Trinity Place Pink Sheet Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing

TPHS Stock  USD 0.04  0.0007  1.83%   
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Trinity Place Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 0.04 with a mean absolute deviation of 0 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.11. Trinity Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
Trinity Place simple exponential smoothing forecast is a very popular model used to produce a smoothed price series. Whereas in simple Moving Average models the past observations for Trinity Place Holdings are weighted equally, Exponential Smoothing assigns exponentially decreasing weights as Trinity Place Holdings prices get older.

Trinity Place Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 29th of December

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Trinity Place Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 0.04 with a mean absolute deviation of 0, mean absolute percentage error of 0.00000599, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.11.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Trinity Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Trinity Place's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Trinity Place Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

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Trinity Place Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Trinity Place's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Trinity Place's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.0004 and 5.97, respectively. We have considered Trinity Place's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
0.04
0.0004
Downside
0.04
Expected Value
5.97
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Trinity Place pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Trinity Place pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria104.2475
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 2.0E-4
MADMean absolute deviation0.0019
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0452
SAESum of the absolute errors0.1139
This simple exponential smoothing model begins by setting Trinity Place Holdings forecast for the second period equal to the observation of the first period. In other words, recent Trinity Place observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for Trinity Place

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Trinity Place Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.046.02
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.036.01
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Trinity Place. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Trinity Place's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Trinity Place's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Trinity Place Holdings.

Other Forecasting Options for Trinity Place

For every potential investor in Trinity, whether a beginner or expert, Trinity Place's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Trinity Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Trinity. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Trinity Place's price trends.

Trinity Place Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Trinity Place pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Trinity Place could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Trinity Place by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Trinity Place Holdings Technical and Predictive Analytics

The pink sheet market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Trinity Place's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Trinity Place's current price.

Trinity Place Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Trinity Place pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Trinity Place shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Trinity Place pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Trinity Place Holdings entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Trinity Place Risk Indicators

The analysis of Trinity Place's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Trinity Place's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting trinity pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Thematic Opportunities

Explore Investment Opportunities

Build portfolios using Macroaxis predefined set of investing ideas. Many of Macroaxis investing ideas can easily outperform a given market. Ideas can also be optimized per your risk profile before portfolio origination is invoked. Macroaxis thematic optimization helps investors identify companies most likely to benefit from changes or shifts in various micro-economic or local macro-level trends. Originating optimal thematic portfolios involves aligning investors' personal views, ideas, and beliefs with their actual investments.
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Additional Tools for Trinity Pink Sheet Analysis

When running Trinity Place's price analysis, check to measure Trinity Place's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Trinity Place is operating at the current time. Most of Trinity Place's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Trinity Place's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Trinity Place's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Trinity Place to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.