Tigo Energy Stock Forward View - Simple Moving Average

TYGO Stock   3.03  0.53  14.89%   
Tigo Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon.
As of today, The relative strength index (RSI) of Tigo Energy's share price is at 59. This usually implies that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Tigo Energy, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 59

 Buy Extended

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Tigo Energy's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Tigo Energy, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Tigo Energy hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Tigo Energy from the perspective of Tigo Energy response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Tigo Energy on the next trading day is expected to be 3.03 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.12 and the sum of the absolute errors of 7.34.

Tigo Energy after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 3.03  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Tigo Energy to cross-verify your projections.
To learn how to invest in Tigo Stock, please use our How to Invest in Tigo Energy guide.

Tigo Energy Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Tigo price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Tigo using various technical indicators. When you analyze Tigo charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
A two period moving average forecast for Tigo Energy is based on an daily price series in which the stock price on a given day is replaced by the mean of that price and the preceding price. This model is best suited to price patterns experiencing average volatility.

Tigo Energy Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 2nd of February

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Tigo Energy on the next trading day is expected to be 3.03 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.12, mean absolute percentage error of 0.05, and the sum of the absolute errors of 7.34.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Tigo Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Tigo Energy's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Tigo Energy Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Tigo Energy  Tigo Energy Price Prediction  Buy or Sell Advice  

Tigo Energy Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Tigo Energy's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Tigo Energy's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.03 and 10.87, respectively. We have considered Tigo Energy's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
3.03
3.03
Expected Value
10.87
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Tigo Energy stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Tigo Energy stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria111.4186
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.0187
MADMean absolute deviation0.1245
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0557
SAESum of the absolute errors7.345
The simple moving average model is conceptually a linear regression of the current value of Tigo Energy price series against current and previous (unobserved) value of Tigo Energy. In time series analysis, the simple moving-average model is a very common approach for modeling univariate price series models including forecasting prices into the future

Predictive Modules for Tigo Energy

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Tigo Energy. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.153.0310.87
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.122.3110.15
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Tigo Energy. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Tigo Energy's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Tigo Energy's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Tigo Energy.

Tigo Energy After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Tigo Energy at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Tigo Energy or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Tigo Energy, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Tigo Energy Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Tigo Energy's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Tigo Energy's historical news coverage. Tigo Energy's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.15 and 10.87, respectively. We have considered Tigo Energy's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
3.03
3.03
After-hype Price
10.87
Upside
Tigo Energy is dangerous at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Tigo Energy is based on 3 months time horizon.

Tigo Energy Stock Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Tigo Energy is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Tigo Energy backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Tigo Energy, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.68 
7.84
 0.00  
 0.00  
0 Events / Month
3 Events / Month
Within a week
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
3.03
3.03
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

Tigo Energy Hype Timeline

Tigo Energy is at this time traded for 3.03. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Tigo is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.68%. %. The volatility of related hype on Tigo Energy is about 784000.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 3.03. About 47.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company recorded a loss per share of 0.56. Tigo Energy had not issued any dividends in recent years. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be within a week.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Tigo Energy to cross-verify your projections.
To learn how to invest in Tigo Stock, please use our How to Invest in Tigo Energy guide.

Tigo Energy Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Tigo Energy's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Tigo Energy's future price movements. Getting to know how Tigo Energy's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Tigo Energy may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

Other Forecasting Options for Tigo Energy

For every potential investor in Tigo, whether a beginner or expert, Tigo Energy's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Tigo Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Tigo. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Tigo Energy's price trends.

Tigo Energy Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Tigo Energy stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Tigo Energy could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Tigo Energy by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Tigo Energy Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Tigo Energy stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Tigo Energy shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Tigo Energy stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Tigo Energy entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Tigo Energy Risk Indicators

The analysis of Tigo Energy's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Tigo Energy's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting tigo stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Tigo Energy

The number of cover stories for Tigo Energy depends on current market conditions and Tigo Energy's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Tigo Energy is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Tigo Energy's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Tigo Energy Short Properties

Tigo Energy's future price predictability will typically decrease when Tigo Energy's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Tigo Energy often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Tigo Energy's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Tigo Energy's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding60.3 M
Cash And Short Term Investments19.9 M
When determining whether Tigo Energy offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Tigo Energy's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Tigo Energy Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Tigo Energy Stock:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Tigo Energy to cross-verify your projections.
To learn how to invest in Tigo Stock, please use our How to Invest in Tigo Energy guide.
You can also try the CEOs Directory module to screen CEOs from public companies around the world.
Will Semiconductors & Semiconductor Equipment sector continue expanding? Could Tigo diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Tigo Energy. If investors know Tigo will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Tigo Energy data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Investors evaluate Tigo Energy using market value (trading price) and book value (balance sheet equity), each telling a different story. Calculating Tigo Energy's intrinsic value—the estimated true worth—helps identify when the stock trades at a discount or premium to fair value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. External factors like market trends, sector rotation, and investor psychology can cause Tigo Energy's market price to deviate significantly from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Tigo Energy's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Tigo Energy is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. Conversely, Tigo Energy's market price signifies the transaction level at which participants voluntarily complete trades.