Triton American Stock Forward View - Simple Regression
| TRAE Stock | USD 0.0001 0.00 0.00% |
Triton Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Triton American stock prices and determine the direction of Triton American Energy's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of Triton American's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At the present time the value of relative strength index of Triton American's share price is below 20 . This usually implies that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Triton American hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Triton American Energy from the perspective of Triton American response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Triton American Energy on the next trading day is expected to be 0.0001 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.00000413 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.0003. Triton American after-hype prediction price | USD 1.0E-4 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Triton American to cross-verify your projections. Triton American Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Triton price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Triton using various technical indicators. When you analyze Triton charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Triton American Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 7th of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Triton American Energy on the next trading day is expected to be 0.0001 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.00000413, mean absolute percentage error of 0, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.0003.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Triton Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Triton American's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Triton American Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Triton American | Triton American Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Triton American Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Triton American's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Triton American's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.000001 and 125.99, respectively. We have considered Triton American's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Triton American stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Triton American stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 95.5128 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 9.223372036854776E14 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 3.0E-4 |
Predictive Modules for Triton American
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Triton American Energy. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Triton American After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Triton American at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Triton American or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Triton American, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Triton American Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Triton American's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Triton American's historical news coverage. Triton American's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.00 and 50.01, respectively. We have considered Triton American's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Triton American is out of control at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Triton American Energy is based on 3 months time horizon.
Triton American Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Triton American is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Triton American backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Triton American, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
15.87 | 125.99 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | Within a week |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
0.0001 | 0.0001 | 0.00 |
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Triton American Hype Timeline
Triton American Energy is at this time traded for 0.0001. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Triton is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 15.87%. %. The volatility of related hype on Triton American is about 1.13391E9%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.00. The company recorded a loss per share of 0.0. Triton American Energy had not issued any dividends in recent years. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be within a week. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Triton American to cross-verify your projections.Triton American Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Triton American's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Triton American's future price movements. Getting to know how Triton American's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Triton American may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| WTRV | White River Energy | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| QOIL | Quest Oil Corp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| CYNS | Cygnus Oil Gas | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.13) | 0.00 | 0.00 | 90.00 | |
| SKPI | Sky Petroleum | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| BPIGF | BPI Energy Holdings | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| MBCI | MabCure | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.08 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 266.67 | |
| IPRC | Imperial Res | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.11 | 25.00 | 0.00 | 83.33 | |
| NKRSF | Niko Resources | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| GSLO | Go Solar USA | 0.0001 | 1 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
Other Forecasting Options for Triton American
For every potential investor in Triton, whether a beginner or expert, Triton American's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Triton Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Triton. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Triton American's price trends.Triton American Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Triton American stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Triton American could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Triton American by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Triton American Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Triton American stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Triton American shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Triton American stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Triton American Energy entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.0 | |||
| Day Median Price | 1.0E-4 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 1.0E-4 |
Triton American Risk Indicators
The analysis of Triton American's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Triton American's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting triton stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 31.24 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 125.99 | |||
| Variance | 15873.02 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Triton American
The number of cover stories for Triton American depends on current market conditions and Triton American's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Triton American is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Triton American's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Triton American to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Investing Opportunities module to build portfolios using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your investing preferences.
Will Oil & Gas E&P sector continue expanding? Could Triton diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Triton American. If investors know Triton will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Triton American data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
The market value of Triton American Energy is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Triton that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Triton American's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Triton American's true underlying value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Because Triton American's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Triton American's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Triton American's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Triton American is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. Meanwhile, Triton American's quoted price indicates the marketplace figure where supply meets demand through bilateral consent.