Virtus Reaves Etf Forecast - Polynomial Regression
| UTES Etf | USD 78.82 1.33 1.72% |
Virtus Etf outlook is based on your current time horizon.
At this time, the relative strength momentum indicator of Virtus Reaves' share price is approaching 47. This usually implies that the etf is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Virtus Reaves, making its price go up or down. Momentum 47
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Virtus Reaves hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Virtus Reaves Utilities from the perspective of Virtus Reaves response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Virtus Reaves using Virtus Reaves' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Virtus using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Virtus Reaves' stock price.
Virtus Reaves Implied Volatility | 0.4 |
Virtus Reaves' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Virtus Reaves Utilities stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Virtus Reaves' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Virtus Reaves stock will not fluctuate a lot when Virtus Reaves' options are near their expiration.
The Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Virtus Reaves Utilities on the next trading day is expected to be 78.66 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.79 and the sum of the absolute errors of 49.04. Virtus Reaves after-hype prediction price | USD 78.87 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as etf price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Virtus Reaves to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Virtus contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Virtus Reaves Utilities will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.025% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With Virtus Reaves trading at USD 78.82, that is roughly USD 0.0197 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Virtus Reaves' daily price movement you should consider acquiring Virtus Reaves Utilities options at the current volatility level of 0.4%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 Virtus Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Virtus Reaves' spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Virtus Reaves' options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Virtus Reaves stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Virtus Reaves' open interest, investors have to compare it to Virtus Reaves' spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Virtus Reaves is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Virtus. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Virtus Reaves Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Virtus price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Virtus using various technical indicators. When you analyze Virtus charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Virtus Reaves Polynomial Regression Price Forecast For the 29th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Virtus Reaves Utilities on the next trading day is expected to be 78.66 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.79, mean absolute percentage error of 1.13, and the sum of the absolute errors of 49.04.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Virtus Etf prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Virtus Reaves' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Virtus Reaves Etf Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Virtus Reaves | Virtus Reaves Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Virtus Reaves Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Virtus Reaves' Etf value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Virtus Reaves' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 77.24 and 80.08, respectively. We have considered Virtus Reaves' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Polynomial Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Virtus Reaves etf data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Virtus Reaves etf, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 120.0743 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.791 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0099 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 49.0446 |
Predictive Modules for Virtus Reaves
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Virtus Reaves Utilities. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Virtus Reaves' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Virtus Reaves After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Virtus Reaves at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Virtus Reaves or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Etf prices, such as prices of Virtus Reaves, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Virtus Reaves Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Virtus Reaves' etf value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Virtus Reaves' historical news coverage. Virtus Reaves' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 77.45 and 80.29, respectively. We have considered Virtus Reaves' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Virtus Reaves is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Virtus Reaves Utilities is based on 3 months time horizon.
Virtus Reaves Etf Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a ETF such as Virtus Reaves is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Virtus Reaves backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Etf price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Virtus Reaves, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.08 | 1.42 | 0.05 | 0.02 | 4 Events / Month | 4 Events / Month | In about 4 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
78.82 | 78.87 | 0.06 |
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Virtus Reaves Hype Timeline
Virtus Reaves Utilities is at this time traded for 78.82. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.05, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.02. Virtus is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 78.87 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price appreciation on the next news is projected to be 0.06%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.08%. The volatility of related hype on Virtus Reaves is about 546.15%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 78.84. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 4 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Virtus Reaves to cross-verify your projections.Virtus Reaves Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Virtus Reaves' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Virtus Reaves' future price movements. Getting to know how Virtus Reaves' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Virtus Reaves may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| FJUL | FT Cboe Vest | 0.01 | 5 per month | 0.34 | (0.10) | 0.54 | (0.58) | 2.08 | |
| FQAL | Fidelity Quality Factor | 0.06 | 5 per month | 0.68 | (0.04) | 1.09 | (1.22) | 3.41 | |
| FFEB | FT Cboe Vest | (0.95) | 4 per month | 0.29 | (0.07) | 0.57 | (0.51) | 2.16 | |
| FJAN | First Trust Exchange Traded | (0.18) | 3 per month | 0.32 | (0.05) | 0.64 | (0.78) | 2.43 | |
| GPIX | Goldman Sachs SP | 0.27 | 7 per month | 0.63 | (0.03) | 0.98 | (0.93) | 3.10 | |
| JKD | iShares Morningstar Equity | (0.01) | 2 per month | 0.78 | (0.05) | 1.12 | (1.25) | 4.08 | |
| EFIV | SPDR SP 500 | 1.30 | 7 per month | 0.62 | (0) | 1.26 | (1.10) | 3.65 | |
| BUG | Global X Cybersecurity | 0.57 | 4 per month | 0.00 | (0.22) | 1.62 | (2.38) | 6.65 | |
| FAUG | FT Cboe Vest | 0.12 | 5 per month | 0.41 | (0.09) | 0.63 | (0.63) | 2.32 | |
| FBT | First Trust NYSE | 1.41 | 4 per month | 0.78 | 0.12 | 3.06 | (1.64) | 6.03 |
Other Forecasting Options for Virtus Reaves
For every potential investor in Virtus, whether a beginner or expert, Virtus Reaves' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Virtus Etf price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Virtus. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Virtus Reaves' price trends.Virtus Reaves Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Virtus Reaves etf to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Virtus Reaves could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Virtus Reaves by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Virtus Reaves Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Virtus Reaves etf reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Virtus Reaves shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Virtus Reaves etf market strength indicators, traders can identify Virtus Reaves Utilities entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Virtus Reaves Risk Indicators
The analysis of Virtus Reaves' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Virtus Reaves' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting virtus etf prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.11 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.43 | |||
| Variance | 2.03 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Virtus Reaves
The number of cover stories for Virtus Reaves depends on current market conditions and Virtus Reaves' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Virtus Reaves is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Virtus Reaves' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Virtus Reaves to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the ETF Categories module to list of ETF categories grouped based on various criteria, such as the investment strategy or type of investments.
The market value of Virtus Reaves Utilities is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Virtus that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Virtus Reaves' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Virtus Reaves' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Virtus Reaves' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Virtus Reaves' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Virtus Reaves' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Virtus Reaves is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Virtus Reaves' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.