Tetra Tech Stock Forward View - Simple Regression

TTEK Stock  USD 37.63  0.03  0.08%   
Tetra Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Although Tetra Tech's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we suggest always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Tetra Tech's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Tetra Tech fundamentals over time.
The relative strength index (RSI) of Tetra Tech's stock price is about 60. This usually implies that the stock is rather overbought by investors as of now. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling Tetra, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 60

 Buy Extended

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Tetra Tech's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Tetra Tech, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Tetra Tech's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
144.613
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
0.3167
EPS Estimate Current Year
1.5196
EPS Estimate Next Year
1.748
Wall Street Target Price
43.5
Using Tetra Tech hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Tetra Tech from the perspective of Tetra Tech response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Tetra Tech using Tetra Tech's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Tetra using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Tetra Tech's stock price.

Tetra Tech Short Interest

An investor who is long Tetra Tech may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Tetra Tech and may potentially protect profits, hedge Tetra Tech with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA
34.9255
Short Percent
0.0336
Short Ratio
4.27
Shares Short Prior Month
8.1 M
50 Day MA
35.1212

Tetra Relative Strength Index

The Simple Regression forecasted value of Tetra Tech on the next trading day is expected to be 37.00 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.90 and the sum of the absolute errors of 56.00.

Tetra Tech Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to Tetra Tech's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Tetra. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Tetra can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Tetra Tech. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Tetra Tech's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Tetra Tech.

Tetra Tech Implied Volatility

    
  0.75  
Tetra Tech's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Tetra Tech stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Tetra Tech's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Tetra Tech stock will not fluctuate a lot when Tetra Tech's options are near their expiration.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Tetra Tech on the next trading day is expected to be 37.00 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.90 and the sum of the absolute errors of 56.00.

Tetra Tech after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 37.63  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Tetra Tech to cross-verify your projections.
For more information on how to buy Tetra Stock please use our How to buy in Tetra Stock guide.

Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Tetra contract

Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Tetra Tech will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0469% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With Tetra Tech trading at USD 37.63, that is roughly USD 0.0176 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Tetra Tech's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Tetra Tech options at the current volatility level of 0.75%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.

Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 Tetra Option Contracts

Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Tetra Tech's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Tetra Tech's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Tetra Tech stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Tetra Tech's open interest, investors have to compare it to Tetra Tech's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Tetra Tech is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Tetra. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.

Tetra Tech Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Tetra price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Tetra using various technical indicators. When you analyze Tetra charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Simple Regression model is a single variable regression model that attempts to put a straight line through Tetra Tech price points. This line is defined by its gradient or slope, and the point at which it intercepts the x-axis. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, then this line can be represented as: Y = intercept + slope * X.

Tetra Tech Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 4th of February

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Tetra Tech on the next trading day is expected to be 37.00 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.90, mean absolute percentage error of 1.28, and the sum of the absolute errors of 56.00.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Tetra Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Tetra Tech's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Tetra Tech Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Tetra Tech  Tetra Tech Price Prediction  Research Analysis  

Tetra Tech Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Tetra Tech's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Tetra Tech's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 34.29 and 39.72, respectively. We have considered Tetra Tech's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
37.63
37.00
Expected Value
39.72
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Tetra Tech stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Tetra Tech stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria120.1962
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.9032
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0259
SAESum of the absolute errors55.9995
In general, regression methods applied to historical equity returns or prices series is an area of active research. In recent decades, new methods have been developed for robust regression of price series such as Tetra Tech historical returns. These new methods are regression involving correlated responses such as growth curves and different regression methods accommodating various types of missing data.

Predictive Modules for Tetra Tech

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Tetra Tech. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Tetra Tech's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
34.9337.6340.33
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
37.6340.3343.03
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
33.2536.0538.85
Details
7 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
39.5943.5048.29
Details

Tetra Tech After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Tetra Tech at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Tetra Tech or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Tetra Tech, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Tetra Tech Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Tetra Tech's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Tetra Tech's historical news coverage. Tetra Tech's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 34.93 and 40.33, respectively. We have considered Tetra Tech's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
37.63
37.63
After-hype Price
40.33
Upside
Tetra Tech is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Tetra Tech is based on 3 months time horizon.

Tetra Tech Stock Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Tetra Tech is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Tetra Tech backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Tetra Tech, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.28 
2.71
  0.15 
  0.57 
7 Events / Month
8 Events / Month
In about 7 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
37.63
37.63
0.00 
501.85  
Notes

Tetra Tech Hype Timeline

Tetra Tech is at this time traded for 37.63. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.15, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.57. Tetra is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.28%. %. The volatility of related hype on Tetra Tech is about 133.3%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 38.20. About 100.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 2.23. Tetra Tech last dividend was issued on the 12th of February 2026. The entity had 5:1 split on the 9th of September 2024. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 7 days.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Tetra Tech to cross-verify your projections.
For more information on how to buy Tetra Stock please use our How to buy in Tetra Stock guide.

Tetra Tech Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Tetra Tech's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Tetra Tech's future price movements. Getting to know how Tetra Tech's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Tetra Tech may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
DYDycom Industries 0.73 11 per month 1.70  0.18  3.29 (3.17) 14.96 
PRIMPrimoris Services(3.76)11 per month 3.22  0.04  5.21 (4.72) 14.82 
IESCIES Holdings 29.19 9 per month 4.97  0  5.82 (6.90) 28.38 
FLRFluor(5.80)24 per month 0.00 (0.05) 3.41 (3.81) 9.28 
AWIArmstrong World Industries 0.40 8 per month 0.00 (0.07) 2.43 (2.15) 7.39 
PSNParsons Corp(0.48)8 per month 0.00 (0.09) 3.68 (3.89) 25.78 
ZWSZurn Elkay Water(0.30)12 per month 1.15 (0.01) 2.02 (2.16) 6.90 
CAECAE Inc 0.46 7 per month 1.52  0.07  3.17 (2.27) 9.61 
VMIValmont Industries(0.18)6 per month 1.24  0.06  2.43 (2.28) 5.99 
AAONAAON Inc 0.07 7 per month 0.00 (0.07) 4.40 (5.87) 14.22 

Other Forecasting Options for Tetra Tech

For every potential investor in Tetra, whether a beginner or expert, Tetra Tech's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Tetra Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Tetra. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Tetra Tech's price trends.

Tetra Tech Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Tetra Tech stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Tetra Tech could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Tetra Tech by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Tetra Tech Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Tetra Tech stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Tetra Tech shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Tetra Tech stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Tetra Tech entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Tetra Tech Risk Indicators

The analysis of Tetra Tech's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Tetra Tech's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting tetra stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Tetra Tech

The number of cover stories for Tetra Tech depends on current market conditions and Tetra Tech's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Tetra Tech is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Tetra Tech's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Tetra Tech Short Properties

Tetra Tech's future price predictability will typically decrease when Tetra Tech's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Tetra Tech often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Tetra Tech's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Tetra Tech's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding267.1 M
Cash And Short Term Investments167.5 M
When determining whether Tetra Tech is a good investment, qualitative aspects like company management, corporate governance, and ethical practices play a significant role. A comparison with peer companies also provides context and helps to understand if Tetra Stock is undervalued or overvalued. This multi-faceted approach, blending both quantitative and qualitative analysis, forms a solid foundation for making an informed investment decision about Tetra Tech Stock. Highlighted below are key reports to facilitate an investment decision about Tetra Tech Stock:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Tetra Tech to cross-verify your projections.
For more information on how to buy Tetra Stock please use our How to buy in Tetra Stock guide.
You can also try the Stock Tickers module to use high-impact, comprehensive, and customizable stock tickers that can be easily integrated to any websites.
Is Environmental & Facilities Services space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Tetra Tech. If investors know Tetra will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. Comprehensive Tetra Tech assessment requires weighing all these inputs, though not all factors influence outcomes equally.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
144.613
Dividend Share
0.253
Earnings Share
1.33
Revenue Per Share
16.951
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.13)
Investors evaluate Tetra Tech using market value (trading price) and book value (balance sheet equity), each telling a different story. Calculating Tetra Tech's intrinsic value—the estimated true worth—helps identify when the stock trades at a discount or premium to fair value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. External factors like market trends, sector rotation, and investor psychology can cause Tetra Tech's market price to deviate significantly from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Tetra Tech's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Tetra Tech is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. Conversely, Tetra Tech's market price signifies the transaction level at which participants voluntarily complete trades.