Ziggo Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing

98953GAD7   73.71  17.03  18.77%   
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Ziggo Bond 5125 on the next trading day is expected to be 74.29 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.76 and the sum of the absolute errors of 46.36. Ziggo Bond Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Ziggo stock prices and determine the direction of Ziggo Bond 5125's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Ziggo's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
Ziggo simple exponential smoothing forecast is a very popular model used to produce a smoothed price series. Whereas in simple Moving Average models the past observations for Ziggo Bond 5125 are weighted equally, Exponential Smoothing assigns exponentially decreasing weights as Ziggo Bond 5125 prices get older.

Ziggo Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 27th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Ziggo Bond 5125 on the next trading day is expected to be 74.29 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.76, mean absolute percentage error of 5.76, and the sum of the absolute errors of 46.36.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Ziggo Bond prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Ziggo's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Ziggo Bond Forecast Pattern

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Ziggo Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Ziggo's Bond value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Ziggo's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 71.63 and 76.95, respectively. We have considered Ziggo's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
73.71
74.29
Expected Value
76.95
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Ziggo bond data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Ziggo bond, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria119.8622
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.3733
MADMean absolute deviation0.76
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0095
SAESum of the absolute errors46.3628
This simple exponential smoothing model begins by setting Ziggo Bond 5125 forecast for the second period equal to the observation of the first period. In other words, recent Ziggo observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for Ziggo

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Ziggo Bond 5125. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the bond market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
71.0573.7176.37
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
70.3873.0475.70
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
72.2886.26100.23
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Ziggo. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Ziggo's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Ziggo's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Ziggo Bond 5125.

Other Forecasting Options for Ziggo

For every potential investor in Ziggo, whether a beginner or expert, Ziggo's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Ziggo Bond price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Ziggo. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Ziggo's price trends.

Ziggo Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Ziggo bond to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Ziggo could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Ziggo by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Ziggo Bond 5125 Technical and Predictive Analytics

The bond market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Ziggo's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Ziggo's current price.

Ziggo Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Ziggo bond reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Ziggo shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Ziggo bond market strength indicators, traders can identify Ziggo Bond 5125 entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Ziggo Risk Indicators

The analysis of Ziggo's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Ziggo's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting ziggo bond prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios. One of the essential factors to consider when estimating the risk of default for a bond instrument is its duration, which is the bond's price sensitivity to changes in interest rates. The duration of Ziggo Bond 5125 bond is primarily affected by its yield, coupon rate, and time to maturity. The duration of a bond will be higher the lower its coupon, lower its yield, and longer the time left to maturity.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in Ziggo Bond

Ziggo financial ratios help investors to determine whether Ziggo Bond is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Ziggo with respect to the benefits of owning Ziggo security.