Trinity Capital Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction
| TRINI Stock | 25.46 0.03 0.12% |
Trinity Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Trinity Capital's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
The value of RSI of Trinity Capital's stock price is under 60. This usually implies that the stock is rather overbought by investors as of 28th of January 2026. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling Trinity, making its price go up or down. Momentum 60
Buy Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Trinity Capital hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Trinity Capital 7875 from the perspective of Trinity Capital response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Trinity Capital 7875 on the next trading day is expected to be 25.57 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.04 and the sum of the absolute errors of 2.37. Trinity Capital after-hype prediction price | USD 25.46 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Trinity Capital to cross-verify your projections. For more detail on how to invest in Trinity Stock please use our How to Invest in Trinity Capital guide.Trinity Capital Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Trinity price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Trinity using various technical indicators. When you analyze Trinity charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Trinity Capital Cash Forecast
Predicting cash flow or other financial metrics requires analysts to utilize a variety of statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms. These tools help uncover hidden patterns in the Trinity Capital's financial statements, enabling forecasts of their impact on future stock prices.
Cash | First Reported 2010-12-31 | Previous Quarter 8.7 M | Current Value 16.2 M | Quarterly Volatility 16.2 M |
Trinity Capital Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 29th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Trinity Capital 7875 on the next trading day is expected to be 25.57 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.04, mean absolute percentage error of 0, and the sum of the absolute errors of 2.37.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Trinity Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Trinity Capital's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Trinity Capital Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Trinity Capital | Trinity Capital Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Trinity Capital Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Trinity Capital's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Trinity Capital's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 25.34 and 25.80, respectively. We have considered Trinity Capital's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Trinity Capital stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Trinity Capital stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 113.8701 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0382 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0015 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 2.3673 |
Predictive Modules for Trinity Capital
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Trinity Capital 7875. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Trinity Capital After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Trinity Capital at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Trinity Capital or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Trinity Capital, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Trinity Capital Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Trinity Capital's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Trinity Capital's historical news coverage. Trinity Capital's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 25.23 and 25.69, respectively. We have considered Trinity Capital's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Trinity Capital is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Trinity Capital 7875 is based on 3 months time horizon.
Trinity Capital Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Trinity Capital is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Trinity Capital backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Trinity Capital, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.03 | 0.23 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1 Events / Month | 4 Events / Month | Very soon |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
25.46 | 25.46 | 0.00 |
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Trinity Capital Hype Timeline
Trinity Capital 7875 is at this time traded for 25.46. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Trinity is estimated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is estimated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.03%. %. The volatility of related hype on Trinity Capital is about 217.89%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 25.46. The company last dividend was issued on the 30th of December 2025. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next estimated press release will be very soon. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Trinity Capital to cross-verify your projections. For more detail on how to invest in Trinity Stock please use our How to Invest in Trinity Capital guide.Trinity Capital Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Trinity Capital's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Trinity Capital's future price movements. Getting to know how Trinity Capital's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Trinity Capital may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| CSWC | Capital Southwest | 0.80 | 26 per month | 0.90 | 0.11 | 2.20 | (2.02) | 6.18 | |
| MFIC | MidCap Financial Investment | (0.03) | 20 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 2.18 | (1.47) | 6.99 | |
| HRZN | Horizon Technology Finance | 0.04 | 7 per month | 0.79 | 0.11 | 2.53 | (1.59) | 11.64 | |
| GSBD | Goldman Sachs BDC | (0.64) | 22 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 1.88 | (1.93) | 4.85 | |
| NMFC | New Mountain Finance | (0.64) | 24 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 1.41 | (1.72) | 5.28 | |
| PX | P10 Inc | (0.64) | 13 per month | 2.29 | 0 | 4.03 | (3.41) | 9.58 | |
| HTFC | HTFC | (0.64) | 20 per month | 0.25 | (0.13) | 0.82 | (0.57) | 1.80 | |
| HQH | Tekla Healthcare Investors | 0.80 | 8 per month | 1.39 | 0.02 | 2.64 | (1.82) | 6.53 | |
| ARBKL | Argo Blockchain Plc | 0.00 | 0 per month | 6.01 | 0.17 | 43.09 | (11.72) | 29.84 |
Other Forecasting Options for Trinity Capital
For every potential investor in Trinity, whether a beginner or expert, Trinity Capital's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Trinity Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Trinity. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Trinity Capital's price trends.Trinity Capital Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Trinity Capital stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Trinity Capital could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Trinity Capital by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Trinity Capital Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Trinity Capital stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Trinity Capital shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Trinity Capital stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Trinity Capital 7875 entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Trinity Capital Risk Indicators
The analysis of Trinity Capital's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Trinity Capital's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting trinity stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.1523 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 0.0812 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 0.2235 | |||
| Variance | 0.05 | |||
| Downside Variance | 0.0508 | |||
| Semi Variance | 0.0066 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (0.17) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Trinity Capital
The number of cover stories for Trinity Capital depends on current market conditions and Trinity Capital's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Trinity Capital is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Trinity Capital's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Trinity Capital Short Properties
Trinity Capital's future price predictability will typically decrease when Trinity Capital's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Trinity Capital 7875 often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Trinity Capital's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Trinity Capital's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 56.7 M | |
| Dividends Paid | -102.5 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 9.6 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Trinity Capital to cross-verify your projections. For more detail on how to invest in Trinity Stock please use our How to Invest in Trinity Capital guide.You can also try the Premium Stories module to follow Macroaxis premium stories from verified contributors across different equity types, categories and coverage scope.
Is Stock space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Trinity Capital. If investors know Trinity will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Trinity Capital listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of Trinity Capital 7875 is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Trinity that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Trinity Capital's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Trinity Capital's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Trinity Capital's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Trinity Capital's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Trinity Capital's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Trinity Capital is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Trinity Capital's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.