Trugolf Stock Forward View - Double Exponential Smoothing
| TRUG Stock | 0.81 0.04 4.71% |
Trugolf Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of Trugolf's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 13th of February 2026 the relative strength index (rsi) of Trugolf's share price is below 20 . This usually implies that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.18 | EPS Estimate Current Year (11.02) | EPS Estimate Next Year (1.01) | Wall Street Target Price 5 | EPS Estimate Current Quarter (1.16) |
Using Trugolf hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Trugolf from the perspective of Trugolf response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Trugolf on the next trading day is expected to be 0.82 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.07 and the sum of the absolute errors of 4.48. Trugolf after-hype prediction price | USD 0.94 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Trugolf to cross-verify your projections. Trugolf Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Trugolf price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Trugolf using various technical indicators. When you analyze Trugolf charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Trugolf Double Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 14th of February 2026
Given 90 days horizon, the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Trugolf on the next trading day is expected to be 0.82 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.07, mean absolute percentage error of 0.02, and the sum of the absolute errors of 4.48.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Trugolf Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Trugolf's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Trugolf Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Trugolf | Trugolf Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Trugolf Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Trugolf's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Trugolf's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.01 and 10.55, respectively. We have considered Trugolf's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Trugolf stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Trugolf stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | Huge |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 0.0152 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0747 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0777 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 4.4814 |
Predictive Modules for Trugolf
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Trugolf. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Trugolf's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Trugolf After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Trugolf at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Trugolf or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Trugolf, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Trugolf Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Trugolf's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Trugolf's historical news coverage. Trugolf's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.05 and 10.69, respectively. We have considered Trugolf's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Trugolf is extremely dangerous at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Trugolf is based on 3 months time horizon.
Trugolf Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Trugolf is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Trugolf backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Trugolf, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.89 | 9.73 | 0.09 | 0.08 | 33 Events / Month | 6 Events / Month | In about 33 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
0.81 | 0.94 | 16.05 |
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Trugolf Hype Timeline
Trugolf is at this time traded for 0.81. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.09, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.08. Trugolf is anticipated to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 0.94 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price rise on the next news is projected to be 16.05%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.89%. The volatility of related hype on Trugolf is about 10351.06%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.73. Trugolf currently holds 9.12 M in liabilities. Note, when we think about Trugolf's use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity.Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next anticipated press release will be in about 33 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Trugolf to cross-verify your projections.Trugolf Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Trugolf's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Trugolf's future price movements. Getting to know how Trugolf's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Trugolf may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| MYPS | Playstudios | 0.03 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.20) | 5.17 | (8.33) | 22.45 | |
| FRGT | Freight Technologies | (0.27) | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.19) | 9.52 | (11.76) | 55.36 | |
| TAOP | Taoping | (0.02) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.1) | 11.43 | (9.57) | 51.37 | |
| AUUD | Auddia Inc | (0.02) | 4 per month | 0.00 | (0.1) | 15.15 | (11.11) | 36.34 | |
| WLDS | Wearable Devices | (0.05) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.14) | 10.47 | (8.48) | 53.88 | |
| MAPS | WM Technology | (0.03) | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.13) | 4.49 | (5.68) | 25.13 | |
| IMTE | Integrated Media Technology | 0.03 | 7 per month | 6.23 | 0 | 13.79 | (9.78) | 63.84 | |
| CETX | Cemtrex | 0.11 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.02) | 15.71 | (18.92) | 165.95 | |
| GDEV | GDEV Inc | (0.48) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 12.02 | (11.22) | 58.11 | |
| TGL | Treasure Global | (0.24) | 9 per month | 12.51 | 0.03 | 14.68 | (22.25) | 316.34 |
Other Forecasting Options for Trugolf
For every potential investor in Trugolf, whether a beginner or expert, Trugolf's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Trugolf Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Trugolf. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Trugolf's price trends.Trugolf Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Trugolf stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Trugolf could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Trugolf by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Trugolf Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Trugolf stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Trugolf shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Trugolf stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Trugolf entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 49642.24 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.22) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.95 | |||
| Day Median Price | 0.83 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 0.82 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.04) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.04) |
Trugolf Risk Indicators
The analysis of Trugolf's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Trugolf's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting trugolf stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 7.05 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 9.89 | |||
| Variance | 97.91 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Trugolf
The number of cover stories for Trugolf depends on current market conditions and Trugolf's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Trugolf is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Trugolf's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Trugolf Short Properties
Trugolf's future price predictability will typically decrease when Trugolf's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Trugolf often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Trugolf's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Trugolf's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 3.4 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 10.9 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Trugolf to cross-verify your projections. For more detail on how to invest in Trugolf Stock please use our How to Invest in Trugolf guide.You can also try the FinTech Suite module to use AI to screen and filter profitable investment opportunities.
Can Interactive Home Entertainment industry sustain growth momentum? Does Trugolf have expansion opportunities? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Trugolf. If investors know Trugolf will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. Determining accurate worth demands scrutiny of both present operating results and projected expansion capacity. Evaluating Trugolf demands reviewing these metrics collectively while recognizing certain factors exert disproportionate influence.
Trugolf's market price often diverges from its book value, the accounting figure shown on Trugolf's balance sheet. Smart investors calculate Trugolf's intrinsic value - its true economic worth - which may differ significantly from both market price and book value. Market participants employ diverse analytical approaches to determine fair value and identify buying opportunities when prices dip below calculated worth. Since Trugolf's trading price responds to investor sentiment, macroeconomic conditions, and market psychology, it can swing far from fundamental value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Trugolf's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Trugolf is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Trugolf's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.