock please use our How to buy in Teekay Stock guide.

Teekay Tankers Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Teekay price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Teekay using various technical indicators. When you analyze Teekay charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
A naive forecasting model for Teekay Tankers is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Teekay Tankers value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Teekay Tankers Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 31st of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Teekay Tankers on the next trading day is expected to be 62.91 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.99, mean absolute percentage error of 1.59, and the sum of the absolute errors of 61.61.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Teekay Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Teekay Tankers' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Teekay Tankers Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Teekay Tankers  Teekay Tankers Price Prediction  Buy or Sell Advice  

Teekay Tankers Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Teekay Tankers' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Teekay Tankers' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 60.77 and 65.04, respectively. We have considered Teekay Tankers' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
64.19
62.91
Expected Value
65.04
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Teekay Tankers stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Teekay Tankers stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria120.4106
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.9937
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0172
SAESum of the absolute errors61.6072
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Teekay Tankers. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Teekay Tankers. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Teekay Tankers

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Teekay Tankers. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
62.0764.1966.31
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
49.1351.2570.61
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
50.6658.3366.01
Details

Teekay Tankers After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Teekay Tankers at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Teekay Tankers or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Teekay Tankers, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Teekay Tankers Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Teekay Tankers' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Teekay Tankers' historical news coverage. Teekay Tankers' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 62.07 and 66.31, respectively. We have considered Teekay Tankers' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
64.19
64.19
After-hype Price
66.31
Upside
Teekay Tankers is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Teekay Tankers is based on 3 months time horizon.

Teekay Tankers Stock Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Teekay Tankers is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Teekay Tankers backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Teekay Tankers, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.12 
2.14
  0.01 
  0.04 
9 Events / Month
3 Events / Month
In about 9 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
64.19
64.19
0.00 
4,280  
Notes

Teekay Tankers Hype Timeline

On the 30th of January Teekay Tankers is traded for 64.19. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.04. Teekay is estimated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is estimated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.12%. %. The volatility of related hype on Teekay Tankers is about 578.38%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 64.15. About 20.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.11. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Teekay Tankers recorded earning per share (EPS) of 9.01. The entity last dividend was issued on the 10th of November 2025. The firm had 1:8 split on the 25th of November 2019. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next estimated press release will be in about 9 days.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Teekay Tankers to cross-verify your projections.
For more information on how to buy Teekay Stock please use our How to buy in Teekay Stock guide.

Teekay Tankers Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Teekay Tankers' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Teekay Tankers' future price movements. Getting to know how Teekay Tankers' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Teekay Tankers may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
TRMDTorm PLC Class 0.00 0 per month 1.34  0.08  4.36 (2.28) 10.37 
DHTDHT Holdings 0.00 0 per month 1.41  0.04  3.00 (2.35) 12.28 
NOGNorthern Oil Gas 0.00 0 per month 2.34  0.07  5.26 (3.89) 10.76 
GELGenesis Energy LP 0.00 0 per month 1.73  0.03  3.03 (2.69) 8.17 
CSANCosan SA ADR(1.90)10 per month 3.29 (0) 5.52 (6.29) 18.30 
INSWInternational Seaways 0.05 16 per month 1.37  0.10  3.52 (2.42) 14.71 
DKLDelek Logistics Partners 0.05 8 per month 1.19  0.15  2.42 (1.67) 10.05 
SMSM Energy Co 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.07) 3.59 (4.49) 10.18 
SDRLSeadrill Limited 0.00 0 per month 2.34  0.11  4.85 (3.85) 14.86 
PARRPar Pacific Holdings(1.90)3 per month 0.00 (0.05) 5.03 (4.58) 15.14 

Other Forecasting Options for Teekay Tankers

For every potential investor in Teekay, whether a beginner or expert, Teekay Tankers' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Teekay Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Teekay. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Teekay Tankers' price trends.

Teekay Tankers Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Teekay Tankers stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Teekay Tankers could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Teekay Tankers by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Teekay Tankers Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Teekay Tankers stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Teekay Tankers shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Teekay Tankers stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Teekay Tankers entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Teekay Tankers Risk Indicators

The analysis of Teekay Tankers' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Teekay Tankers' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting teekay stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Teekay Tankers

The number of cover stories for Teekay Tankers depends on current market conditions and Teekay Tankers' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Teekay Tankers is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Teekay Tankers' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Teekay Tankers Short Properties

Teekay Tankers' future price predictability will typically decrease when Teekay Tankers' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Teekay Tankers often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Teekay Tankers' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Teekay Tankers' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding34.7 M
Cash And Short Term Investments534.3 M
When determining whether Teekay Tankers is a good investment, qualitative aspects like company management, corporate governance, and ethical practices play a significant role. A comparison with peer companies also provides context and helps to understand if Teekay Stock is undervalued or overvalued. This multi-faceted approach, blending both quantitative and qualitative analysis, forms a solid foundation for making an informed investment decision about Teekay Tankers Stock. Highlighted below are key reports to facilitate an investment decision about Teekay Tankers Stock:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Teekay Tankers to cross-verify your projections.
For more information on how to buy Teekay Stock please use our How to buy in Teekay Stock guide.
You can also try the Portfolio Holdings module to check your current holdings and cash postion to detemine if your portfolio needs rebalancing.
Is Stock space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Teekay Tankers. If investors know Teekay will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. Comprehensive Teekay Tankers assessment requires weighing all these inputs, though not all factors influence outcomes equally.
Understanding Teekay Tankers requires distinguishing between market price and book value, where the latter reflects Teekay's accounting equity. The concept of intrinsic value—what Teekay Tankers' is actually worth based on fundamentals—guides informed investors toward better entry and exit points. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Market sentiment, economic cycles, and investor behavior can push Teekay Tankers' price substantially above or below its fundamental value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Teekay Tankers' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Teekay Tankers is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. In contrast, Teekay Tankers' trading price reflects the actual exchange value where willing buyers and sellers reach mutual agreement.