Virtus Reaves Etf Forecast - Naive Prediction

UTES Etf  USD 80.58  1.63  2.06%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Virtus Reaves Utilities on the next trading day is expected to be 81.65 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.73 and the sum of the absolute errors of 44.23. Virtus Etf Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
At this time the relative strength momentum indicator of Virtus Reaves' share price is below 20 . This usually implies that the etf is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Virtus Reaves' future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Virtus Reaves and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Virtus Reaves' fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Virtus Reaves Utilities, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Virtus Reaves hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Virtus Reaves Utilities from the perspective of Virtus Reaves response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Virtus Reaves using Virtus Reaves' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Virtus using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Virtus Reaves' stock price.

Virtus Reaves Implied Volatility

    
  0.32  
Virtus Reaves' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Virtus Reaves Utilities stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Virtus Reaves' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Virtus Reaves stock will not fluctuate a lot when Virtus Reaves' options are near their expiration.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Virtus Reaves Utilities on the next trading day is expected to be 81.65 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.73 and the sum of the absolute errors of 44.23.

Virtus Reaves after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 78.8  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as etf price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Virtus Reaves to cross-verify your projections.

Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 Virtus Option Contracts

Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Virtus Reaves' spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Virtus Reaves' options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Virtus Reaves stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Virtus Reaves' open interest, investors have to compare it to Virtus Reaves' spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Virtus Reaves is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Virtus. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.

Virtus Reaves Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Virtus price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Virtus using various technical indicators. When you analyze Virtus charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
A naive forecasting model for Virtus Reaves is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Virtus Reaves Utilities value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Virtus Reaves Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 3rd of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Virtus Reaves Utilities on the next trading day is expected to be 81.65 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.73, mean absolute percentage error of 0.88, and the sum of the absolute errors of 44.23.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Virtus Etf prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Virtus Reaves' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Virtus Reaves Etf Forecast Pattern

Backtest Virtus ReavesVirtus Reaves Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Virtus Reaves Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Virtus Reaves' Etf value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Virtus Reaves' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 80.37 and 82.92, respectively. We have considered Virtus Reaves' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
80.58
81.65
Expected Value
82.92
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Virtus Reaves etf data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Virtus Reaves etf, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria117.9853
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.7251
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0088
SAESum of the absolute errors44.2296
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Virtus Reaves Utilities. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Virtus Reaves. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Virtus Reaves

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Virtus Reaves Utilities. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Virtus Reaves' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
77.5578.8080.05
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
78.5179.7681.01
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
77.0679.8682.65
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Virtus Reaves

For every potential investor in Virtus, whether a beginner or expert, Virtus Reaves' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Virtus Etf price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Virtus. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Virtus Reaves' price trends.

Virtus Reaves Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Virtus Reaves etf to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Virtus Reaves could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Virtus Reaves by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Virtus Reaves Utilities Technical and Predictive Analytics

The etf market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Virtus Reaves' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Virtus Reaves' current price.

Virtus Reaves Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Virtus Reaves etf reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Virtus Reaves shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Virtus Reaves etf market strength indicators, traders can identify Virtus Reaves Utilities entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Virtus Reaves Risk Indicators

The analysis of Virtus Reaves' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Virtus Reaves' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting virtus etf prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Thematic Opportunities

Explore Investment Opportunities

Build portfolios using Macroaxis predefined set of investing ideas. Many of Macroaxis investing ideas can easily outperform a given market. Ideas can also be optimized per your risk profile before portfolio origination is invoked. Macroaxis thematic optimization helps investors identify companies most likely to benefit from changes or shifts in various micro-economic or local macro-level trends. Originating optimal thematic portfolios involves aligning investors' personal views, ideas, and beliefs with their actual investments.
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When determining whether Virtus Reaves Utilities is a strong investment it is important to analyze Virtus Reaves' competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Virtus Reaves' future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Virtus Etf, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Virtus Reaves to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the My Watchlist Analysis module to analyze my current watchlist and to refresh optimization strategy. Macroaxis watchlist is based on self-learning algorithm to remember stocks you like.
The market value of Virtus Reaves Utilities is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Virtus that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Virtus Reaves' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Virtus Reaves' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Virtus Reaves' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Virtus Reaves' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Virtus Reaves' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Virtus Reaves is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Virtus Reaves' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.