TXNM Energy Stock Forward View - Accumulation Distribution

TXNM Stock  USD 59.28  0.02  0.03%   
TXNM Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Although TXNM Energy's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we suggest always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of TXNM Energy's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of TXNM Energy fundamentals over time.
As of now the relative strength index (rsi) of TXNM Energy's share price is below 20 . This usually implies that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of TXNM Energy's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of TXNM Energy and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from TXNM Energy's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with TXNM Energy, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting TXNM Energy's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.16)
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
0.6123
EPS Estimate Current Year
2.6027
EPS Estimate Next Year
2.9494
Wall Street Target Price
60.7917
Using TXNM Energy hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of TXNM Energy from the perspective of TXNM Energy response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards TXNM Energy using TXNM Energy's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards TXNM using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of TXNM Energy's stock price.

TXNM Energy Short Interest

An investor who is long TXNM Energy may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about TXNM Energy and may potentially protect profits, hedge TXNM Energy with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA
57.0459
Short Percent
0.0687
Short Ratio
7.47
Shares Short Prior Month
6.8 M
50 Day MA
58.8682

TXNM Relative Strength Index

TXNM Energy Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to TXNM Energy's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in TXNM. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding TXNM can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around TXNM Energy. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of TXNM Energy's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about TXNM Energy.

TXNM Energy Implied Volatility

    
  0.39  
TXNM Energy's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of TXNM Energy stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if TXNM Energy's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that TXNM Energy stock will not fluctuate a lot when TXNM Energy's options are near their expiration.

TXNM Energy after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 59.28  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of TXNM Energy to cross-verify your projections.
To learn how to invest in TXNM Stock, please use our How to Invest in TXNM Energy guide.

Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current TXNM contract

Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that TXNM Energy will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0244% per day over the life of the 2026-05-15 option contract. With TXNM Energy trading at USD 59.28, that is roughly USD 0.0144 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating TXNM Energy's daily price movement you should consider acquiring TXNM Energy options at the current volatility level of 0.39%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.

Open Interest Against 2026-05-15 TXNM Option Contracts

Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast TXNM Energy's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in TXNM Energy's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for TXNM Energy stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current TXNM Energy's open interest, investors have to compare it to TXNM Energy's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of TXNM Energy is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in TXNM. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.

TXNM Energy Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine TXNM price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for TXNM using various technical indicators. When you analyze TXNM charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
TXNM Energy has current Accumulation Distribution of 4555.6. The accumulation distribution (A/D) indicator shows the degree to which TXNM Energy is accumulated by the market over a given period. It uses the quote sensitivity to the highest or lowest daily price of TXNM Energy to determine if accumulation or reduction is taking place in the market. This value is adjusted by TXNM Energy trading volume to give more weight to distributions with higher volume over lower volume.
Check TXNM Energy VolatilityBacktest TXNM EnergyInformation Ratio  

TXNM Energy Trading Date Momentum

On February 13 2026 TXNM Energy was traded for  59.28  at the closing time. The top price for the day was 59.49  and the lowest listed price was  59.24 . The trading volume for the day was 1.1 M. The trading history from February 13, 2026 did not result in any price rise and fall. The trading price change against the current closing price is 0.35% .
Accumulation distribution indicator can signal that a trend is either nearing completion, at a continuation, or is about to break-outs. The actual value of this indicator is of no significance. What is significant is the change in value of over time. The formula for A/D of a given trading day can be expressed as follow: ((Close - Low) - (High - Close)) / (High - Low) X Volume
Compare TXNM Energy to competition

Other Forecasting Options for TXNM Energy

For every potential investor in TXNM, whether a beginner or expert, TXNM Energy's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. TXNM Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in TXNM. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying TXNM Energy's price trends.

TXNM Energy Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with TXNM Energy stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of TXNM Energy could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing TXNM Energy by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

TXNM Energy Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how TXNM Energy stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading TXNM Energy shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying TXNM Energy stock market strength indicators, traders can identify TXNM Energy entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

TXNM Energy Risk Indicators

The analysis of TXNM Energy's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in TXNM Energy's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting txnm stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for TXNM Energy

The number of cover stories for TXNM Energy depends on current market conditions and TXNM Energy's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that TXNM Energy is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about TXNM Energy's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

TXNM Energy Short Properties

TXNM Energy's future price predictability will typically decrease when TXNM Energy's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of TXNM Energy often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential TXNM Energy's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. TXNM Energy's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding90.6 M
Cash And Short Term Investments4.5 M
When determining whether TXNM Energy is a strong investment it is important to analyze TXNM Energy's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact TXNM Energy's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding TXNM Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of TXNM Energy to cross-verify your projections.
To learn how to invest in TXNM Stock, please use our How to Invest in TXNM Energy guide.
You can also try the Alpha Finder module to use alpha and beta coefficients to find investment opportunities after accounting for the risk.
Will Electric Utilities sector continue expanding? Could TXNM diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of TXNM Energy. If investors know TXNM will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every TXNM Energy data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.16)
Dividend Share
1.63
Earnings Share
1.8
Revenue Per Share
21.786
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.137
Understanding TXNM Energy requires distinguishing between market price and book value, where the latter reflects TXNM's accounting equity. The concept of intrinsic value - what TXNM Energy's is actually worth based on fundamentals - guides informed investors toward better entry and exit points. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Market sentiment, economic cycles, and investor behavior can push TXNM Energy's price substantially above or below its fundamental value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between TXNM Energy's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if TXNM Energy is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. In contrast, TXNM Energy's trading price reflects the actual exchange value where willing buyers and sellers reach mutual agreement.