Viva Gold OTC Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction
| VAUCF Stock | USD 0.14 0.01 7.69% |
Viva OTC Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Viva Gold's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 28th of January 2026, The value of RSI of Viva Gold's share price is at 53. This entails that the otc stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Viva Gold, making its price go up or down. Momentum 53
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
It is a matter of debate whether otc price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Viva Gold based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. Using Viva Gold hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Viva Gold Corp from the perspective of Viva Gold response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Viva Gold Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 0.13 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.01 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.33. Viva Gold after-hype prediction price | USD 0.14 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as otc price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Viva |
Viva Gold Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Viva price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Viva using various technical indicators. When you analyze Viva charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Viva Gold Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 29th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Viva Gold Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 0.13 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.01, mean absolute percentage error of 0.000041, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.33.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Viva OTC Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Viva Gold's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Viva Gold OTC Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Viva Gold | Viva Gold Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Viva Gold Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Viva Gold's OTC Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Viva Gold's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0 and 5.35, respectively. We have considered Viva Gold's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Viva Gold otc stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Viva Gold otc stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 108.0101 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0054 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0414 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 0.3286 |
Predictive Modules for Viva Gold
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Viva Gold Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the otc stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the otc stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Viva Gold's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Viva Gold After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Viva Gold at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Viva Gold or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of OTC Stock prices, such as prices of Viva Gold, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Viva Gold Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Viva Gold's otc stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Viva Gold's historical news coverage. Viva Gold's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.01 and 5.36, respectively. We have considered Viva Gold's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Viva Gold is out of control at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Viva Gold Corp is based on 3 months time horizon.
Viva Gold OTC Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a OTC Stock such as Viva Gold is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Viva Gold backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the OTC price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Viva Gold, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.26 | 5.22 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | Any time |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
0.14 | 0.14 | 0.00 |
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Viva Gold Hype Timeline
Viva Gold Corp is at this time traded for 0.14. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Viva is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.26%. %. The volatility of related hype on Viva Gold is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.14. About 51.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by insiders. The company recorded a loss per share of 0.04. Viva Gold Corp had not issued any dividends in recent years. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next forecasted press release will be any time. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Viva Gold to cross-verify your projections.Viva Gold Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Viva Gold's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Viva Gold's future price movements. Getting to know how Viva Gold's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Viva Gold may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| NGLD | Nevada Canyon Gold | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.02) | 8.33 | (10.13) | 24.43 | |
| KDKGF | Klondike Gold Corp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 4.28 | 0.13 | 14.29 | (12.50) | 29.17 | |
| GRCAF | Gold Springs Resource | 0.00 | 0 per month | 6.11 | 0.07 | 22.16 | (10.77) | 44.93 | |
| GLBKF | Goldbank Mining | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| AUMMF | AuMEGA Metals | 0.00 | 0 per month | 13.69 | 0.06 | 35.00 | (25.82) | 89.43 | |
| SIREF | Sirios Resources | 0.00 | 0 per month | 4.38 | 0.21 | 14.71 | (8.33) | 80.26 | |
| DTARF | Delta Resources | 0.00 | 0 per month | 3.79 | 0.06 | 10.00 | (8.33) | 59.31 | |
| ANTMF | Antilles Gold Limited | 0.00 | 0 per month | 12.86 | 0.07 | 49.00 | (27.41) | 124.17 | |
| GNCP | Gncc Capital | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| YRBAF | Yorbeau Resources | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.04 | 0.00 | (2.59) | 31.29 |
Other Forecasting Options for Viva Gold
For every potential investor in Viva, whether a beginner or expert, Viva Gold's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Viva OTC Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Viva. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Viva Gold's price trends.Viva Gold Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Viva Gold otc stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Viva Gold could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Viva Gold by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Viva Gold Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Viva Gold otc stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Viva Gold shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Viva Gold otc stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Viva Gold Corp entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Viva Gold Risk Indicators
The analysis of Viva Gold's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Viva Gold's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting viva otc stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 3.52 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 3.75 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 5.62 | |||
| Variance | 31.58 | |||
| Downside Variance | 75.72 | |||
| Semi Variance | 14.03 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (9.45) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Viva Gold
The number of cover stories for Viva Gold depends on current market conditions and Viva Gold's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Viva Gold is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Viva Gold's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Other Information on Investing in Viva OTC Stock
Viva Gold financial ratios help investors to determine whether Viva OTC Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Viva with respect to the benefits of owning Viva Gold security.