Universal Logistics Stock Forward View - Simple Moving Average
| ULH Stock | USD 18.92 1.58 9.11% |
Universal Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of Universal Logistics' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 4th of February 2026, The value of relative strength index of Universal Logistics' share price is at 58. This usually implies that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Universal Logistics, making its price go up or down. Momentum 58
Buy Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.73) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.28 | EPS Estimate Current Year (0.04) | EPS Estimate Next Year 0.92 | Wall Street Target Price 17 |
Using Universal Logistics hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Universal Logistics Holdings from the perspective of Universal Logistics response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
Universal Relative Strength Index
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Universal Logistics Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 18.13 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.70 and the sum of the absolute errors of 41.36.Universal Logistics Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Universal Logistics' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Universal. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Universal can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Universal Logistics Holdings. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Universal Logistics' market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Universal Logistics.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Universal Logistics Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 18.13 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.70 and the sum of the absolute errors of 41.36. Universal Logistics after-hype prediction price | USD 18.92 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Universal | Build AI portfolio with Universal Stock |
Universal Logistics Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Universal price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Universal using various technical indicators. When you analyze Universal charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Universal Logistics Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 5th of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Universal Logistics Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 18.13 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.70, mean absolute percentage error of 0.75, and the sum of the absolute errors of 41.36.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Universal Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Universal Logistics' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Universal Logistics Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Universal Logistics | Universal Logistics Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Universal Logistics Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Universal Logistics' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Universal Logistics' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 13.31 and 22.95, respectively. We have considered Universal Logistics' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Universal Logistics stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Universal Logistics stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 114.1439 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.0845 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.7009 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0437 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 41.355 |
Predictive Modules for Universal Logistics
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Universal Logistics. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Universal Logistics After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Universal Logistics at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Universal Logistics or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Universal Logistics, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Universal Logistics Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Universal Logistics' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Universal Logistics' historical news coverage. Universal Logistics' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 14.10 and 23.74, respectively. We have considered Universal Logistics' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Universal Logistics is somewhat reliable at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Universal Logistics is based on 3 months time horizon.
Universal Logistics Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Universal Logistics is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Universal Logistics backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Universal Logistics, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.47 | 4.82 | 0.52 | 0.00 | 7 Events / Month | 8 Events / Month | In about 7 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
18.92 | 18.92 | 0.00 |
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Universal Logistics Hype Timeline
On the 4th of February Universal Logistics is traded for 18.92. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.52, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.0. Universal is expected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is expected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.47%. %. The volatility of related hype on Universal Logistics is about 68857.14%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 18.92. About 75.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by insiders. The company has Price to Book (P/B) ratio of 0.79. Historically many companies with similar price-to-book (P/B) ratio do better than the market in the long run. Universal Logistics recorded a loss per share of 1.54. The entity last dividend was issued on the 1st of December 2025. The firm had 1:50 split on the May 2, 2014. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next expected press release will be in about 7 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Universal Logistics to cross-verify your projections.Universal Logistics Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Universal Logistics' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Universal Logistics' future price movements. Getting to know how Universal Logistics' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Universal Logistics may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| CVLG | Covenant Logistics Group | 0.89 | 9 per month | 1.29 | 0.21 | 5.70 | (2.57) | 11.04 | |
| ESEA | Euroseas | (0.12) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 3.77 | (3.78) | 13.57 | |
| EBF | Ennis Inc | (0.40) | 26 per month | 0.88 | 0.22 | 2.45 | (1.87) | 6.77 | |
| EVTL | Vertical Aerospace | 0.33 | 8 per month | 5.04 | 0.03 | 9.38 | (5.42) | 32.52 | |
| KFRC | Kforce Inc | (0.95) | 8 per month | 1.71 | 0.14 | 3.82 | (3.00) | 33.33 | |
| MTRX | Matrix Service Co | 0.30 | 6 per month | 2.57 | 0.03 | 3.71 | (4.06) | 9.32 | |
| ORN | Orion Group Holdings | 0.01 | 11 per month | 2.56 | 0.11 | 4.57 | (4.28) | 16.79 | |
| CYRX | Cryoport | (0.14) | 9 per month | 2.54 | 0.01 | 4.90 | (4.26) | 13.14 | |
| FBYD | Falcons Beyond Global | 0.18 | 17 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 19.89 | (15.43) | 45.53 | |
| MTW | Manitowoc | (0.17) | 10 per month | 1.74 | 0.19 | 5.31 | (2.88) | 14.96 |
Other Forecasting Options for Universal Logistics
For every potential investor in Universal, whether a beginner or expert, Universal Logistics' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Universal Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Universal. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Universal Logistics' price trends.Universal Logistics Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Universal Logistics stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Universal Logistics could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Universal Logistics by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Universal Logistics Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Universal Logistics stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Universal Logistics shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Universal Logistics stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Universal Logistics Holdings entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Universal Logistics Risk Indicators
The analysis of Universal Logistics' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Universal Logistics' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting universal stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 3.59 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 3.65 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 4.67 | |||
| Variance | 21.81 | |||
| Downside Variance | 16.85 | |||
| Semi Variance | 13.33 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (3.80) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Universal Logistics
The number of cover stories for Universal Logistics depends on current market conditions and Universal Logistics' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Universal Logistics is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Universal Logistics' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Latest Perspective From Macroaxis
Universal Logistics Short Properties
Universal Logistics' future price predictability will typically decrease when Universal Logistics' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Universal Logistics Holdings often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Universal Logistics' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Universal Logistics' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 26.3 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 30.9 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Universal Logistics to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Idea Breakdown module to analyze constituents of all Macroaxis ideas. Macroaxis investment ideas are predefined, sector-focused investing themes.
Is there potential for Cargo Ground Transportation market expansion? Will Universal introduce new products? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Universal Logistics. If investors know Universal will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. Understanding fair value requires weighing current performance against future potential. All the valuation information about Universal Logistics listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.73) | Dividend Share 0.42 | Earnings Share (1.54) | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.07) |
The market value of Universal Logistics is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Universal that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Universal Logistics' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Universal Logistics' true underlying value. Analysts utilize numerous techniques to assess fundamental value, seeking to purchase shares when trading prices fall beneath estimated intrinsic worth. Because Universal Logistics' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Universal Logistics' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Universal Logistics' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Universal Logistics is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. Meanwhile, Universal Logistics' quoted price indicates the marketplace figure where supply meets demand through bilateral consent.