VCI Global Stock Forecast - Double Exponential Smoothing
| VCIG Stock | 1.98 0.17 7.91% |
The Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of VCI Global Limited on the next trading day is expected to be 1.91 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.36 and the sum of the absolute errors of 21.46. VCI Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of VCI Global's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
VCI |
VCI Global Double Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 23rd of November
Given 90 days horizon, the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of VCI Global Limited on the next trading day is expected to be 1.91 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.36, mean absolute percentage error of 0.27, and the sum of the absolute errors of 21.46.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict VCI Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that VCI Global's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
VCI Global Stock Forecast Pattern
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VCI Global Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting VCI Global's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. VCI Global's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.02 and 11.92, respectively. We have considered VCI Global's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of VCI Global stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent VCI Global stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | Huge |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 0.0779 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.3638 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0822 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 21.4642 |
Predictive Modules for VCI Global
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as VCI Global Limited. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Other Forecasting Options for VCI Global
For every potential investor in VCI, whether a beginner or expert, VCI Global's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. VCI Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in VCI. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying VCI Global's price trends.VCI Global Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with VCI Global stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of VCI Global could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing VCI Global by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
VCI Global Limited Technical and Predictive Analytics
The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of VCI Global's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of VCI Global's current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Overlap Studies | ||
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| Volume Indicators |
VCI Global Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how VCI Global stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading VCI Global shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying VCI Global stock market strength indicators, traders can identify VCI Global Limited entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 100919.0 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.44) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.92 | |||
| Day Median Price | 2.11 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 2.06 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.21) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.17) |
VCI Global Risk Indicators
The analysis of VCI Global's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in VCI Global's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting vci stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 7.33 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 9.95 | |||
| Variance | 98.94 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis
When determining whether VCI Global Limited is a strong investment it is important to analyze VCI Global's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact VCI Global's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding VCI Stock, refer to the following important reports:Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of VCI Global to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Risk-Return Analysis module to view associations between returns expected from investment and the risk you assume.
Is Environmental & Facilities Services space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of VCI Global. If investors know VCI will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about VCI Global listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.34) | Earnings Share 8.54 | Revenue Per Share 96.7 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.456 | Return On Assets 0.1441 |
The market value of VCI Global Limited is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of VCI that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of VCI Global's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is VCI Global's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because VCI Global's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect VCI Global's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between VCI Global's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if VCI Global is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, VCI Global's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.