Unipol Gruppo Stock Forward View - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| UIPN Stock | EUR 19.13 0.05 0.26% |
Unipol Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of Unipol Gruppo's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 22nd of February 2026, The relative strength indicator of Unipol Gruppo's share price is at 50. This usually implies that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Unipol Gruppo, making its price go up or down. Momentum 50
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.149 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.029 |
Using Unipol Gruppo hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Unipol Gruppo Finanziario from the perspective of Unipol Gruppo response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Unipol Gruppo Finanziario on the next trading day is expected to be 19.13 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.23 and the sum of the absolute errors of 13.63. Unipol Gruppo after-hype prediction price | EUR 19.13 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Unipol |
Unipol Gruppo Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Unipol price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Unipol using various technical indicators. When you analyze Unipol charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Unipol Gruppo Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 23rd of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Unipol Gruppo Finanziario on the next trading day is expected to be 19.13 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.23, mean absolute percentage error of 0.09, and the sum of the absolute errors of 13.63.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Unipol Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Unipol Gruppo's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Unipol Gruppo Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Unipol Gruppo | Unipol Gruppo Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Unipol Gruppo Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Unipol Gruppo's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Unipol Gruppo's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 17.58 and 20.68, respectively. We have considered Unipol Gruppo's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Unipol Gruppo stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Unipol Gruppo stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 113.8696 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.0045 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.2272 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0116 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 13.63 |
Predictive Modules for Unipol Gruppo
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Unipol Gruppo Finanziario. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Unipol Gruppo After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Unipol Gruppo at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Unipol Gruppo or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Unipol Gruppo, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Unipol Gruppo Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Unipol Gruppo's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Unipol Gruppo's historical news coverage. Unipol Gruppo's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 17.58 and 20.68, respectively. We have considered Unipol Gruppo's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Unipol Gruppo is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Unipol Gruppo Finanziario is based on 3 months time horizon.
Unipol Gruppo Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Unipol Gruppo is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Unipol Gruppo backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Unipol Gruppo, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.04 | 1.55 | 0.00 | 0.09 | 2 Events / Month | 2 Events / Month | In a few days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
19.13 | 19.13 | 0.00 |
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Unipol Gruppo Hype Timeline
Unipol Gruppo Finanziario is at this time traded for 19.13on Frankfurt Exchange of Germany. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is -0.09. Unipol is projected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is projected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.04%. %. The volatility of related hype on Unipol Gruppo is about 65.96%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 19.04. About 48.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by insiders. The company has Price to Book (P/B) ratio of 1.43. Historically many companies with similar price-to-book (P/B) ratio do better than the market in the long run. Unipol Gruppo Finanziario last dividend was issued on the 19th of May 2025. The entity had 1:100 split on the 2nd of April 2012. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next projected press release will be in a few days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Unipol Gruppo to cross-verify your projections.Unipol Gruppo Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Unipol Gruppo's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Unipol Gruppo's future price movements. Getting to know how Unipol Gruppo's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Unipol Gruppo may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| 6FO | GOODTECH ASA A | 0.00 | 2 per month | 1.21 | 0.13 | 4.21 | (2.53) | 14.11 | |
| CJ8A | CARGOJET INC VAR | 0.50 | 1 per month | 0.99 | 0.21 | 3.60 | (1.80) | 10.14 | |
| 7EL | Elis SA | (0.28) | 6 per month | 0.87 | 0.08 | 2.25 | (1.53) | 5.16 | |
| ESLC | ESSILORLUXOTTICA 12ON | (1.00) | 2 per month | 0.00 | (0.21) | 2.19 | (5.04) | 17.67 | |
| MLB1 | MercadoLibre | (20.20) | 10 per month | 3.30 | (0.02) | 5.16 | (5.06) | 20.86 | |
| GLE | Gladstone Commercial | 0.00 | 9 per month | 1.42 | 0.08 | 3.34 | (2.41) | 8.61 | |
| 9MDA | MEITUAN UNSPADR2B | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.13) | 5.53 | (4.42) | 20.26 | |
| PP1 | Papa Johns International | (0.27) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.21) | 2.82 | (3.45) | 9.04 | |
| 99Q | ENTREPARTICULIERS EO 10 | 0.10 | 4 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 12.75 | (15.00) | 50.87 |
Other Forecasting Options for Unipol Gruppo
For every potential investor in Unipol, whether a beginner or expert, Unipol Gruppo's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Unipol Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Unipol. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Unipol Gruppo's price trends.Unipol Gruppo Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Unipol Gruppo stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Unipol Gruppo could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Unipol Gruppo by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Unipol Gruppo Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Unipol Gruppo stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Unipol Gruppo shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Unipol Gruppo stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Unipol Gruppo Finanziario entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.0 | |||
| Day Median Price | 19.13 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 19.13 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.03) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.05) | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 50.92 |
Unipol Gruppo Risk Indicators
The analysis of Unipol Gruppo's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Unipol Gruppo's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting unipol stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.17 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.54 | |||
| Variance | 2.36 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Unipol Gruppo
The number of cover stories for Unipol Gruppo depends on current market conditions and Unipol Gruppo's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Unipol Gruppo is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Unipol Gruppo's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Other Information on Investing in Unipol Stock
Unipol Gruppo financial ratios help investors to determine whether Unipol Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Unipol with respect to the benefits of owning Unipol Gruppo security.