TKH Group Stock Forward View - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| TWEKA Stock | EUR 39.54 0.22 0.55% |
TKH Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast TKH Group stock prices and determine the direction of TKH Group NV's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of TKH Group's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At this time, The relative strength index (RSI) of TKH Group's share price is at 50. This usually implies that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling TKH Group, making its price go up or down. Momentum 50
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.73) | EPS Estimate Current Year 1.91 | EPS Estimate Next Year 2.96 | Wall Street Target Price 48.725 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.01) |
Using TKH Group hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of TKH Group NV from the perspective of TKH Group response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of TKH Group NV on the next trading day is expected to be 39.54 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.29 and the sum of the absolute errors of 17.80. TKH Group after-hype prediction price | EUR 39.6 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
TKH |
TKH Group Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine TKH price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for TKH using various technical indicators. When you analyze TKH charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
TKH Group Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 21st of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of TKH Group NV on the next trading day is expected to be 39.54 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.29, mean absolute percentage error of 0.15, and the sum of the absolute errors of 17.80.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict TKH Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that TKH Group's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
TKH Group Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest TKH Group | TKH Group Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
TKH Group Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting TKH Group's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. TKH Group's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 38.50 and 40.58, respectively. We have considered TKH Group's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of TKH Group stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent TKH Group stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 116.2212 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.0367 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.2918 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0077 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 17.8 |
Predictive Modules for TKH Group
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as TKH Group NV. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.TKH Group After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of TKH Group at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in TKH Group or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of TKH Group, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
TKH Group Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting TKH Group's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on TKH Group's historical news coverage. TKH Group's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 38.56 and 40.64, respectively. We have considered TKH Group's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
TKH Group is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of TKH Group NV is based on 3 months time horizon.
TKH Group Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as TKH Group is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading TKH Group backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with TKH Group, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.10 | 1.04 | 0.06 | 0.03 | 1 Events / Month | 1 Events / Month | Very soon |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
39.54 | 39.60 | 0.15 |
|
TKH Group Hype Timeline
TKH Group NV is at this time traded for 39.54on Euronext Amsterdam of Netherlands. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.06, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.03. TKH is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 39.6 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is about 179.31%. The price jump on the next news is projected to be 0.15%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.1%. The volatility of related hype on TKH Group is about 351.05%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 39.57. The company reported the revenue of 1.71 B. Net Income was 99.56 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 862.68 M. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be very soon. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of TKH Group to cross-verify your projections.TKH Group Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to TKH Group's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict TKH Group's future price movements. Getting to know how TKH Group's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how TKH Group may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| NEDAP | NV Nederlandsche Apparatenfabriek | 2.20 | 1 per month | 0.00 | (0.13) | 1.89 | (1.82) | 6.69 | |
| TOM2 | TomTom NV | (0.27) | 2 per month | 2.80 | (0) | 3.57 | (2.68) | 23.00 | |
| CTAC | Ctac NV | (0.04) | 1 per month | 0.00 | (0.13) | 1.67 | (2.60) | 9.00 | |
| CMCOM | CM NV | 0.48 | 2 per month | 2.16 | 0.09 | 3.30 | (2.96) | 14.02 | |
| AZRN | Azerion Group NV | 0.01 | 1 per month | 0.00 | (0.33) | 0.97 | (2.44) | 6.17 | |
| MTRK | MotorK | (0.01) | 3 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 3.54 | (3.55) | 10.71 | |
| NEDSE | NedSense Enterprises NV | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 8.89 | (9.09) | 58.63 | |
| EAS2P | Ease2pay NV | 0.00 | 3 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 4.55 | (4.35) | 12.68 |
Other Forecasting Options for TKH Group
For every potential investor in TKH, whether a beginner or expert, TKH Group's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. TKH Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in TKH. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying TKH Group's price trends.TKH Group Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with TKH Group stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of TKH Group could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing TKH Group by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
TKH Group Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how TKH Group stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading TKH Group shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying TKH Group stock market strength indicators, traders can identify TKH Group NV entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
TKH Group Risk Indicators
The analysis of TKH Group's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in TKH Group's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting tkh stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.7952 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 0.8913 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.05 | |||
| Variance | 1.11 | |||
| Downside Variance | 0.9479 | |||
| Semi Variance | 0.7944 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (0.86) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for TKH Group
The number of cover stories for TKH Group depends on current market conditions and TKH Group's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that TKH Group is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about TKH Group's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
Other Macroaxis Stories
Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios
Story Categories
Currently Trending Categories
TKH Group Short Properties
TKH Group's future price predictability will typically decrease when TKH Group's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of TKH Group NV often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential TKH Group's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. TKH Group's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 39.9 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 125.6 M |
Other Information on Investing in TKH Stock
TKH Group financial ratios help investors to determine whether TKH Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in TKH with respect to the benefits of owning TKH Group security.