Tennessee Valley Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction
| TVE Stock | USD 24.49 0.06 0.25% |
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Tennessee Valley Authority on the next trading day is expected to be 24.44 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.05 and the sum of the absolute errors of 2.80. Tennessee Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Tennessee Valley stock prices and determine the direction of Tennessee Valley Authority's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Tennessee Valley's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At the present time the relative strength index (rsi) of Tennessee Valley's share price is below 20 . This usually implies that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
EPS Estimate Current Year 1.13 | EPS Estimate Next Year 1.59 | Wall Street Target Price 5.83 | EPS Estimate Current Quarter 0.35 |
Using Tennessee Valley hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Tennessee Valley Authority from the perspective of Tennessee Valley response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
Tennessee Valley Aut Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Tennessee Valley's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Tennessee. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Tennessee can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Tennessee Valley Authority. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Tennessee Valley Authority on the next trading day is expected to be 24.44 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.05 and the sum of the absolute errors of 2.80.
Tennessee Valley after-hype prediction price | USD 24.49 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Tennessee | Build AI portfolio with Tennessee Stock |
Tennessee Valley Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Tennessee price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Tennessee using various technical indicators. When you analyze Tennessee charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Tennessee Valley Cash Forecast
Forecasting cash, or other financial indicators, requires analysts to apply different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden patterns within the Tennessee Valley's financial statements to predict how it will affect future prices.
Cash | First Reported 2006-09-30 | Previous Quarter 527 M | Current Value 501 M | Quarterly Volatility 250.4 M |
Tennessee Valley Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 24th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Tennessee Valley Authority on the next trading day is expected to be 24.44 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.05, mean absolute percentage error of 0, and the sum of the absolute errors of 2.80.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Tennessee Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Tennessee Valley's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Tennessee Valley Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Tennessee Valley | Tennessee Valley Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Tennessee Valley Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Tennessee Valley's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Tennessee Valley's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 24.11 and 24.76, respectively. We have considered Tennessee Valley's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Tennessee Valley stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Tennessee Valley stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 112.5484 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0459 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0019 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 2.7996 |
Predictive Modules for Tennessee Valley
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Tennessee Valley Aut. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Tennessee Valley's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Tennessee Valley After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Tennessee Valley at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Tennessee Valley or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Tennessee Valley, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Tennessee Valley Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Tennessee Valley's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Tennessee Valley's historical news coverage. Tennessee Valley's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 24.17 and 24.81, respectively. We have considered Tennessee Valley's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Tennessee Valley is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Tennessee Valley Aut is based on 3 months time horizon.
Tennessee Valley Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Tennessee Valley is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Tennessee Valley backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Tennessee Valley, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.04 | 0.33 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 8 Events / Month | 5 Events / Month | In about 8 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
24.49 | 24.49 | 0.00 |
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Tennessee Valley Hype Timeline
On the 23rd of January Tennessee Valley Aut is traded for 24.49. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Tennessee is anticipated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is anticipated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.04%. %. The volatility of related hype on Tennessee Valley is about 1650.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 24.49. The company has Price/Earnings (P/E) ratio of 492.2. Tennessee Valley Aut last dividend was issued on the 2nd of February 2026. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next anticipated press release will be in about 8 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Tennessee Valley to cross-verify your projections.Tennessee Valley Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Tennessee Valley's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Tennessee Valley's future price movements. Getting to know how Tennessee Valley's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Tennessee Valley may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| GLBZ | Glen Burnie Bancorp | 0.01 | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 5.12 | (5.60) | 17.43 | |
| CARV | Carver Bancorp | (0.19) | 2 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 10.86 | (13.85) | 53.88 | |
| SHFS | SHF Holdings | 0.08 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.23) | 7.64 | (10.40) | 34.34 | |
| NCPL | Netcapital | 0.06 | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 15.05 | (17.14) | 129.26 | |
| WTG | Wintergreen Acquisition Corp | 0.01 | 3 per month | 0.00 | (0.86) | 0.30 | (0.10) | 0.59 | |
| ALF | Centurion Acquisition Corp | (0.01) | 8 per month | 0.10 | (0.58) | 0.38 | (0.28) | 0.85 | |
| AIFU | Fanhua Inc | (0.08) | 1 per month | 0.00 | (0.13) | 10.66 | (13.15) | 34.07 | |
| MEGL | Magic Empire Global | (0.05) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 5.56 | (6.57) | 26.79 | |
| OXBR | Oxbridge Re Holdings | (0.01) | 4 per month | 0.00 | (0.15) | 7.24 | (5.67) | 17.96 |
Other Forecasting Options for Tennessee Valley
For every potential investor in Tennessee, whether a beginner or expert, Tennessee Valley's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Tennessee Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Tennessee. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Tennessee Valley's price trends.Tennessee Valley Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Tennessee Valley stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Tennessee Valley could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Tennessee Valley by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Tennessee Valley Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Tennessee Valley stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Tennessee Valley shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Tennessee Valley stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Tennessee Valley Authority entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Tennessee Valley Risk Indicators
The analysis of Tennessee Valley's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Tennessee Valley's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting tennessee stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.2528 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 0.1881 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 0.3423 | |||
| Variance | 0.1171 | |||
| Downside Variance | 0.1206 | |||
| Semi Variance | 0.0354 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (0.31) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Tennessee Valley
The number of cover stories for Tennessee Valley depends on current market conditions and Tennessee Valley's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Tennessee Valley is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Tennessee Valley's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Tennessee Valley to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Top Crypto Exchanges module to search and analyze digital assets across top global cryptocurrency exchanges.
Is Environmental & Facilities Services space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Tennessee Valley. If investors know Tennessee will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Tennessee Valley listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of Tennessee Valley Aut is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Tennessee that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Tennessee Valley's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Tennessee Valley's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Tennessee Valley's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Tennessee Valley's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Tennessee Valley's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Tennessee Valley is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Tennessee Valley's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.