Veeco Instruments Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction
| VECO Stock | USD 32.35 1.26 3.75% |
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Veeco Instruments on the next trading day is expected to be 32.68 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.07 and the sum of the absolute errors of 66.56. Veeco Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Although Veeco Instruments' naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Veeco Instruments' systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Veeco Instruments fundamentals over time.
As of today the relative strength index (rsi) of Veeco Instruments' share price is below 20 . This entails that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.53) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.3044 | EPS Estimate Current Year 1.3445 | EPS Estimate Next Year 1.581 | Wall Street Target Price 33.5 |
Using Veeco Instruments hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Veeco Instruments from the perspective of Veeco Instruments response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Veeco Instruments using Veeco Instruments' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Veeco using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Veeco Instruments' stock price.
Veeco Instruments Short Interest
An investor who is long Veeco Instruments may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Veeco Instruments and may potentially protect profits, hedge Veeco Instruments with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 25.0574 | Short Percent 0.1032 | Short Ratio 7.39 | Shares Short Prior Month 4.4 M | 50 Day MA 30.4886 |
Veeco Instruments Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Veeco Instruments' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Veeco. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Veeco can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Veeco Instruments. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Veeco Instruments Implied Volatility | 0.63 |
Veeco Instruments' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Veeco Instruments stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Veeco Instruments' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Veeco Instruments stock will not fluctuate a lot when Veeco Instruments' options are near their expiration.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Veeco Instruments on the next trading day is expected to be 32.68 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.07 and the sum of the absolute errors of 66.56. Veeco Instruments after-hype prediction price | USD 32.28 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Veeco Instruments to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Veeco contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Veeco Instruments will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0394% per day over the life of the 2026-04-17 option contract. With Veeco Instruments trading at USD 32.35, that is roughly USD 0.0127 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Veeco Instruments' daily price movement you should consider acquiring Veeco Instruments options at the current volatility level of 0.63%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-04-17 Veeco Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Veeco Instruments' spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Veeco Instruments' options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Veeco Instruments stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Veeco Instruments' open interest, investors have to compare it to Veeco Instruments' spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Veeco Instruments is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Veeco. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Veeco Instruments Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Veeco price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Veeco using various technical indicators. When you analyze Veeco charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Veeco Instruments Cash Forecast
Forecasting financial indicators like cash flow involves analysts applying various statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms. These tools reveal hidden trends within the Veeco Instruments' financial statements to estimate their effects on upcoming price movements.
Cash | First Reported 1993-12-31 | Previous Quarter 188.9 M | Current Value 193.2 M | Quarterly Volatility 95.8 M |
Veeco Instruments Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 25th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Veeco Instruments on the next trading day is expected to be 32.68 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.07, mean absolute percentage error of 1.72, and the sum of the absolute errors of 66.56.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Veeco Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Veeco Instruments' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Veeco Instruments Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Veeco Instruments | Veeco Instruments Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Veeco Instruments Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Veeco Instruments' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Veeco Instruments' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 29.93 and 35.43, respectively. We have considered Veeco Instruments' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Veeco Instruments stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Veeco Instruments stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 120.4889 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 1.0736 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0355 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 66.562 |
Predictive Modules for Veeco Instruments
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Veeco Instruments. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Veeco Instruments' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Veeco Instruments After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Veeco Instruments at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Veeco Instruments or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Veeco Instruments, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Veeco Instruments Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Veeco Instruments' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Veeco Instruments' historical news coverage. Veeco Instruments' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 29.53 and 35.03, respectively. We have considered Veeco Instruments' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Veeco Instruments is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Veeco Instruments is based on 3 months time horizon.
Veeco Instruments Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Veeco Instruments is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Veeco Instruments backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Veeco Instruments, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.20 | 2.75 | 0.07 | 0.03 | 9 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 9 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
32.35 | 32.28 | 0.22 |
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Veeco Instruments Hype Timeline
Veeco Instruments is at this time traded for 32.35. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.07, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.03. Veeco is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 32.28. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -0.22%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.2%. The volatility of related hype on Veeco Instruments is about 1870.75%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 32.32. About 98.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors. The book value of Veeco Instruments was at this time reported as 14.56. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.53. Veeco Instruments had not issued any dividends in recent years. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 9 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Veeco Instruments to cross-verify your projections.Veeco Instruments Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Veeco Instruments' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Veeco Instruments' future price movements. Getting to know how Veeco Instruments' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Veeco Instruments may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| HIMX | Himax Technologies | 0.02 | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 4.15 | (4.72) | 16.57 | |
| LASR | nLIGHT Inc | (1.17) | 33 per month | 3.53 | 0.12 | 6.51 | (5.62) | 23.42 | |
| PLAB | Photronics | (2.65) | 12 per month | 3.15 | 0.1 | 5.45 | (6.50) | 54.22 | |
| AAOI | Applied Opt | (0.02) | 7 per month | 6.47 | 0.03 | 12.49 | (11.64) | 38.11 | |
| DV | DoubleVerify Holdings | 0.20 | 7 per month | 2.95 | (0.03) | 3.14 | (3.40) | 16.76 | |
| EVTC | Evertec | 1.19 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 2.94 | (3.16) | 9.49 | |
| PRGS | Progress Software | 0.07 | 21 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 3.20 | (3.74) | 10.50 | |
| BELFB | Bel Fuse B | 1.19 | 3 per month | 2.62 | 0.14 | 4.48 | (4.41) | 13.39 | |
| DQ | Daqo New Energy | (0.55) | 3 per month | 3.73 | 0.0004 | 8.89 | (6.41) | 25.47 | |
| PRCH | Porch Group | 0.25 | 12 per month | 0.00 | (0.17) | 4.27 | (6.15) | 42.64 |
Other Forecasting Options for Veeco Instruments
For every potential investor in Veeco, whether a beginner or expert, Veeco Instruments' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Veeco Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Veeco. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Veeco Instruments' price trends.Veeco Instruments Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Veeco Instruments stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Veeco Instruments could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Veeco Instruments by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Veeco Instruments Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Veeco Instruments stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Veeco Instruments shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Veeco Instruments stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Veeco Instruments entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 24882.04 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.62) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.96 | |||
| Day Median Price | 32.7 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 32.58 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.97) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (1.26) |
Veeco Instruments Risk Indicators
The analysis of Veeco Instruments' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Veeco Instruments' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting veeco stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 2.01 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 2.28 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.71 | |||
| Variance | 7.34 | |||
| Downside Variance | 6.06 | |||
| Semi Variance | 5.19 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (2.24) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Veeco Instruments
The number of cover stories for Veeco Instruments depends on current market conditions and Veeco Instruments' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Veeco Instruments is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Veeco Instruments' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Veeco Instruments Short Properties
Veeco Instruments' future price predictability will typically decrease when Veeco Instruments' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Veeco Instruments often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Veeco Instruments' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Veeco Instruments' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 61.6 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 344.3 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Veeco Instruments to cross-verify your projections. To learn how to invest in Veeco Stock, please use our How to Invest in Veeco Instruments guide.You can also try the Equity Valuation module to check real value of public entities based on technical and fundamental data.
Is Semiconductors & Semiconductor Equipment space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Veeco Instruments. If investors know Veeco will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Veeco Instruments listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.53) | Earnings Share 0.83 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.10) | Return On Assets |
The market value of Veeco Instruments is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Veeco that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Veeco Instruments' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Veeco Instruments' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Veeco Instruments' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Veeco Instruments' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Veeco Instruments' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Veeco Instruments is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Veeco Instruments' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.