Terreno Realty Stock Forecast - Simple Moving Average

TRNO Stock  USD 59.95  1.56  2.54%   
Terreno Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon.
As of today, the value of RSI of Terreno Realty's share price is approaching 49. This usually implies that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Terreno Realty, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 49

 Impartial

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Terreno Realty's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Terreno Realty, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Terreno Realty hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Terreno Realty from the perspective of Terreno Realty response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Terreno Realty on the next trading day is expected to be 60.73 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.56 and the sum of the absolute errors of 33.26.

Terreno Realty after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 59.95  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Terreno Realty to cross-verify your projections.
To learn how to invest in Terreno Stock, please use our How to Invest in Terreno Realty guide.

Terreno Realty Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Terreno price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Terreno using various technical indicators. When you analyze Terreno charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
A two period moving average forecast for Terreno Realty is based on an daily price series in which the stock price on a given day is replaced by the mean of that price and the preceding price. This model is best suited to price patterns experiencing average volatility.

Terreno Realty Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 29th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Terreno Realty on the next trading day is expected to be 60.73 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.56, mean absolute percentage error of 0.59, and the sum of the absolute errors of 33.26.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Terreno Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Terreno Realty's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Terreno Realty Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Terreno Realty  Terreno Realty Price Prediction  Buy or Sell Advice  

Terreno Realty Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Terreno Realty's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Terreno Realty's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 59.54 and 61.92, respectively. We have considered Terreno Realty's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
59.95
60.73
Expected Value
61.92
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Terreno Realty stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Terreno Realty stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria113.903
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.0854
MADMean absolute deviation0.5637
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0093
SAESum of the absolute errors33.26
The simple moving average model is conceptually a linear regression of the current value of Terreno Realty price series against current and previous (unobserved) value of Terreno Realty. In time series analysis, the simple moving-average model is a very common approach for modeling univariate price series models including forecasting prices into the future

Predictive Modules for Terreno Realty

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Terreno Realty. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
58.7659.9561.14
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
58.6159.8060.99
Details

Terreno Realty After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Terreno Realty at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Terreno Realty or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Terreno Realty, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Terreno Realty Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Terreno Realty's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Terreno Realty's historical news coverage. Terreno Realty's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 58.76 and 61.14, respectively. We have considered Terreno Realty's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
59.95
59.95
After-hype Price
61.14
Upside
Terreno Realty is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Terreno Realty is based on 3 months time horizon.

Terreno Realty Stock Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Terreno Realty is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Terreno Realty backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Terreno Realty, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.06 
1.19
 0.00  
 0.00  
0 Events / Month
0 Events / Month
Within a week
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
59.95
59.95
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

Terreno Realty Hype Timeline

Terreno Realty is at this time traded for 59.95. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Terreno is estimated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is estimated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.06%. %. The volatility of related hype on Terreno Realty is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 59.95. About 98.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.57. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Terreno Realty last dividend was issued on the 15th of December 2025. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next estimated press release will be within a week.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Terreno Realty to cross-verify your projections.
To learn how to invest in Terreno Stock, please use our How to Invest in Terreno Realty guide.

Terreno Realty Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Terreno Realty's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Terreno Realty's future price movements. Getting to know how Terreno Realty's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Terreno Realty may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
REXRRexford Industrial Realty 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.11) 2.08 (1.74) 6.35 
EPRTEssential Properties Realty 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.08) 1.36 (1.71) 4.72 
RITMRithm Capital Corp 0.00 0 per month 0.87  0.08  2.15 (1.62) 5.69 
RHPRyman Hospitality Properties 0.00 0 per month 0.97  0.07  2.41 (1.67) 6.96 
FRFirst Industrial Realty 0.00 0 per month 0.83 (0.03) 1.90 (1.43) 4.65 
STAGSTAG Industrial 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.17) 1.09 (1.35) 3.62 
STWDStarwood Property Trust 0.00 0 per month 0.89 (0.02) 1.75 (1.44) 4.49 
HRHealthcare Realty Trust 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.18) 1.61 (1.90) 3.90 
KRCKilroy Realty Corp 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.25) 2.01 (2.56) 6.02 
BPYPOBrookfield Property Partners 0.00 0 per month 1.02 (0.03) 1.36 (1.72) 5.05 

Other Forecasting Options for Terreno Realty

For every potential investor in Terreno, whether a beginner or expert, Terreno Realty's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Terreno Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Terreno. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Terreno Realty's price trends.

Terreno Realty Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Terreno Realty stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Terreno Realty could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Terreno Realty by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Terreno Realty Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Terreno Realty stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Terreno Realty shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Terreno Realty stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Terreno Realty entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Terreno Realty Risk Indicators

The analysis of Terreno Realty's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Terreno Realty's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting terreno stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Terreno Realty

The number of cover stories for Terreno Realty depends on current market conditions and Terreno Realty's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Terreno Realty is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Terreno Realty's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Terreno Realty Short Properties

Terreno Realty's future price predictability will typically decrease when Terreno Realty's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Terreno Realty often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Terreno Realty's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Terreno Realty's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding95.8 M
Cash And Short Term Investments18.1 M
When determining whether Terreno Realty offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Terreno Realty's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Terreno Realty Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Terreno Realty Stock:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Terreno Realty to cross-verify your projections.
To learn how to invest in Terreno Stock, please use our How to Invest in Terreno Realty guide.
You can also try the Options Analysis module to analyze and evaluate options and option chains as a potential hedge for your portfolios.
Will Stock sector continue expanding? Could Terreno diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Terreno Realty. If investors know Terreno will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Terreno Realty data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Understanding Terreno Realty requires distinguishing between market price and book value, where the latter reflects Terreno's accounting equity. The concept of intrinsic value—what Terreno Realty's is actually worth based on fundamentals—guides informed investors toward better entry and exit points. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Market sentiment, economic cycles, and investor behavior can push Terreno Realty's price substantially above or below its fundamental value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Terreno Realty's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Terreno Realty is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. In contrast, Terreno Realty's trading price reflects the actual exchange value where willing buyers and sellers reach mutual agreement.