Trinity Place Holdings Stock Price Prediction

TPHS Stock  USD 0.04  0.0001  0.28%   
At this time, the relative strength index (RSI) of Trinity Place's share price is approaching 43. This usually implies that the pink sheet is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Trinity Place, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 43

 Sell Extended

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Trinity Place's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Trinity Place and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Trinity Place's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Trinity Place Holdings, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Trinity Place hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Trinity Place Holdings from the perspective of Trinity Place response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Trinity Place to buy its pink sheet at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Trinity because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell pink sheets at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Trinity Place after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 0.04  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Trinity Place Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.036.11
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.00070.036.11
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.030.040.05
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Trinity Place. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Trinity Place's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Trinity Place's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Trinity Place Holdings.

Trinity Place After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Trinity Place at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Trinity Place or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of Trinity Place, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Trinity Place Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Trinity Place's pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Trinity Place's historical news coverage. Trinity Place's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.00 and 6.12, respectively. We have considered Trinity Place's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
0.04
0.04
After-hype Price
6.12
Upside
Trinity Place is out of control at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Trinity Place Holdings is based on 3 months time horizon.

Trinity Place Pink Sheet Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Trinity Place is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Trinity Place backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Trinity Place, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.28 
6.08
 0.00  
  0.09 
0 Events / Month
7 Events / Month
Within a week
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
0.04
0.04
14.29 
0.00  
Notes

Trinity Place Hype Timeline

Trinity Place Holdings is at this time traded for 0.04. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is -0.09. Trinity is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 0.04 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is insignificant. The price appreciation on the next news is estimated to be 14.29%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.28%. The volatility of related hype on Trinity Place is about 1805.94%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of -0.05. Trinity Place Holdings currently holds 247.74 M in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 5.53, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Trinity Place Holdings has a current ratio of 0.56, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Debt can assist Trinity Place until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Trinity Place's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Trinity Place Holdings sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Trinity to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Trinity Place's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be within a week.
Check out Trinity Place Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Trinity Place Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Trinity Place's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Trinity Place's future price movements. Getting to know how Trinity Place's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Trinity Place may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

Trinity Place Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Trinity price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Trinity using various technical indicators. When you analyze Trinity charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Trinity Place Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Trinity Place stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Trinity Place Holdings, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Trinity Place based on analysis of Trinity Place hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Trinity Place's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Trinity Place's related companies.

Story Coverage note for Trinity Place

The number of cover stories for Trinity Place depends on current market conditions and Trinity Place's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Trinity Place is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Trinity Place's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Trinity Place Short Properties

Trinity Place's future price predictability will typically decrease when Trinity Place's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Trinity Place Holdings often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Trinity Place's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Trinity Place's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding38.4 M
Cash And Short Term Investments8.3 M

Additional Tools for Trinity Pink Sheet Analysis

When running Trinity Place's price analysis, check to measure Trinity Place's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Trinity Place is operating at the current time. Most of Trinity Place's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Trinity Place's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Trinity Place's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Trinity Place to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.