USA Compression Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

USAC Stock  USD 26.17  0.35  1.36%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of USA Compression Partners on the next trading day is expected to be 26.38 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.29 and the sum of the absolute errors of 17.84. USA Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast USA Compression stock prices and determine the direction of USA Compression Partners's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of USA Compression's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
At present, USA Compression's Payables Turnover is projected to increase based on the last few years of reporting. . As of January 22, 2025, Common Stock Shares Outstanding is expected to decline to about 70 M. In addition to that, Net Loss is expected to decline to about (17.4 M).

Open Interest Against 2025-03-21 USA Option Contracts

Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast USA Compression's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in USA Compression's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for USA Compression stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current USA Compression's open interest, investors have to compare it to USA Compression's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of USA Compression is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in USA. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.

USA Compression Cash Forecast

Forecasting cash, or other financial indicators, requires analysts to apply different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden patterns within the USA Compression's financial statements to predict how it will affect future prices.
 
Cash  
First Reported
2010-12-31
Previous Quarter
K
Current Value
79 K
Quarterly Volatility
95.1 M
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
A naive forecasting model for USA Compression is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of USA Compression Partners value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

USA Compression Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 23rd of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of USA Compression Partners on the next trading day is expected to be 26.38 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.29, mean absolute percentage error of 0.13, and the sum of the absolute errors of 17.84.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict USA Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that USA Compression's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

USA Compression Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest USA CompressionUSA Compression Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

USA Compression Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting USA Compression's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. USA Compression's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 24.77 and 27.99, respectively. We have considered USA Compression's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
26.17
26.38
Expected Value
27.99
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of USA Compression stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent USA Compression stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria116.0929
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.2925
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0127
SAESum of the absolute errors17.841
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of USA Compression Partners. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict USA Compression. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for USA Compression

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as USA Compression Partners. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
24.4826.0927.70
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
25.5527.1628.77
Details
6 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
22.6024.8327.56
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.200.220.23
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as USA Compression. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against USA Compression's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, USA Compression's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in USA Compression Partners.

Other Forecasting Options for USA Compression

For every potential investor in USA, whether a beginner or expert, USA Compression's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. USA Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in USA. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying USA Compression's price trends.

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 Risk & Return  Correlation

USA Compression Partners Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of USA Compression's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of USA Compression's current price.

USA Compression Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how USA Compression stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading USA Compression shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying USA Compression stock market strength indicators, traders can identify USA Compression Partners entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

USA Compression Risk Indicators

The analysis of USA Compression's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in USA Compression's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting usa stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.
When determining whether USA Compression Partners offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of USA Compression's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Usa Compression Partners Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Usa Compression Partners Stock:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of USA Compression to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Sectors module to list of equity sectors categorizing publicly traded companies based on their primary business activities.
Is Oil & Gas Equipment & Services space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of USA Compression. If investors know USA will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about USA Compression listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.44
Dividend Share
2.1
Earnings Share
0.55
Revenue Per Share
8.525
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.105
The market value of USA Compression Partners is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of USA that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of USA Compression's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is USA Compression's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because USA Compression's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect USA Compression's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between USA Compression's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if USA Compression is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, USA Compression's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.