Universal Logistics Holdings Stock Beneish M Score

ULH Stock  USD 49.14  1.35  2.82%   
This module uses fundamental data of Universal Logistics to approximate the value of its Beneish M Score. Universal Logistics M Score tells investors if the company management is likely to be manipulating earnings. The score is calculated using eight financial indicators that are adjusted by a specific multiplier. Please note, the M Score is a probabilistic model and cannot detect companies that manipulate their earnings with 100% accuracy. Check out Universal Logistics Piotroski F Score and Universal Logistics Altman Z Score analysis.
  
As of now, Universal Logistics' Interest Debt Per Share is increasing as compared to previous years. The Universal Logistics' current Debt Equity Ratio is estimated to increase to 0.78, while Long Term Debt is projected to decrease to under 195.2 M. As of now, Universal Logistics' Capex To Depreciation is increasing as compared to previous years. The Universal Logistics' current EV To Sales is estimated to increase to 0.73, while Dividend Yield is projected to decrease to 0.01.
At this time, it appears that Universal Logistics is an unlikely manipulator. The earnings manipulation may begin if Universal Logistics' top management creates an artificial sense of financial success, forcing the stock price to be traded at a high price-earnings multiple than it should be. In general, excessive earnings management by Universal Logistics executives may lead to removing some of the operating profits from subsequent periods to inflate earnings in the following periods. This way, the manipulation of Universal Logistics' earnings can lead to misrepresentations of actual financial condition, taking the otherwise loyal stakeholders on to the path of questionable ethical practices and plain fraud.
-2.87
Beneish M Score - Unlikely Manipulator
Elasticity of Receivables

0.84

Focus
Asset Quality

1.21

Focus
Expense Coverage

2.12

Focus
Gross Margin Strengs

1.77

Focus
Accruals Factor

2.12

Focus
Depreciation Resistance

1.0

Focus
Net Sales Growth

0.66

Focus
Financial Leverage Condition

1.0

Focus

Universal Logistics Beneish M-Score Indicator Trends

The cure to earnings manipulation is the transparency of financial reporting. It will typically remove the temptation of the top executives to inflate earnings (i.e., to promote the idea of 'winning at any cost'). Because a healthy internal audit department can enhance transparency, the board should promote the auditors' access to all the record-keeping systems across the enterprise. For example, if Universal Logistics' auditors report directly to the board (not management), the managers will be reluctant to manipulate simply due to the fear of punishment. On the other hand, the auditors will be free to investigate the ledgers properly because they know that the board has their back.
Current ValueLast YearChange From Last Year 10 Year Trend
Net Receivables159.4 M289.4 M
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Total Revenue1.1 B1.7 B
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Total Assets1.3 B1.3 B
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Total Current Assets212.8 M361.1 M
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Non Current Assets Total937.1 M892.4 M
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Property Plant Equipment472.3 M449.8 M
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Depreciation And Amortization80.9 M77 M
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Selling General Administrative72.2 M51.8 M
Significantly Up
Slightly volatile
Total Current Liabilities273.4 M260.4 M
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Non Current Liabilities Total245.7 M460.9 M
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Net Debt486.2 M463 M
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Short Term Debt56.2 M100.7 M
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Total Cash From Operating Activities220.8 M210.2 M
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Short Term Investments9.9 M10.8 M
Significantly Down
Slightly volatile
Gross Profit Margin0.210.1187
Way Up
Slightly volatile

Universal Logistics Beneish M-Score Driver Matrix

One of the toughest challenges investors face today is learning how to quickly synthesize historical financial statements and information provided by the company, SEC reporting, and various external parties in order to detect the potential manipulation of earnings. Understanding the correlation between Universal Logistics' different financial indicators related to revenue, expenses, operating profit, and net earnings helps investors identify and prioritize their investing strategies towards Universal Logistics in a much-optimized way. Analyzing correlations between earnings drivers directly associated with dollar figures is the most effective way to find Universal Logistics' degree of accounting gimmicks and manipulations.

About Universal Logistics Beneish M Score

M-Score is one of many grading techniques for value stocks. It was developed by Professor M. Daniel Beneish of the Kelley School of Business at Indiana University and published in 1999 under the paper titled The Detection of Earnings Manipulation. The Beneish score is a multi-factor model that utilizes financial identifiers to compile eight variables used to classify whether a company has manipulated its reported earnings. The variables are built from the officially filed financial statements to create a final score call 'M Score.' The score helps to identify companies that are likely to manipulate their profits if they show deteriorating gross margins, operating expenses, and leverage against growing revenue.

Other Operating Expenses

1.02 Billion

As of now, Universal Logistics' Other Operating Expenses is increasing as compared to previous years.

Universal Logistics Earnings Manipulation Drivers

Although earnings manipulation is typically not the result of intentional misconduct by the c-level executives, it is still a widespread practice by the senior management of public companies such as Universal Logistics. It is usually done by a series of misrepresentations of various accounting rules and operating activities across multiple financial cycles. The best way to spot the manipulation is to examine the historical financial statement to find inconsistencies in earning reports to find trends in assets or liabilities that are not sustainable in the future.
201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Net Receivables210.5M259.2M341.4M350.7M289.4M159.4M
Total Revenue1.5B1.4B1.8B2.0B1.7B1.1B
Total Assets970.5M1.1B1.1B1.2B1.3B1.3B
Total Current Assets271.8M321.5M420.7M459.7M361.1M212.8M
Net Debt449.9M451.4M413.4M424.8M463.0M486.2M
Short Term Debt87.0M81.6M85.7M93.5M100.7M56.2M
Long Term Debt398.1M460.1M427.3M378.5M311.2M195.2M
Operating Income(7.6M)4.3M42.6M164.9M145.4M152.7M
Investments1.5M1.3M3K(925K)(216.0M)(205.2M)

Universal Logistics ESG Sustainability

Some studies have found that companies with high sustainability scores are getting higher valuations than competitors with lower social-engagement activities. While most ESG disclosures are voluntary and do not directly affect the long term financial condition, Universal Logistics' sustainability indicators can be used to identify proper investment strategies using environmental, social, and governance scores that are crucial to Universal Logistics' managers, analysts, and investors.
Environmental
Governance
Social

About Universal Logistics Fundamental Analysis

The Macroaxis Fundamental Analysis modules help investors analyze Universal Logistics Holdings's financials across various querterly and yearly statements, indicators and fundamental ratios. We help investors to determine the real value of Universal Logistics using virtually all public information available. We use both quantitative as well as qualitative analysis to arrive at the intrinsic value of Universal Logistics Holdings based on its fundamental data. In general, a quantitative approach, as applied to this company, focuses on analyzing financial statements comparatively, whereas a qaualitative method uses data that is important to a company's growth but cannot be measured and presented in a numerical way.
Please read more on our fundamental analysis page.

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

When determining whether Universal Logistics offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Universal Logistics' financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Universal Logistics Holdings Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Universal Logistics Holdings Stock:
Check out Universal Logistics Piotroski F Score and Universal Logistics Altman Z Score analysis.
You can also try the Odds Of Bankruptcy module to get analysis of equity chance of financial distress in the next 2 years.
Is Cargo Ground Transportation space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Universal Logistics. If investors know Universal will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Universal Logistics listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.15
Dividend Share
0.42
Earnings Share
4.98
Revenue Per Share
67.353
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.013
The market value of Universal Logistics is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Universal that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Universal Logistics' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Universal Logistics' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Universal Logistics' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Universal Logistics' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Universal Logistics' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Universal Logistics is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Universal Logistics' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.