Victory Capital Stock Forward View - 8 Period Moving Average
| VCTR Stock | USD 81.29 0.03 0.04% |
The 8 Period Moving Average output for Victory Capital Holdings is derived from daily price data across the evaluation window. The error pattern reveals whether the model tracked prices consistently or diverged during volatile sessions. Parameters are re-estimated as new trading sessions are recorded, keeping the forecast current. The 8 Period Moving Average model projects Victory Capital at 78.09 for the next trading day, below the most recent closing price. Victory Capital's 8 Period Moving Average forecast is intended for short-term analytical reference.
8 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 7th of May
Over a 90-day horizon, the 8 Period Moving Average model forecasts Victory Capital at 78.09 for the next trading day, with a mean absolute deviation of 2.58 , mean absolute percentage error of 0.04 , and sum of absolute errors of 136.68 .This represents a tight forecast with good short-term tracking of Victory Capital's price movement. This output is intended for short-term analytical reference.
Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Victory Capital | Victory Capital Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Forecasted Value
This forecast for Victory Capital frames the expected trading range using downside and upside bounds rather than a single point target. The current forecast range spans downside near 75.75 and upside near 80.43. The moderate spread reflects defined uncertainty around the forecast.
Model Predictive Factors
The table below summarizes the 8 Period Moving Average model's error metrics for Victory Capital stock. Lower MAD and MAPE values indicate tighter forecast accuracy. AIC measures relative model quality — lower values indicate less information loss and a better-fitting model. A large Bias suggests systematic over- or under-prediction.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 105.6496 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.3387 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 2.5788 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0365 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 136.6787 |
Other Forecasting Options for Victory Capital
Volatility clustering is a well-documented feature of Victory Capital Stock price data where periods of large moves tend to follow other large moves. When Victory Capital's RSI reaches extreme levels, it often precedes a short-term price correction or consolidation. Seasonal patterns in Victory Capital's returns tend to persist when driven by structural factors like earnings calendars or index rebalancing.Victory Capital Related Equities
These stocks are related to Victory Capital within the Financials space and can be used for peer review, pricing, or spreading risk. Key comparison metrics include price-to-earnings, profit margin, and revenue growth across Victory Capital's peer group. A stock that beats its peers on many metrics often deserves a closer look from value-focused investors. Combining quantitative ratios with qualitative context such as management quality and market position sharpens peer comparisons.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Victory Capital Market Strength Events
Accumulation/Distribution and Balance of Power for Victory Capital reveal whether buying or selling pressure dominates recent sessions. Balance of Power trending positive indicates that buyers are consistently closing Victory Capital near session highs. These signals help explain whether price direction and session structure are moving together for Victory Capital.
Victory Capital Risk Indicators
Risk indicator analysis for Victory Capital quantifies how much price variability the stock has exhibited over the measurement window. Downside variance exceeding total variance indicates that negative moves in Victory Capital have been larger or more frequent than positive ones. Mean deviation provides a more intuitive measure of typical price fluctuation than variance because it stays in the same units as Victory Capital's price.
| Mean Deviation | 1.73 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 2.08 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.36 | |||
| Variance | 5.58 | |||
| Downside Variance | 5.4 | |||
| Semi Variance | 4.32 | |||
| Expected Short fall | -1.95 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Victory Capital Short Properties
Short-interest data for Victory Capital reveals whether bearish conviction in the market is gaining traction. When applied, these measures clarify when hedging or timing discipline may matter more than conviction alone.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 66.38 million | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 163.69 million |
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