Transamerica Intl Mutual Fund Forecast - Simple Regression

TRWFX Fund  USD 21.76  0.00  0.00%   
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Transamerica Intl Equity on the next trading day is expected to be 20.81 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.29 and the sum of the absolute errors of 17.44. Transamerica Mutual Fund Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
Simple Regression model is a single variable regression model that attempts to put a straight line through Transamerica Intl price points. This line is defined by its gradient or slope, and the point at which it intercepts the x-axis. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, then this line can be represented as: Y = intercept + slope * X.

Transamerica Intl Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 7th of February

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Transamerica Intl Equity on the next trading day is expected to be 20.81 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.29, mean absolute percentage error of 0.12, and the sum of the absolute errors of 17.44.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Transamerica Mutual Fund prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Transamerica Intl's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Transamerica Intl Mutual Fund Forecast Pattern

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Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Transamerica Intl mutual fund data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Transamerica Intl mutual fund, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria116.0248
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.2859
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0134
SAESum of the absolute errors17.4411
In general, regression methods applied to historical equity returns or prices series is an area of active research. In recent decades, new methods have been developed for robust regression of price series such as Transamerica Intl Equity historical returns. These new methods are regression involving correlated responses such as growth curves and different regression methods accommodating various types of missing data.

Predictive Modules for Transamerica Intl

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Transamerica Intl Equity. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
21.7621.7621.76
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
21.7221.7223.94
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
20.4421.0821.72
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Transamerica Intl. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Transamerica Intl's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Transamerica Intl's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Transamerica Intl Equity.

Transamerica Intl Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Transamerica Intl mutual fund to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Transamerica Intl could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Transamerica Intl by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Transamerica Intl Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Transamerica Intl mutual fund reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Transamerica Intl shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Transamerica Intl mutual fund market strength indicators, traders can identify Transamerica Intl Equity entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in Transamerica Mutual Fund

Transamerica Intl financial ratios help investors to determine whether Transamerica Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Transamerica with respect to the benefits of owning Transamerica Intl security.
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