Tyra Biosciences Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

TYRA Stock  USD 15.36  0.51  3.21%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Tyra Biosciences on the next trading day is expected to be 18.44 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.66 and the sum of the absolute errors of 100.96. Tyra Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Tyra Biosciences stock prices and determine the direction of Tyra Biosciences's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Tyra Biosciences' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
The current year's Payables Turnover is expected to grow to 0.10. As of November 22, 2024, Common Stock Shares Outstanding is expected to decline to about 33.8 M. The current year's Net Loss is expected to grow to about (47.3 M).

Tyra Biosciences Cash Forecast

Forecasting cash, or other financial indicators, requires analysts to apply different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden patterns within the Tyra Biosciences' financial statements to predict how it will affect future prices.
 
Cash  
First Reported
2010-12-31
Previous Quarter
58 M
Current Value
55.1 M
Quarterly Volatility
96.4 M
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
A naive forecasting model for Tyra Biosciences is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Tyra Biosciences value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Tyra Biosciences Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 23rd of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Tyra Biosciences on the next trading day is expected to be 18.44 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.66, mean absolute percentage error of 4.74, and the sum of the absolute errors of 100.96.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Tyra Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Tyra Biosciences' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Tyra Biosciences Stock Forecast Pattern

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Tyra Biosciences Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Tyra Biosciences' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Tyra Biosciences' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 13.31 and 23.57, respectively. We have considered Tyra Biosciences' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
15.36
18.44
Expected Value
23.57
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Tyra Biosciences stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Tyra Biosciences stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria119.6671
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation1.655
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0783
SAESum of the absolute errors100.9576
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Tyra Biosciences. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Tyra Biosciences. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Tyra Biosciences

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Tyra Biosciences. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
10.6115.7420.87
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
14.0619.1924.32
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
9.8418.0926.34
Details
6 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
22.2024.4027.08
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Tyra Biosciences

For every potential investor in Tyra, whether a beginner or expert, Tyra Biosciences' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Tyra Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Tyra. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Tyra Biosciences' price trends.

Tyra Biosciences Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Tyra Biosciences stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Tyra Biosciences could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Tyra Biosciences by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Tyra Biosciences Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Tyra Biosciences' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Tyra Biosciences' current price.

Tyra Biosciences Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Tyra Biosciences stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Tyra Biosciences shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Tyra Biosciences stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Tyra Biosciences entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Tyra Biosciences Risk Indicators

The analysis of Tyra Biosciences' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Tyra Biosciences' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting tyra stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.
When determining whether Tyra Biosciences offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Tyra Biosciences' financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Tyra Biosciences Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Tyra Biosciences Stock:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Tyra Biosciences to cross-verify your projections.
For information on how to trade Tyra Stock refer to our How to Trade Tyra Stock guide.
You can also try the Technical Analysis module to check basic technical indicators and analysis based on most latest market data.
Is Biotechnology space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Tyra Biosciences. If investors know Tyra will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Tyra Biosciences listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share
(1.61)
Return On Assets
(0.20)
Return On Equity
(0.29)
The market value of Tyra Biosciences is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Tyra that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Tyra Biosciences' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Tyra Biosciences' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Tyra Biosciences' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Tyra Biosciences' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Tyra Biosciences' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Tyra Biosciences is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Tyra Biosciences' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.