V2 Retail Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

V2RETAIL   1,259  35.90  2.94%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of V2 Retail Limited on the next trading day is expected to be 1,302 with a mean absolute deviation of 34.16 and the sum of the absolute errors of 2,084. V2RETAIL Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of V2 Retail's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
As of now, V2 Retail's Property Plant And Equipment Net is increasing as compared to previous years. The V2 Retail's current Net Debt is estimated to increase to about 5.4 B, while Total Assets are projected to decrease to under 5.4 B.
A naive forecasting model for V2 Retail is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of V2 Retail Limited value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

V2 Retail Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 27th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of V2 Retail Limited on the next trading day is expected to be 1,302 with a mean absolute deviation of 34.16, mean absolute percentage error of 2,071, and the sum of the absolute errors of 2,084.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict V2RETAIL Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that V2 Retail's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

V2 Retail Stock Forecast Pattern

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V2 Retail Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting V2 Retail's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. V2 Retail's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 1,299 and 1,305, respectively. We have considered V2 Retail's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
1,259
1,302
Expected Value
1,305
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of V2 Retail stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent V2 Retail stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria125.7462
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation34.1582
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.028
SAESum of the absolute errors2083.6489
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of V2 Retail Limited. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict V2 Retail. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for V2 Retail

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as V2 Retail Limited. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of V2 Retail's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
1,2511,2541,384
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
1,0521,0541,384
Details

Other Forecasting Options for V2 Retail

For every potential investor in V2RETAIL, whether a beginner or expert, V2 Retail's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. V2RETAIL Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in V2RETAIL. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying V2 Retail's price trends.

V2 Retail Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with V2 Retail stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of V2 Retail could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing V2 Retail by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

V2 Retail Limited Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of V2 Retail's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of V2 Retail's current price.

V2 Retail Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how V2 Retail stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading V2 Retail shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying V2 Retail stock market strength indicators, traders can identify V2 Retail Limited entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

V2 Retail Risk Indicators

The analysis of V2 Retail's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in V2 Retail's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting v2retail stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in V2RETAIL Stock

V2 Retail financial ratios help investors to determine whether V2RETAIL Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in V2RETAIL with respect to the benefits of owning V2 Retail security.