United Bancorporation OTC Stock Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| UBAB Stock | USD 52.67 0.08 0.15% |
United OTC Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast United Bancorporation stock prices and determine the direction of United Bancorporation of's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of United Bancorporation's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At the present time, the value of RSI of United Bancorporation's share price is approaching 49. This usually implies that the otc stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling United Bancorporation, making its price go up or down. Momentum 49
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
It is a matter of debate whether otc price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of United Bancorporation based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. Using United Bancorporation hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of United Bancorporation of from the perspective of United Bancorporation response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of United Bancorporation of on the next trading day is expected to be 52.66 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.31 and the sum of the absolute errors of 18.62. United Bancorporation after-hype prediction price | USD 52.67 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as otc price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
United |
United Bancorporation Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine United price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for United using various technical indicators. When you analyze United charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
United Bancorporation Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 29th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of United Bancorporation of on the next trading day is expected to be 52.66 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.31, mean absolute percentage error of 0.18, and the sum of the absolute errors of 18.62.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict United OTC Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that United Bancorporation's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
United Bancorporation OTC Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest United Bancorporation | United Bancorporation Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
United Bancorporation Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting United Bancorporation's OTC Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. United Bancorporation's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 51.76 and 53.55, respectively. We have considered United Bancorporation's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of United Bancorporation otc stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent United Bancorporation otc stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 114.5633 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 0.0082 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.3104 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0059 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 18.6243 |
Predictive Modules for United Bancorporation
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as United Bancorporation. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the otc stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the otc stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.United Bancorporation After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of United Bancorporation at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in United Bancorporation or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of OTC Stock prices, such as prices of United Bancorporation, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
United Bancorporation Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting United Bancorporation's otc stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on United Bancorporation's historical news coverage. United Bancorporation's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 51.77 and 53.57, respectively. We have considered United Bancorporation's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
United Bancorporation is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of United Bancorporation is based on 3 months time horizon.
United Bancorporation OTC Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a OTC Stock such as United Bancorporation is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading United Bancorporation backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the OTC price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with United Bancorporation, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.00 | 0.90 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | Any time |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
52.67 | 52.67 | 0.00 |
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United Bancorporation Hype Timeline
United Bancorporation is at this time traded for 52.67. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. United is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.0%. %. The volatility of related hype on United Bancorporation is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 52.67. The company has Price to Book (P/B) ratio of 0.63. Historically many companies with similar price-to-book (P/B) ratio do better than the market in the long run. United Bancorporation last dividend was issued on the 29th of December 2022. The entity had 101:100 split on the 28th of June 2010. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be any time. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of United Bancorporation to cross-verify your projections.United Bancorporation Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to United Bancorporation's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict United Bancorporation's future price movements. Getting to know how United Bancorporation's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how United Bancorporation may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| FXLG | FS Bancorp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.38 | (0.11) | 0.96 | (0.73) | 2.67 | |
| SFIGA | STAR Financial Group | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| FFMH | First Farmers and | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.23 | 1.11 | (0.60) | 3.36 | |
| OCNB | Oconomowoc Bancshares | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| TRCY | Tri City Bankshares | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.37 | 0.12 | 5.77 | (2.93) | 13.47 | |
| CCFN | CCFNB Bancorp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.50 | 0.10 | 2.17 | (0.95) | 6.93 | |
| FIEB | First IC | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.28) | 0.00 | (0.05) | 5.31 | |
| PLQC | Plains Acquisition | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.42) | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.53 | |
| CBTN | Citizens Bancorp Investment | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.12 | 1.67 | 0.00 | 4.52 | |
| PMHG | Prime Meridian Holding | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.75 | 0.03 | 1.73 | (1.69) | 5.58 |
Other Forecasting Options for United Bancorporation
For every potential investor in United, whether a beginner or expert, United Bancorporation's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. United OTC Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in United. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying United Bancorporation's price trends.United Bancorporation Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with United Bancorporation otc stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of United Bancorporation could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing United Bancorporation by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
United Bancorporation Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how United Bancorporation otc stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading United Bancorporation shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying United Bancorporation otc stock market strength indicators, traders can identify United Bancorporation of entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
United Bancorporation Risk Indicators
The analysis of United Bancorporation's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in United Bancorporation's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting united otc stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.619 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 0.8991 | |||
| Variance | 0.8084 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for United Bancorporation
The number of cover stories for United Bancorporation depends on current market conditions and United Bancorporation's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that United Bancorporation is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about United Bancorporation's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Other Information on Investing in United OTC Stock
United Bancorporation financial ratios help investors to determine whether United OTC Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in United with respect to the benefits of owning United Bancorporation security.