GWOCN Forecast - Simple Regression

391399AA0   92.16  5.19  5.33%   
The Simple Regression forecasted value of GWOCN 904 12 AUG 25 on the next trading day is expected to be 96.62 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.69 and the sum of the absolute errors of 42.74. GWOCN Bond Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast GWOCN stock prices and determine the direction of GWOCN 904 12 AUG 25's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of GWOCN's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
Simple Regression model is a single variable regression model that attempts to put a straight line through GWOCN price points. This line is defined by its gradient or slope, and the point at which it intercepts the x-axis. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, then this line can be represented as: Y = intercept + slope * X.

GWOCN Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 30th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of GWOCN 904 12 AUG 25 on the next trading day is expected to be 96.62 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.69, mean absolute percentage error of 1.46, and the sum of the absolute errors of 42.74.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict GWOCN Bond prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that GWOCN's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

GWOCN Bond Forecast Pattern

GWOCN Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting GWOCN's Bond value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. GWOCN's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 95.46 and 97.77, respectively. We have considered GWOCN's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
92.16
96.62
Expected Value
97.77
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of GWOCN bond data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent GWOCN bond, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria120.3267
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.6894
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0073
SAESum of the absolute errors42.744
In general, regression methods applied to historical equity returns or prices series is an area of active research. In recent decades, new methods have been developed for robust regression of price series such as GWOCN 904 12 AUG 25 historical returns. These new methods are regression involving correlated responses such as growth curves and different regression methods accommodating various types of missing data.

Predictive Modules for GWOCN

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as GWOCN 904 12. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the bond market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
91.0192.1693.31
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
92.0493.1994.34
Details

Other Forecasting Options for GWOCN

For every potential investor in GWOCN, whether a beginner or expert, GWOCN's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. GWOCN Bond price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in GWOCN. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying GWOCN's price trends.

GWOCN Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with GWOCN bond to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of GWOCN could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing GWOCN by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

GWOCN 904 12 Technical and Predictive Analytics

The bond market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of GWOCN's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of GWOCN's current price.

GWOCN Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how GWOCN bond reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading GWOCN shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying GWOCN bond market strength indicators, traders can identify GWOCN 904 12 AUG 25 entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

GWOCN Risk Indicators

The analysis of GWOCN's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in GWOCN's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting gwocn bond prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios. One of the essential factors to consider when estimating the risk of default for a bond instrument is its duration, which is the bond's price sensitivity to changes in interest rates. The duration of GWOCN 904 12 AUG 25 bond is primarily affected by its yield, coupon rate, and time to maturity. The duration of a bond will be higher the lower its coupon, lower its yield, and longer the time left to maturity.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in GWOCN Bond

GWOCN financial ratios help investors to determine whether GWOCN Bond is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in GWOCN with respect to the benefits of owning GWOCN security.