Torm PLC Stock Forecast - Simple Moving Average
| TRMD Stock | USD 24.26 0.93 3.99% |
Torm Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Torm PLC stock prices and determine the direction of Torm PLC Class's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Torm PLC's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
The value of relative strength index of Torm PLC's stock price is about 65. This usually implies that the stock is rather overbought by investors at the present time. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling Torm, making its price go up or down. Momentum 65
Buy Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.43) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.7633 | EPS Estimate Current Year 2.78 | EPS Estimate Next Year 1.765 | Wall Street Target Price 24.5 |
Using Torm PLC hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Torm PLC Class from the perspective of Torm PLC response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Torm PLC using Torm PLC's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Torm using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Torm PLC's stock price.
Torm PLC Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in Torm PLC's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Torm. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Torm PLC stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA 19.6972 | Short Percent 0.0169 | Short Ratio 2.36 | Shares Short Prior Month 1.5 M | 50 Day MA 21.3898 |
Torm Relative Strength Index
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Torm PLC Class on the next trading day is expected to be 23.80 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.38 and the sum of the absolute errors of 22.45.Torm PLC Class Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Torm PLC's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Torm. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Torm can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Torm PLC Class. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Torm PLC's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Torm PLC.
Torm PLC Implied Volatility | 0.98 |
Torm PLC's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Torm PLC Class stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Torm PLC's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Torm PLC stock will not fluctuate a lot when Torm PLC's options are near their expiration.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Torm PLC Class on the next trading day is expected to be 23.80 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.38 and the sum of the absolute errors of 22.45. Torm PLC after-hype prediction price | USD 23.36 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Torm PLC to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Torm contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Torm PLC Class will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0613% per day over the life of the 2026-04-17 option contract. With Torm PLC trading at USD 24.26, that is roughly USD 0.0149 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Torm PLC's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Torm PLC Class options at the current volatility level of 0.98%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-04-17 Torm Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Torm PLC's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Torm PLC's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Torm PLC stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Torm PLC's open interest, investors have to compare it to Torm PLC's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Torm PLC is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Torm. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Torm PLC Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Torm price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Torm using various technical indicators. When you analyze Torm charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Torm PLC Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 29th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Torm PLC Class on the next trading day is expected to be 23.80 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.38, mean absolute percentage error of 0.28, and the sum of the absolute errors of 22.45.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Torm Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Torm PLC's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Torm PLC Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Torm PLC | Torm PLC Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Torm PLC Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Torm PLC's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Torm PLC's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 21.78 and 25.81, respectively. We have considered Torm PLC's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Torm PLC stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Torm PLC stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 113.1773 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.0685 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.3805 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0175 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 22.45 |
Predictive Modules for Torm PLC
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Torm PLC Class. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Torm PLC After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Torm PLC at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Torm PLC or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Torm PLC, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Torm PLC Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Torm PLC's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Torm PLC's historical news coverage. Torm PLC's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 21.35 and 25.37, respectively. We have considered Torm PLC's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Torm PLC is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Torm PLC Class is based on 3 months time horizon.
Torm PLC Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Torm PLC is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Torm PLC backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Torm PLC, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.19 | 2.01 | 0.03 | 0.01 | 9 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 9 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
24.26 | 23.36 | 0.13 |
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Torm PLC Hype Timeline
Torm PLC Class is at this time traded for 24.26. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.03, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.01. Torm is expected to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 23.36 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price growth on the next news is projected to be 0.13%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.19%. The volatility of related hype on Torm PLC is about 7178.57%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 24.27. The company reported the previous year's revenue of 1.56 B. Net Income was 584.53 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 628 M. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next expected press release will be in about 9 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Torm PLC to cross-verify your projections.Torm PLC Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Torm PLC's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Torm PLC's future price movements. Getting to know how Torm PLC's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Torm PLC may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| TNK | Teekay Tankers | 0.41 | 8 per month | 1.65 | 0.04 | 3.49 | (2.68) | 12.96 | |
| DHT | DHT Holdings | 0.64 | 9 per month | 1.35 | 0.06 | 3.00 | (2.35) | 12.28 | |
| NOG | Northern Oil Gas | 0.67 | 10 per month | 2.36 | 0.06 | 5.26 | (3.89) | 10.76 | |
| DKL | Delek Logistics Partners | (0.42) | 9 per month | 1.23 | 0.09 | 2.23 | (1.69) | 10.05 | |
| GEL | Genesis Energy LP | 0.19 | 8 per month | 1.65 | 0.05 | 3.56 | (2.69) | 8.17 | |
| INSW | International Seaways | (0.84) | 7 per month | 1.36 | 0.13 | 3.52 | (2.42) | 14.71 | |
| CSAN | Cosan SA ADR | (0.15) | 32 per month | 3.21 | 0.01 | 5.52 | (6.29) | 18.30 | |
| SM | SM Energy Co | (0.74) | 12 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 3.85 | (4.49) | 12.18 | |
| PARR | Par Pacific Holdings | 0.11 | 17 per month | 0.00 | (0.03) | 5.27 | (4.58) | 16.37 | |
| KNTK | Kinetik Holdings | 0.41 | 10 per month | 2.69 | (0.0008) | 3.91 | (3.31) | 12.65 |
Other Forecasting Options for Torm PLC
For every potential investor in Torm, whether a beginner or expert, Torm PLC's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Torm Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Torm. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Torm PLC's price trends.Torm PLC Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Torm PLC stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Torm PLC could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Torm PLC by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Torm PLC Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Torm PLC stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Torm PLC shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Torm PLC stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Torm PLC Class entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Torm PLC Risk Indicators
The analysis of Torm PLC's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Torm PLC's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting torm stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.53 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.37 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.04 | |||
| Variance | 4.17 | |||
| Downside Variance | 2.44 | |||
| Semi Variance | 1.89 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.85) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Torm PLC
The number of cover stories for Torm PLC depends on current market conditions and Torm PLC's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Torm PLC is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Torm PLC's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Torm PLC Short Properties
Torm PLC's future price predictability will typically decrease when Torm PLC's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Torm PLC Class often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Torm PLC's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Torm PLC's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 96.3 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 271.9 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Torm PLC to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Positions Ratings module to determine portfolio positions ratings based on digital equity recommendations. Macroaxis instant position ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance.
Is Oil & Gas Storage & Transportation space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Torm PLC. If investors know Torm will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Torm PLC listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.43) | Dividend Share 2.02 | Earnings Share 2.73 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.08) |
The market value of Torm PLC Class is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Torm that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Torm PLC's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Torm PLC's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Torm PLC's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Torm PLC's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Torm PLC's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Torm PLC is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Torm PLC's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.