Urban Gro Stock Forecast - Polynomial Regression
| UGRO Stock | USD 0.18 0.01 3.95% |
Urban Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Although Urban Gro's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Urban Gro's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Urban Gro fundamentals over time.
As of today, the relative strength index (RSI) of Urban Gro's share price is approaching 34. This usually implies that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Urban Gro, making its price go up or down. Momentum 34
Sell Stretched
Oversold | Overbought |
EPS Estimate Current Year (0.26) | EPS Estimate Next Year (0.09) | Wall Street Target Price 2.3 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.49) |
Using Urban Gro hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Urban Gro from the perspective of Urban Gro response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Urban Gro using Urban Gro's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Urban using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Urban Gro's stock price.
Urban Gro Implied Volatility | 0.9 |
Urban Gro's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Urban Gro stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Urban Gro's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Urban Gro stock will not fluctuate a lot when Urban Gro's options are near their expiration.
The Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Urban Gro on the next trading day is expected to be 0.12 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.02 and the sum of the absolute errors of 1.31. Urban Gro after-hype prediction price | USD 0.13 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Urban Gro to cross-verify your projections. Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 Urban Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Urban Gro's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Urban Gro's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Urban Gro stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Urban Gro's open interest, investors have to compare it to Urban Gro's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Urban Gro is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Urban. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Urban Gro Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Urban price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Urban using various technical indicators. When you analyze Urban charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Urban Gro Polynomial Regression Price Forecast For the 28th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Urban Gro on the next trading day is expected to be 0.12 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.02, mean absolute percentage error of 0.0007, and the sum of the absolute errors of 1.31.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Urban Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Urban Gro's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Urban Gro Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Urban Gro | Urban Gro Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Urban Gro Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Urban Gro's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Urban Gro's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0 and 8.35, respectively. We have considered Urban Gro's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Polynomial Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Urban Gro stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Urban Gro stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 110.8908 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0215 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0778 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 1.3113 |
Predictive Modules for Urban Gro
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Urban Gro. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Urban Gro After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Urban Gro at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Urban Gro or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Urban Gro, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Urban Gro Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Urban Gro's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Urban Gro's historical news coverage. Urban Gro's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.01 and 8.36, respectively. We have considered Urban Gro's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Urban Gro is out of control at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Urban Gro is based on 3 months time horizon.
Urban Gro Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Urban Gro is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Urban Gro backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Urban Gro, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.88 | 8.23 | 0.05 | 0.12 | 6 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 6 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
0.18 | 0.13 | 28.77 |
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Urban Gro Hype Timeline
Urban Gro is at this time traded for 0.18. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.05, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.12. Urban is projected to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 0.13. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -28.77%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.88%. The volatility of related hype on Urban Gro is about 6187.97%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.06. About 12.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by insiders. The company has Price/Earnings (P/E) ratio of 127.67. Urban Gro recorded a loss per share of 2.62. The entity last dividend was issued on the 6th of January 2021. The firm had 1:6 split on the 6th of January 2021. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next projected press release will be in about 6 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Urban Gro to cross-verify your projections.Urban Gro Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Urban Gro's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Urban Gro's future price movements. Getting to know how Urban Gro's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Urban Gro may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| DFSC | DEFSEC Technologies | (0.63) | 5 per month | 0.00 | (0.13) | 10.14 | (17.35) | 48.93 | |
| RAYA | Erayak Power Solution | (0.48) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.17) | 13.75 | (14.07) | 54.24 | |
| SUNE | SUNation Energy | (0.07) | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 6.06 | (6.52) | 27.32 | |
| XPON | Expion360 | 0.06 | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.15) | 8.43 | (8.18) | 25.64 | |
| BKYI | BIO Key International | 0.02 | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.03) | 9.26 | (9.71) | 69.05 | |
| ASTC | Astrotech Corp | (0.08) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 6.67 | (8.71) | 25.08 | |
| FGL | Founder Group Limited | (0.01) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 20.00 | (13.73) | 59.34 | |
| RVSN | Rail Vision Ltd | 0.01 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.1) | 8.51 | (8.57) | 24.95 | |
| PMAX | Powell Max Limited | (0.18) | 6 per month | 7.26 | 0.02 | 12.97 | (13.19) | 48.86 | |
| JCSE | JE Cleantech Holdings | 0.03 | 6 per month | 5.70 | 0.06 | 11.81 | (8.40) | 109.28 |
Other Forecasting Options for Urban Gro
For every potential investor in Urban, whether a beginner or expert, Urban Gro's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Urban Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Urban. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Urban Gro's price trends.Urban Gro Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Urban Gro stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Urban Gro could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Urban Gro by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Urban Gro Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Urban Gro stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Urban Gro shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Urban Gro stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Urban Gro entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.96 | |||
| Day Median Price | 0.18 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 0.18 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.01) | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 34.41 |
Urban Gro Risk Indicators
The analysis of Urban Gro's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Urban Gro's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting urban stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 5.4 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 8.0 | |||
| Variance | 63.94 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Urban Gro
The number of cover stories for Urban Gro depends on current market conditions and Urban Gro's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Urban Gro is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Urban Gro's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Urban Gro Short Properties
Urban Gro's future price predictability will typically decrease when Urban Gro's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Urban Gro often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Urban Gro's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Urban Gro's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 13.9 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 819 K |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Urban Gro to cross-verify your projections. To learn how to invest in Urban Stock, please use our How to Invest in Urban Gro guide.You can also try the Portfolio Holdings module to check your current holdings and cash postion to detemine if your portfolio needs rebalancing.
Is Industrial Machinery & Supplies & Components space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Urban Gro. If investors know Urban will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Urban Gro listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share (2.62) | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.49) | Return On Assets | Return On Equity |
The market value of Urban Gro is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Urban that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Urban Gro's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Urban Gro's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Urban Gro's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Urban Gro's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Urban Gro's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Urban Gro is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Urban Gro's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.