Triton American Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

TRAE Stock  USD 0.0001  0.00  0.00%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Triton American Energy on the next trading day is expected to be 0.0001 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.000011 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.0007. Triton Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Triton American stock prices and determine the direction of Triton American Energy's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Triton American's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of January 1, 2026, Receivables Turnover is expected to decline to 2.51. In addition to that, Fixed Asset Turnover is expected to decline to 0.23. As of January 1, 2026, Net Loss is expected to decline to about (27.4 K).

Triton American Cash Forecast

Forecasting cash, or other financial indicators, requires analysts to apply different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden patterns within the Triton American's financial statements to predict how it will affect future prices.
 
Cash  
First Reported
2010-12-31
Previous Quarter
81.2 K
Current Value
43.6 K
Quarterly Volatility
12.6 K
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
A naive forecasting model for Triton American is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Triton American Energy value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Triton American Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 2nd of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Triton American Energy on the next trading day is expected to be 0.0001 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.000011, mean absolute percentage error of 0, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.0007.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Triton Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Triton American's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Triton American Stock Forecast Pattern

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Triton American Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Triton American's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Triton American's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.000001 and 125.00, respectively. We have considered Triton American's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
0.0001
0.000001
Downside
0.0001
Expected Value
125.00
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Triton American stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Triton American stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria96.0657
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0
MAPEMean absolute percentage error9.223372036854776E14
SAESum of the absolute errors7.0E-4
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Triton American Energy. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Triton American. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Triton American

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Triton American Energy. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.000150.01
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.00006350.01
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
0.00010.00010.0001
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Triton American. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Triton American's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Triton American's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Triton American Energy.

Other Forecasting Options for Triton American

For every potential investor in Triton, whether a beginner or expert, Triton American's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Triton Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Triton. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Triton American's price trends.

Triton American Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Triton American stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Triton American could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Triton American by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Triton American Energy Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Triton American's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Triton American's current price.

Triton American Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Triton American stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Triton American shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Triton American stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Triton American Energy entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.
When determining whether Triton American Energy is a strong investment it is important to analyze Triton American's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Triton American's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Triton Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Triton American to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Investing Opportunities module to build portfolios using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your investing preferences.
Is Oil & Gas E&P space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Triton American. If investors know Triton will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Triton American listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share
(0)
Revenue Per Share
0.005
The market value of Triton American Energy is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Triton that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Triton American's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Triton American's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Triton American's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Triton American's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Triton American's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Triton American is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Triton American's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.