Ten Pao Pink Sheet Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing

TNPOF Stock   0.11  0.00  0.00%   
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Ten Pao Group on the next trading day is expected to be 0.11 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.00 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.00. Investors can use prediction functions to forecast Ten Pao's stock prices and determine the direction of Ten Pao Group's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. However, exclusively looking at the historical price movement is usually misleading. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Ten Pao's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns. Check out World Market Map to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in metropolitan statistical area.
  
Ten Pao simple exponential smoothing forecast is a very popular model used to produce a smoothed price series. Whereas in simple Moving Average models the past observations for Ten Pao Group are weighted equally, Exponential Smoothing assigns exponentially decreasing weights as Ten Pao Group prices get older.

Ten Pao Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 29th of December

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Ten Pao Group on the next trading day is expected to be 0.11 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.00, mean absolute percentage error of 0.00, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.00.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Ten Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Ten Pao's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Ten Pao Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

Ten Pao Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Ten Pao's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Ten Pao's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0 and 1.34, respectively. We have considered Ten Pao's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
0.11
0.11
Expected Value
1.34
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Ten Pao pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Ten Pao pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria-9.223372036854776E14
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0
SAESum of the absolute errors0.0
This simple exponential smoothing model begins by setting Ten Pao Group forecast for the second period equal to the observation of the first period. In other words, recent Ten Pao observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for Ten Pao

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Ten Pao Group. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.

Other Forecasting Options for Ten Pao

For every potential investor in Ten, whether a beginner or expert, Ten Pao's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Ten Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Ten. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Ten Pao's price trends.

Ten Pao Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Ten Pao pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Ten Pao could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Ten Pao by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Ten Pao Group Technical and Predictive Analytics

The pink sheet market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Ten Pao's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Ten Pao's current price.

Ten Pao Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Ten Pao pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Ten Pao shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Ten Pao pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Ten Pao Group entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Ten Pao Risk Indicators

The analysis of Ten Pao's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Ten Pao's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting ten pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

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