TKH Group Stock Forecast - Simple Moving Average

TWEKA Stock  EUR 31.80  0.08  0.25%   
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of TKH Group NV on the next trading day is expected to be 31.80 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.46 and the sum of the absolute errors of 27.25. TKH Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast TKH Group stock prices and determine the direction of TKH Group NV's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of TKH Group's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
A two period moving average forecast for TKH Group is based on an daily price series in which the stock price on a given day is replaced by the mean of that price and the preceding price. This model is best suited to price patterns experiencing average volatility.

TKH Group Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 27th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of TKH Group NV on the next trading day is expected to be 31.80 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.46, mean absolute percentage error of 0.52, and the sum of the absolute errors of 27.25.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict TKH Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that TKH Group's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

TKH Group Stock Forecast Pattern

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TKH Group Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting TKH Group's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. TKH Group's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 30.05 and 33.55, respectively. We have considered TKH Group's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
31.80
31.80
Expected Value
33.55
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of TKH Group stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent TKH Group stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria113.7785
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.1215
MADMean absolute deviation0.4619
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.013
SAESum of the absolute errors27.25
The simple moving average model is conceptually a linear regression of the current value of TKH Group NV price series against current and previous (unobserved) value of TKH Group. In time series analysis, the simple moving-average model is a very common approach for modeling univariate price series models including forecasting prices into the future

Predictive Modules for TKH Group

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as TKH Group NV. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
30.0331.8033.57
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
31.6933.4535.23
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
29.8833.1536.41
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as TKH Group. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against TKH Group's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, TKH Group's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in TKH Group NV.

Other Forecasting Options for TKH Group

For every potential investor in TKH, whether a beginner or expert, TKH Group's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. TKH Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in TKH. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying TKH Group's price trends.

TKH Group Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with TKH Group stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of TKH Group could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing TKH Group by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

TKH Group NV Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of TKH Group's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of TKH Group's current price.

TKH Group Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how TKH Group stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading TKH Group shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying TKH Group stock market strength indicators, traders can identify TKH Group NV entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

TKH Group Risk Indicators

The analysis of TKH Group's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in TKH Group's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting tkh stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Thematic Opportunities

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Build portfolios using Macroaxis predefined set of investing ideas. Many of Macroaxis investing ideas can easily outperform a given market. Ideas can also be optimized per your risk profile before portfolio origination is invoked. Macroaxis thematic optimization helps investors identify companies most likely to benefit from changes or shifts in various micro-economic or local macro-level trends. Originating optimal thematic portfolios involves aligning investors' personal views, ideas, and beliefs with their actual investments.
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Other Information on Investing in TKH Stock

TKH Group financial ratios help investors to determine whether TKH Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in TKH with respect to the benefits of owning TKH Group security.