Truong Thanh Stock Forecast - 20 Period Moving Average

TTF Stock   3,020  20.00  0.67%   
The 20 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Truong Thanh Furniture on the next trading day is expected to be 3,074 with a mean absolute deviation of 126.01 and the sum of the absolute errors of 5,166. Truong Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
A commonly used 20-period moving average forecast model for Truong Thanh Furniture is based on a synthetically constructed Truong Thanhdaily price series in which the value for a trading day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for 20 of preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited for price series data that changes over time.

Truong Thanh 20 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 27th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the 20 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Truong Thanh Furniture on the next trading day is expected to be 3,074 with a mean absolute deviation of 126.01, mean absolute percentage error of 24,947, and the sum of the absolute errors of 5,166.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Truong Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Truong Thanh's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Truong Thanh Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Truong ThanhTruong Thanh Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Truong Thanh Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Truong Thanh's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Truong Thanh's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 3,073 and 3,076, respectively. We have considered Truong Thanh's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
3,020
3,074
Expected Value
3,076
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 20 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Truong Thanh stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Truong Thanh stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria91.4775
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 89.939
MADMean absolute deviation126.0122
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0408
SAESum of the absolute errors5166.5
The eieght-period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and valleys in a set of daily observations. Truong Thanh Furniture 20-period moving average forecast can only be used reliably to predict one or two periods into the future.

Predictive Modules for Truong Thanh

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Truong Thanh Furniture. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
3,0183,0203,022
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
2,6402,6423,322
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Truong Thanh

For every potential investor in Truong, whether a beginner or expert, Truong Thanh's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Truong Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Truong. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Truong Thanh's price trends.

Truong Thanh Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Truong Thanh stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Truong Thanh could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Truong Thanh by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Truong Thanh Furniture Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Truong Thanh's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Truong Thanh's current price.

Truong Thanh Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Truong Thanh stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Truong Thanh shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Truong Thanh stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Truong Thanh Furniture entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Truong Thanh Risk Indicators

The analysis of Truong Thanh's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Truong Thanh's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting truong stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Pair Trading with Truong Thanh

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Truong Thanh position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Truong Thanh will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

Moving together with Truong Stock

  0.65ADS Damsan JSCPairCorr
  0.81AAA An Phat PlasticPairCorr
  0.87AME Alphanam MEPairCorr
  0.77APG APG Securities JointPairCorr
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Truong Thanh could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Truong Thanh when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Truong Thanh - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Truong Thanh Furniture to buy it.
The correlation of Truong Thanh is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Truong Thanh moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Truong Thanh Furniture moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Truong Thanh can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching

Other Information on Investing in Truong Stock

Truong Thanh financial ratios help investors to determine whether Truong Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Truong with respect to the benefits of owning Truong Thanh security.