United Rentals Stock Forward View - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| UR3 Stock | EUR 650.20 37.40 5.44% |
United Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of United Rentals' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 2nd of February 2026, the relative strength index (RSI) of United Rentals' share price is approaching 37. This usually implies that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling United Rentals, making its price go up or down. Momentum 37
Sell Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.02) | Wall Street Target Price 362.13 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.028 |
Using United Rentals hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of United Rentals from the perspective of United Rentals response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of United Rentals on the next trading day is expected to be 650.20 with a mean absolute deviation of 12.59 and the sum of the absolute errors of 755.68. United Rentals after-hype prediction price | EUR 651.19 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
United |
United Rentals Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine United price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for United using various technical indicators. When you analyze United charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
United Rentals Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 3rd of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of United Rentals on the next trading day is expected to be 650.20 with a mean absolute deviation of 12.59, mean absolute percentage error of 336.83, and the sum of the absolute errors of 755.68.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict United Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that United Rentals' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
United Rentals Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest United Rentals | United Rentals Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
United Rentals Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting United Rentals' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. United Rentals' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 647.69 and 652.71, respectively. We have considered United Rentals' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of United Rentals stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent United Rentals stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 122.0922 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 1.5973 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 12.5947 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0175 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 755.68 |
Predictive Modules for United Rentals
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as United Rentals. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.United Rentals After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of United Rentals at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in United Rentals or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of United Rentals, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
United Rentals Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting United Rentals' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on United Rentals' historical news coverage. United Rentals' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 648.70 and 653.68, respectively. We have considered United Rentals' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
United Rentals is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of United Rentals is based on 3 months time horizon.
United Rentals Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as United Rentals is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading United Rentals backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with United Rentals, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.18 | 2.51 | 0.94 | 4.58 | 7 Events / Month | 2 Events / Month | In about 7 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
650.20 | 651.19 | 0.15 |
|
United Rentals Hype Timeline
United Rentals is at this time traded for 650.20on Frankfurt Exchange of Germany. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.94, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -4.58. United is estimated to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 651.19 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is about 48.27%. The price rise on the next news is forecasted to be 0.15%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.18%. The volatility of related hype on United Rentals is about 9.87%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 645.62. The company reported the revenue of 16.1 B. Net Income was 2.49 B with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 6.18 B. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next estimated press release will be in about 7 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of United Rentals to cross-verify your projections.United Rentals Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to United Rentals' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict United Rentals' future price movements. Getting to know how United Rentals' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how United Rentals may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| WS11 | WillScot Mobile Mini | (0.1) | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 7.11 | (4.65) | 15.23 | |
| CUCA | Avis Budget Group | (97.74) | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.20) | 4.06 | (4.51) | 12.79 | |
| 8SP | Superior Plus Corp | (0.02) | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.03) | 2.29 | (1.84) | 21.97 | |
| VUSA | Vanguard Funds Public | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.84 | (0.04) | 1.24 | (1.54) | 3.67 | |
| FUC | Fanuc | 0.89 | 5 per month | 2.04 | 0.10 | 5.02 | (3.44) | 20.33 | |
| HEI | Heidelberg Materials AG | 2.60 | 6 per month | 1.34 | 0.12 | 3.59 | (2.18) | 9.96 | |
| ITB | IMPERIAL TOBACCO | (0.18) | 3 per month | 1.19 | 0.02 | 1.71 | (1.90) | 5.34 | |
| D7Q1 | Monument Mining Limited | 0.01 | 6 per month | 4.63 | 0.11 | 10.53 | (7.89) | 31.35 | |
| PCU | Southern Copper | (134.23) | 7 per month | 1.80 | 0.25 | 5.28 | (2.98) | 10.52 |
Other Forecasting Options for United Rentals
For every potential investor in United, whether a beginner or expert, United Rentals' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. United Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in United. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying United Rentals' price trends.United Rentals Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with United Rentals stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of United Rentals could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing United Rentals by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
United Rentals Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how United Rentals stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading United Rentals shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying United Rentals stock market strength indicators, traders can identify United Rentals entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.95 | |||
| Day Median Price | 650.2 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 650.2 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (18.70) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (37.40) | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 37.23 |
United Rentals Risk Indicators
The analysis of United Rentals' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in United Rentals' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting united stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.7 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.44 | |||
| Variance | 5.94 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for United Rentals
The number of cover stories for United Rentals depends on current market conditions and United Rentals' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that United Rentals is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about United Rentals' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
Other Macroaxis Stories
Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios
Story Categories
Currently Trending Categories
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of United Rentals to cross-verify your projections. For more detail on how to invest in United Stock please use our How to Invest in United Rentals guide.You can also try the Price Ceiling Movement module to calculate and plot Price Ceiling Movement for different equity instruments.