Triplepoint Venture Stock Forecast - Simple Moving Average
| TPVG Stock | USD 6.20 0.14 2.21% |
Triplepoint Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Triplepoint Venture's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 28th of January 2026, the relative strength index (RSI) of Triplepoint Venture's share price is approaching 49. This usually implies that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Triplepoint Venture, making its price go up or down. Momentum 49
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.33) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.2925 | EPS Estimate Current Year 1.068 | EPS Estimate Next Year 0.983 | Wall Street Target Price 6.5417 |
Using Triplepoint Venture hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Triplepoint Venture Growth from the perspective of Triplepoint Venture response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Triplepoint Venture using Triplepoint Venture's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Triplepoint using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Triplepoint Venture's stock price.
Triplepoint Venture Implied Volatility | 1.13 |
Triplepoint Venture's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Triplepoint Venture Growth stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Triplepoint Venture's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Triplepoint Venture stock will not fluctuate a lot when Triplepoint Venture's options are near their expiration.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Triplepoint Venture Growth on the next trading day is expected to be 6.27 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.09 and the sum of the absolute errors of 5.41. Triplepoint Venture after-hype prediction price | USD 6.36 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
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Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 Triplepoint Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Triplepoint Venture's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Triplepoint Venture's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Triplepoint Venture stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Triplepoint Venture's open interest, investors have to compare it to Triplepoint Venture's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Triplepoint Venture is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Triplepoint. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Triplepoint Venture Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Triplepoint price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Triplepoint using various technical indicators. When you analyze Triplepoint charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Triplepoint Venture Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 29th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Triplepoint Venture Growth on the next trading day is expected to be 6.27 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.09, mean absolute percentage error of 0.01, and the sum of the absolute errors of 5.41.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Triplepoint Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Triplepoint Venture's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Triplepoint Venture Stock Forecast Pattern
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Triplepoint Venture Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Triplepoint Venture's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Triplepoint Venture's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 4.60 and 7.94, respectively. We have considered Triplepoint Venture's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Triplepoint Venture stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Triplepoint Venture stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 110.0782 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.0253 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0918 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.015 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 5.415 |
Predictive Modules for Triplepoint Venture
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Triplepoint Venture. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Triplepoint Venture's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Triplepoint Venture After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Triplepoint Venture at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Triplepoint Venture or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Triplepoint Venture, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Triplepoint Venture Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Triplepoint Venture's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Triplepoint Venture's historical news coverage. Triplepoint Venture's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 4.68 and 8.04, respectively. We have considered Triplepoint Venture's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Triplepoint Venture is somewhat reliable at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Triplepoint Venture is based on 3 months time horizon.
Triplepoint Venture Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Triplepoint Venture is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Triplepoint Venture backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Triplepoint Venture, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.31 | 1.67 | 0.02 | 0.01 | 12 Events / Month | 5 Events / Month | In about 12 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
6.20 | 6.36 | 0.32 |
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Triplepoint Venture Hype Timeline
Triplepoint Venture is at this time traded for 6.20. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.02, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.01. Triplepoint is anticipated to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 6.36 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price rise on the next news is projected to be 0.32%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.31%. The volatility of related hype on Triplepoint Venture is about 5780.77%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 6.19. The company reported the previous year's revenue of 71.19 M. Net Income was 32.05 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 93.62 M. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next anticipated press release will be in about 12 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Triplepoint Venture to cross-verify your projections.Triplepoint Venture Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Triplepoint Venture's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Triplepoint Venture's future price movements. Getting to know how Triplepoint Venture's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Triplepoint Venture may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| SSSS | SuRo Capital Corp | 0.06 | 9 per month | 1.87 | 0.06 | 4.27 | (3.42) | 17.41 | |
| LIEN | Chicago Atlantic BDC | 0.09 | 5 per month | 1.39 | 0.03 | 2.70 | (1.71) | 7.58 | |
| MLCI | Mount Logan Capital | 0.22 | 7 per month | 2.56 | 0.04 | 4.10 | (4.51) | 17.11 | |
| MPV | Barings Participation Investors | (1.05) | 7 per month | 2.02 | (0.01) | 2.69 | (3.22) | 9.22 | |
| SWKH | SWK Holdings Corp | (0.14) | 8 per month | 0.80 | 0.03 | 1.59 | (1.31) | 9.41 | |
| TONX | TON Strategy Co | 0.28 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 11.52 | (10.10) | 31.21 | |
| NEWT | Newtek Business Services | 0.00 | 9 per month | 1.83 | 0.14 | 4.67 | (3.09) | 13.38 | |
| MFIN | Medallion Financial Corp | 0.28 | 7 per month | 1.61 | (0.02) | 3.54 | (2.68) | 9.48 | |
| GIWWU | GigInternational1 Unit | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
Other Forecasting Options for Triplepoint Venture
For every potential investor in Triplepoint, whether a beginner or expert, Triplepoint Venture's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Triplepoint Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Triplepoint. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Triplepoint Venture's price trends.Triplepoint Venture Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Triplepoint Venture stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Triplepoint Venture could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Triplepoint Venture by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Triplepoint Venture Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Triplepoint Venture stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Triplepoint Venture shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Triplepoint Venture stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Triplepoint Venture Growth entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Triplepoint Venture Risk Indicators
The analysis of Triplepoint Venture's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Triplepoint Venture's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting triplepoint stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.31 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.48 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.66 | |||
| Variance | 2.77 | |||
| Downside Variance | 3.32 | |||
| Semi Variance | 2.2 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.33) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Triplepoint Venture
The number of cover stories for Triplepoint Venture depends on current market conditions and Triplepoint Venture's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Triplepoint Venture is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Triplepoint Venture's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Triplepoint Venture Short Properties
Triplepoint Venture's future price predictability will typically decrease when Triplepoint Venture's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Triplepoint Venture Growth often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Triplepoint Venture's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Triplepoint Venture's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 39.1 M | |
| Dividends Paid | 52.1 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 45.9 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Triplepoint Venture to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Portfolio Suggestion module to get suggestions outside of your existing asset allocation including your own model portfolios.
Is Asset Management & Custody Banks space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Triplepoint Venture. If investors know Triplepoint will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Triplepoint Venture listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.33) | Dividend Share 1.13 | Earnings Share 0.83 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.14) |
The market value of Triplepoint Venture is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Triplepoint that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Triplepoint Venture's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Triplepoint Venture's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Triplepoint Venture's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Triplepoint Venture's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Triplepoint Venture's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Triplepoint Venture is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Triplepoint Venture's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.