TOMY Company Pink Sheet Forecast - Simple Moving Average
| TOMYY Stock | USD 29.15 0.00 0.00% |
TOMY Pink Sheet outlook is based on your current time horizon.
At this time the relative strength index (rsi) of TOMY Company's share price is below 20 . This usually implies that the pink sheet is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Using TOMY Company hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of TOMY Company from the perspective of TOMY Company response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of TOMY Company on the next trading day is expected to be 29.15 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.00 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.00. TOMY Company after-hype prediction price | USD 29.15 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
TOMY |
TOMY Company Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine TOMY price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for TOMY using various technical indicators. When you analyze TOMY charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Overlap Studies | ||
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| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
TOMY Company Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 27th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of TOMY Company on the next trading day is expected to be 29.15 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.00, mean absolute percentage error of 0.00, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.00.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict TOMY Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that TOMY Company's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
TOMY Company Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern
| Backtest TOMY Company | TOMY Company Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
TOMY Company Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting TOMY Company's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. TOMY Company's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 29.15 and 29.15, respectively. We have considered TOMY Company's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of TOMY Company pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent TOMY Company pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | -9.223372036854776E14 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 0.0 |
Predictive Modules for TOMY Company
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as TOMY Company. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of TOMY Company's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
TOMY Company After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of TOMY Company at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in TOMY Company or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of TOMY Company, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
TOMY Company Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting TOMY Company's pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on TOMY Company's historical news coverage. TOMY Company's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 29.15 and 29.15, respectively. We have considered TOMY Company's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
TOMY Company is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of TOMY Company is based on 3 months time horizon.
TOMY Company Pink Sheet Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as TOMY Company is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading TOMY Company backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with TOMY Company, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 4 Events / Month | 5 Events / Month | In about 4 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
29.15 | 29.15 | 0.00 |
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TOMY Company Hype Timeline
TOMY Company is at this time traded for 29.15. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. TOMY is anticipated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is anticipated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.0%. %. The volatility of related hype on TOMY Company is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 29.15. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.27. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. TOMY Company last dividend was issued on the 29th of September 2022. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next anticipated press release will be in about 4 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of TOMY Company to cross-verify your projections.TOMY Company Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to TOMY Company's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict TOMY Company's future price movements. Getting to know how TOMY Company's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how TOMY Company may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| YONXF | YONEX Co | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| RNDOF | Round One | 0.00 | 0 per month | 12.06 | 0.09 | 6.00 | (16.44) | 232.75 | |
| NTXVF | Nexteer Automotive Group | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 1.67 | 0.00 | 28.43 | |
| CGGGF | Coats Group plc | 0.20 | 8 per month | 0.00 | 0.02 | 2.73 | (0.95) | 13.96 | |
| LKFLF | Luk Fook Holdings | 0.20 | 8 per month | 3.10 | 0.03 | 13.82 | (6.23) | 25.73 | |
| DTCGF | Dometic Group AB | 0.20 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.29) | 0.00 | 0.00 | 4.72 | |
| SHALY | Shangri La Asia | 0.20 | 4 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 1.70 | (1.67) | 16.65 | |
| YMDAF | Yamada Holdings Co | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| SNMSF | Spin Master Corp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.06 | (0.01) | 3.11 | (3.05) | 17.49 | |
| MBPFF | Mitchells Butlers plc | 0.20 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 0.00 | 0.00 | 13.85 |
Other Forecasting Options for TOMY Company
For every potential investor in TOMY, whether a beginner or expert, TOMY Company's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. TOMY Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in TOMY. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying TOMY Company's price trends.TOMY Company Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with TOMY Company pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of TOMY Company could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing TOMY Company by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
TOMY Company Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how TOMY Company pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading TOMY Company shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying TOMY Company pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify TOMY Company entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Story Coverage note for TOMY Company
The number of cover stories for TOMY Company depends on current market conditions and TOMY Company's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that TOMY Company is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about TOMY Company's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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TOMY Company Short Properties
TOMY Company's future price predictability will typically decrease when TOMY Company's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of TOMY Company often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential TOMY Company's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. TOMY Company's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 91.6 M | |
| Short Long Term Debt | 16.5 B |
Additional Tools for TOMY Pink Sheet Analysis
When running TOMY Company's price analysis, check to measure TOMY Company's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy TOMY Company is operating at the current time. Most of TOMY Company's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of TOMY Company's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move TOMY Company's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of TOMY Company to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.